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Wednesday, March 25, 2009

2014 FIFA World Cup seeding for UEFA teams

Check the latest seeding simulations.

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We're still a long way off, but it's never to early to start computing the rankings :)

The preliminary draw for the 2010 FIFA World Cup took place on November 25th, 2007 and used the November 2007 FIFA ranking.

Assumptions:

- UEFA will again have 13 spots
- UEFA will again use the system with 9 groups
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- FIFA will hold the draw in November 2011

The November 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between November 2007 and November 2011. We already have the "0.2" part (matches played between November 2007 and November 2008) - that's basically 10% of the final ranking and a bit of the "0.3" part (matches played between November 2008 and November 2009). A lot can and will change before November 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving European teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, 2009 FIFA Confederations Cup, 2010 FIFA World Cup, EURO 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.

This is the November 2011 ranking (for UEFA only) using matches played up to and including March 23rd, 2009.
1 Spain               235
2 Netherlands         161
3 Croatia             150
4 Germany             144
5 Ukraine             135
6 Israel              132
7 Turkey              129
8 Russia              128
9 Italy               119
--------------------------
10 England             114
11 Switzerland         107
12 Czech Republic      102
13 Poland              101
13 Republic of Ireland 101
15 Bulgaria             98
16 Portugal             97
17 Lithuania            96
17 Sweden               96
--------------------------
19 Denmark              95
20 Serbia               94
21 Greece               93
22 Romania              84
23 France               81
24 Belgium              74
25 Slovakia             73
26 Hungary              71
27 Slovenia             69
--------------------------
28 Montenegro           66
28 Wales                66
30 Belarus              56
30 Latvia               56
32 FYR Macedonia        55
32 Norway               55
34 Albania              54
34 Bosnia-Herzegovina   54
36 Iceland              52
--------------------------
37 Northern Ireland     49
37 Scotland             49
39 Finland              46
39 Luxembourg           46
41 Austria              42
42 Estonia              40
43 Cyprus               36
44 Kazakhstan           34
45 Armenia              28
--------------------------
46 Georgia              26
47 Azerbaijan           24
48 Faroe Islands        23
48 Moldova              23
50 Malta                22
51 Liechtenstein         5
52 Andorra               0
52 San Marino            0
Montenegro really making progress - up 15 places in the regional ranking compared to the March 2009 release. Lithuania (+11) and Belarus (+10) also on the up.
Scotland (-17) , France and Northern Ireland (both -13) have started on the wrong foot.

Possible group of death: Spain, England, France, Norway, Scotland, Georgia

Possible group of life: Israel, Lithuania, Slovenia, Iceland, Luxembourg, San Marino

5 comments:

  1. My guess is that the new UEFA rankings will be used

    ReplyDelete
  2. The 2007 draw was an exception (because the work for the new system was in progress yet).
    The new Uefa ranking system will be used for next european and world championships qualifying drawings, as written in Uefa website too.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hi guys!

    I was unable to find anything stating the UEFA NT coefficient will be used for the FIFA World Cup qualifying.

    This is the link to the uefa.com article: New coefficient system.

    "UEFA sees the new, improved system as an important tool for ensuring sporting balance and fairness in both the qualifying phase and final round of the UEFA European Championship. It is used in particular for the pot allocation for the qualifying-phase draw and final-round draw."

    ReplyDelete
  4. This is very interesting too:
    http://www.uefa.com/MultimediaFiles/Download/uefa/KeyTopics/69/80/93/698093_DOWNLOAD.pdf

    ReplyDelete
  5. I did read the pdf document. Nothing suggests it will be used for the FIFA World Cup preliminary draw.

    ReplyDelete