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Tuesday, December 23, 2008

FIFA Ranking: Colombia December 2008 detailed point totals

I don't get the same value as FIFA does, but that's because there's the issue of historical rankings published before July 2006.

The columns are as follows: Match date, Opponents' FIFA trigramme, FIFA match points for Colombia.

"0.2 time frame"

15-Jan-2005 KOR 491.28
17-Jan-2005 GUA 120.615
23-Feb-2005 MEX 179.52
09-Mar-2005 USA 0
26-Mar-2005 VEN 334.125
30-Mar-2005 ARG 0
31-May-2005 ENG 0
04-Jun-2005 PER 1254.825
08-Jun-2005 ECU 1210.275
06-Jul-2005 PAN 0
10-Jul-2005 HON 0
12-Jul-2005 TRI 1194.93
17-Jul-2005 MEX 1590.435
21-Jul-2005 PAN 0
04-Sep-2005 URU 0
08-Oct-2005 CHI 306.9
12-Oct-2005 PAR 1232.55

"0.3 time frame"

01-Mar-2006 VEN 129.69
24-May-2006 ECU 159.39
27-May-2006 ROU 176.115
30-May-2006 POL 510.435
02-Jun-2006 GER 0
04-Jun-2006 MAR 452.64
16-Aug-2006 CHI 458.64

"0.5 time frame"

07-Feb-2007 URU 0
25-Mar-2007 SUI 543.51
28-Mar-2007 PAR 502.74
09-May-2007 PAN 395.28
03-Jun-2007 MNE 148.5
05-Jun-2007 JPN 142.74
23-Jun-2007 ECU 458.64
28-Jun-2007 PAR 0
02-Jul-2007 ARG 0
05-Jul-2007 USA 1515.24
22-Aug-2007 MEX 518.805
08-Sep-2007 PER 143.08
12-Sep-2007 PAR 496.86
14-Oct-2007 BRA 482.65
17-Oct-2007 BOL 269.5
17-Nov-2007 VEN 1058.4
20-Nov-2007 ARG 1470

"1.0 time frame"

06-Feb-2008 URU 168.56
26-Mar-2008 HON 0
30-Apr-2008 VEN 414.54
29-May-2008 IRL 0
03-Jun-2008 FRA 0
14-Jun-2008 PER 333.2
18-Jun-2008 ECU 345.45
20-Aug-2008 ECU 0
06-Sep-2008 URU 0
10-Sep-2008 CHI 0
11-Oct-2008 PAR 0
15-Oct-2008 BRA 480.2
19-Nov-2008 NGA 488.61

Adding it up:

Year - Points - Matches - Multiplier - Total

-4 7915.455 17 0.2 93.123
-3 1886.91 7 0.3 80.86757
-2 8145.945 17 0.5 239.5866
-1 2230.56 13 1 171.5815

My total: 585.1587275. FIFA has 597. However, my software makes adjustments based on previous month differences and Colombia had 601 in my final December 2008 FIFA ranking preview.

Look at the unweighted averages for each year:

-4 465.615
-3 269.5586
-2 479.1732
-1 171.5815

Colombia really lost it in the last 12 months. No wonder they plunged in the rankings.

Top 5 most valuable individual matches:

17-Jul-2005 Mexico - Colombia 1 - 2 (Gold Cup 2005) 1590.435
05-Jul-2007 Colombia - USA 1 - 0 (Copa America 2007) 1515.24
20-Nov-2007 Colombia - Argentina 2 - 1 (2010 FIFA World Cup Qualifier) 1470
04-Jun-2005 Colombia - Peru 5 - 0 (2006 FIFA World Cup Qualifier) 1254.825
12-Oct-2005 Paraguay - Colombia 0 - 1 (2006 FIFA World Cup Qualifier) 1232.55

Top 5 most valuable matches (actual averaged value):

05-Jul-2007 Colombia - USA 1 - 0 (Copa America 2007) 44.566
20-Nov-2007 Colombia - Argentina 2 - 1 (2010 FIFA World Cup Qualifier) 43.235
19-Nov-2008 Colombia - Nigeria 1 - 0 (Friendly) 37.585
15-Oct-2008 Brazil - Colombia 0 - 0 (2010 FIFA World Cup Qualifier) 36.938
30-Apr-2008 Colombia - Venezuela 5 - 2 (Friendly) 31.888

Colombia's two best results are from more than an year ago! Then they have 2 friendlies and a draw in a qualifier.

Colombia also dropped in the Elo ratings. In the last 12 months, they've lost 19 places and 90 ranking points.

Colombia will probably drop one spot in the January 2009 FIFA ranking, as Costa Rica are expected to climb.

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