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Friday, October 28, 2011

EURO 2012 qualifying: 24 teams outcome

Most of this article is based on fillow's post on Bert Kassies forum.

Who would have qualified for a 2012 EURO with 24 teams?

The two hosts, 9 group winners, 9 group runners-up and 4 teams from play-offs between the best third placed teams.

Ranking of third placed teams discarding results against the sixth ranked team in the group where applicable:

Norway      16 10 -  7
Hungary     13 11 - 14
Armenia     11 15 - 10
Switzerland 11 12 - 10
Scotland    11  9 - 10
Israel      10  8 - 10
Belgium      9 15 - 14
Serbia       9  7 - 11
Romania      8  8 -  8

Romania out as the worst third placed team. Yes, Romania :)

Seeding for the play-offs:

Serbia      27975
Switzerland 27745
Norway      27093
Israel      26942
-----------------
Hungary     26110
Scotland    24426
Belgium     22539
Armenia     19746

Assuming the seeds would have qualified with a win and a draw, these would have been the pots for the final draw:

Poland             23086
Ukraine            28029
Spain              43116
Netherlands        40860
Germany            40446
Italy              34357
------------------------
England            33563
Russia             33212
Croatia            32723
Greece             32455
Sweden             31675
Denmark            31205
------------------------
Portugal           31202
France             30508
Switzerland        28715
Serbia             28705
Ireland            28203
Czech Republic     27982
------------------------
Israel             27602
Turkey             27601
Norway             27558
Bosnia-Herzegovina 27198
Montenegro         21876
Estonia            20354

Pot 1: Poland, Ukraine, Spain, Netherlands, Germany, Italy
Pot 2: England, Russia, Croatia, Greece, Sweden, Denmark
Pot 3: Portugal, France, Switzerland, Serbia, Ireland, Czech Republic
Pot 4: Israel, Turkey, Norway, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Montenegro, Estonia

So who's waiting eagerly for the 2016 edition? Taking into account the latest preliminaries and my previous post about the EURO expansion, these are the top 10 teams that will benefit: Ireland, Scotland, Norway, Serbia, Turkey, Israel, Northern Ireland, Belgium, England and Croatia.

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