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Wednesday, December 21, 2011

FIFA Ranking: January 2012 probable ranking

Next update: 13 January 2012.

FIFA will publish the ranking on 18 January.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Bosnia-Herzegovina, Panama and Estonia will very likely improve their best ever ranking.

Probable January 2012 rank - Team - Probable January 2012 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Spain 1564 0 0
2 Netherlands 1365 0 0
3 Germany 1345 0 0
4 Uruguay 1309 0 0
5 England 1173 0 0
6 Brazil 1143 0 0
7 Portugal 1100 0 0
8 Croatia 1091 0 0
9 Italy 1082 0 0
10 Argentina 1067 0 0
11 Denmark 1032 0 -3
12 Russia 971 0 0
13 Chile 970 0 0
14 Greece 964 0 0
15 France 915 0 0
16 Switzerland 898 1 0
17 Sweden 891 1 0
18 Côte d'Ivoire 889 -2 -23
19 Bosnia-Herzegovina 869 1 0
19 Japan 869 0 -15
21 Australia 866 2 15
21 Mexico 866 0 0
23 Republic of Ireland 864 -1 0
24 Paraguay 795 0 0
25 Norway 788 0 0
26 Slovenia 780 0 0
27 Ghana 779 2 18
28 Serbia 775 -1 0
29 Turkey 769 -1 0
30 Korea Republic 752 2 0
31 Czech Republic 749 2 0
32 Algeria 734 -2 -24
33 USA 721 1 0
34 Peru 712 1 0
35 Colombia 709 1 0
36 Egypt 698 -5 -57
37 Hungary 665 0 0
37 Israel 665 0 0
39 Venezuela 660 0 -1
40 Slovakia 648 0 0
41 Belgium 647 0 0
42 Ecuador 634 0 0
43 Nigeria 624 0 -3
44 Iran 623 1 7
45 Armenia 612 1 0
46 Senegal 602 -2 -23
47 Panama 600 2 11
48 Scotland 599 -1 0
49 Wales 591 -1 0
50 Montenegro 585 1 0
51 Honduras 579 2 5
52 Estonia 573 5 18
52 Jamaica 573 2 0
54 Ukraine 568 1 0
55 South Africa 563 -3 -14
56 Romania 562 0 0
57 Cameroon 551 -7 -37
58 Cape Verde Islands 549 0 0
59 Tunisia 541 0 4
60 Sierra Leone 533 0 7
61 Morocco 523 0 -1
62 Libya 514 1 0
63 El Salvador 506 6 43
64 Belarus 501 0 0
65 Burkina Faso 499 -3 -19
65 Costa Rica 499 0 4
67 Uzbekistan 495 8 46
68 Poland 494 -2 2
69 Mali 476 -2 4
70 Latvia 466 -2 0
71 Austria 459 -1 0
72 Iraq 457 6 17
73 Canada 455 -1 0
73 China PR 455 -2 -2
75 Georgia 451 -2 0
76 Albania 450 -2 0
77 Trinidad and Tobago 449 -1 1
78 Guinea 436 2 0
79 Zambia 434 0 -5
80 Haiti 433 1 4
81 Angola 431 2 19
82 Jordan 426 0 9
83 Uganda 411 6 13
84 Bulgaria 410 0 0
85 Antigua and Barbuda 407 2 3
86 Finland 405 0 0
87 Northern Ireland 403 1 0
87 Saudi Arabia 403 9 40
89 Guatemala 400 1 3
90 Oman 389 -5 -19
91 Gabon 387 -14 -58
92 Guyana 386 -1 -1
93 Botswana 385 2 14
94 Lithuania 382 -2 0
95 Bahrain 372 6 22
95 Kuwait 372 4 21
97 Qatar 364 -4 -14
98 Niger 361 -1 0
99 Malawi 359 -5 -15
100 Togo 350 1 0
101 Vietnam 344 -2 -7
102 FYR Macedonia 335 1 2
103 Zimbabwe 333 -5 -21
104 Iceland 325 0 0
105 Mozambique 319 0 -3
106 Bermuda 314 1 4
107 Korea DPR 312 3 6
108 Puerto Rico 310 0 1
109 Bolivia 309 -1 0
110 Rwanda 304 -4 -10
111 Azerbaijan 300 1 0
112 Lebanon 293 -1 -12
113 Cuba 290 2 0
114 Faroe Islands 285 2 0
114 St. Kitts and Nevis 285 2 0
116 Syria 276 -2 -15
117 Gambia 271 -1 -14
117 New Zealand 271 2 0
119 Congo DR 261 6 7
120 Kenya 260 0 -9
121 Liberia 258 2 0
121 Sudan 258 -8 -39
123 Thailand 257 -1 -5
124 Suriname 254 1 0
125 Cyprus 253 2 0
126 Luxembourg 252 2 0
127 Central African Republic 251 2 0
128 Namibia 249 -7 -15
129 Dominican Republic 247 2 0
130 Liechtenstein 246 2 0
131 Congo 245 2 0
132 Grenada 241 2 0
133 Belize 230 8 36
133 Ethiopia 230 2 0
135 Moldova 229 1 0
136 Benin 228 -12 -29
137 Tanzania 225 0 1
138 United Arab Emirates 223 -8 -27
139 Kazakhstan 220 -1 0
140 Tajikistan 218 -1 10
141 Burundi 199 -1 -4
142 Chad 188 1 0
143 Lesotho 184 4 24
144 Indonesia 183 -2 -6
145 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 171 -1 1
146 Nicaragua 165 8 24
147 Turkmenistan 164 -1 0
148 Singapore 161 -3 -4
149 Malaysia 157 -1 3
150 Yemen 153 1 7
151 Samoa 149 -2 0
152 Curacao 146 -1 0
153 Nepal 144 0 0
154 Bahamas 141 0 0
155 Malta 140 1 0
156 Philippines 139 3 3
157 Bangladesh 138 0 0
157 India 138 5 7
159 Madagascar 135 1 0
160 Equatorial Guinea 133 -10 -15
160 Fiji 133 1 0
162 Guinea-Bissau 121 1 0
162 Palestine 121 -4 -16
164 Aruba 120 0 0
165 Barbados 119 0 0
166 New Caledonia 116 0 0
167 Chinese Taipei 110 0 -4
168 Hong Kong 109 1 4
169 Mongolia 106 -1 0
170 Cambodia 101 0 0
171 Dominica 100 0 0
172 Myanmar 99 0 0
173 Maldives 98 0 0
174 Laos 96 0 0
174 Vanuatu 96 0 0
176 Tonga 88 0 0
177 Afghanistan 85 0 0
178 US Virgin Islands 82 0 0
179 Swaziland 80 1 5
180 Pakistan 76 -1 0
181 Solomon Islands 75 -1 0
181 Sri Lanka 75 -1 0
183 Cayman Islands 74 0 0
184 Tahiti 73 0 0
185 St. Lucia 65 0 0
186 American Samoa 61 0 0
187 Seychelles 59 1 6
188 Comoros 55 -1 0
189 Eritrea 45 1 0
190 Somalia 43 -1 -4
191 Kyrgyzstan 42 0 0
192 Guam 36 0 0
193 Papua New Guinea 34 0 0
194 Mauritius 32 0 0
195 Cook Islands 28 0 0
196 Sao Tome e Principe 27 0 0
197 Macau 26 0 0
198 British Virgin Islands 23 1 0
198 Djibouti 23 0 -2
200 Turks and Caicos Islands 13 0 0
201 Anguilla 9 0 0
202 Bhutan 6 0 0
202 Brunei Darussalam 6 0 0
204 Mauritania 4 0 0
205 Timor-Leste 2 0 0
206 Andorra 0 0 0
206 Montserrat 0 0 0
206 San Marino 0 0 0

11 comments:

  1. Hey Bro..hw wl india rise to 157 without playing?..pls reply

    ReplyDelete
  2. Have fun, Edgar. Happy holidays! And hey, you probably wouldn't have had anything or anything much to do the next two weeks anyway! How considerate of you to plan your vacation around us, ha ha! :)

    ReplyDelete
  3. so first I of course also wish Edgar a nice vacation! :)

    well, but as he is not “available” at the moment, I would like to ask a question to rest of you...

    ...because when I was reading this blog today (for the first time after last ranking was published), I was really surprised to not find dozens of messages complaining about all kinds of “inconsistencies” in this ranking…

    so just as an example:
    (again) some countries have different points shown in the ranking list and in the overview (shown at the right after clicking on a country)

    Country - Points in overview - Points in rankinglist
    Uganda - 394 - 398
    Bahrain - 340 - 350
    Kenya - 240 - 269
    Palestine - 113 - 137

    ReplyDelete
  4. Here's some shocking news, for the Dutch at least: Germany will replace Holland as the world number 2 in the February ranking. beacuse both teams wo'nt play until Feb 29, the rankings for February can be calculated. The Dutch will have 1359 points, Germany 1369 points.
    Also, Uruguay are closing in on the Dutch.

    I think this is a result of the extremely good year 2011 for the Uruguayans and Germans, and the not so good year for the Dutch. And if Holland doesn't step up to the plate the coming months and in EURO2012, they could well find themselves outside the top 10 in July 2012.

    ReplyDelete
  5. @EngelRS4

    I think (without checking though) that the differences are because of FIFA including matches after the deadline. I haven't had difference bigger than 2 points for about 2 years I think.

    @Toabcoach

    Thanks - wrote a post starting from your tip :)

    ReplyDelete
  6. @Lorric - thanks, I always try to cater to my audience. :) My kids were very happy to have me at home for 18 days!

    ReplyDelete
  7. @EngelRS4 and Edgar

    In the mentioned cases the overview displays the points-totals from the old (november) ranking, which is of course incorrect.

    By the way, in my opinion Palestine should have 128 pts in the december-ranking instead of 137 pts (see the points-calculation below). Where am I mistaken ?


    cycle date opponent pts
    4 7-8-2008 IRN 0.000
    4 9-8-2008 QAT 0.000
    4 26-10-2008 JOR 74.800
    3 26-3-2009 NEP 42.500
    3 30-3-2009 KGZ 42.500
    3 10-7-2009 IRQ 0.000
    3 13-7-2009 IRQ 0.000
    3 18-7-2009 CHN 0.000
    3 10-10-2009 UAE 65.450
    2 4-6-2010 SUD 69.700
    2 11-8-2010 MTN 43.000
    2 27-9-2010 YEM 0.000
    2 29-9-2010 IRQ 0.000
    1 9-2-2011 TAN 0.000
    1 21-3-2011 BAN 129.000
    1 23-3-2011 PHI 43.000
    1 25-3-2011 MYA 129.000
    1 29-6-2011 AFG 322.500
    1 3-7-2011 AFG 107.500
    1 23-7-2011 THA 0.000
    1 28-7-2011 THA 176.300
    1 22-8-2011 IDN 0.000
    1 5-10-2011 IRN 0.000
    1 6-12-2011 BHR 252.840
    1 17-12-2011 SUD 227.040
    1 20-12-2011 BHR 0.000


    cycle pts MP avg_pts w_avg
    1 1387.180 13 106.71 106.71
    2 112.700 5 22.54 11.27
    3 150.450 6 25.08 7.52
    4 74.800 5 14.96 2.99
    PLE: 128.49

    ReplyDelete
  8. Don't bother to answer, I see it already:
    the match BHR-PLE (20/12/2011) doesn't count for the december-points.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Good for you, Edgar. Welcome back.

    ReplyDelete
  10. when India will come to 100...............

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. When they'll start winning competitive games (World Cup qualifiers or AFC Challenge Cup).

      Delete