Perhaps some you expect Uganda to make quite a leap in the November FIFA ranking after defeating a team ranked 41st in a qualifier? A quick calculation for this match: 3 * 2.5 * 0.86 * (200 - 41) = 1022.55 points and a total of 428 points overall, a jump of 4 places to 86th. Good news for Bobby Williamson and the Cranes. Well, not quite.
Because the match went to penalties and Uganda lost, the Cranes will only receive a third of those 1022.55 points and will have only 385 points in November, dropping 7 places to 97th.
If the score would have been 2 - 1, with Zambia qualifying on the away goals rule, Uganda would have been 86th as expected. Strange, isn't it?
Even stranger, if the order of the legs was reversed (Uganda first winning at home 1 - 0, then losing in Zambia 1 - 0 and then 9 - 8 on penalties), Uganda would have had 449 points in November - good enough for 79th.
I wrote about this three years ago and I even asked FIFA about it. No answer. I wrote another e-mail this week and here's the answer:
Thank you for your e-mail and for bringing this matter to our attention. FIFA will review your input and if relevant make amendments in the calculation accordingly.
A list of competitive matches affected:
|13/Oct/2012||CQ||Uganda||Zambia||1:0 (1:0) 8:9 PSO|
|12/Jul/2011||WQ||St. Lucia||Aruba||4:2 a.e.t. (4:2, 2:1) 5:4 PSO|
|28/Oct/2007||WQ||Jordan||Kyrgyzstan||2:0 a.e.t. (2:0, 1:0) 6:5 PSO|
|16/Nov/2005||WQ||Australia||Uruguay||1:0 a.e.t. (1:0, 1:0) 4:2 PSO|
|11/Aug/2002||CQ||Curacao||Guyana||1:0 a.e.t. (1:0, 1:0) 3:2 PSO|
|03/Sep/2000||CQ||Togo||Sierra Leone||2:0 a.e.t. (2:0, 1:0) 4:2 PSO|
|16/Jul/2000||CQ||Mozambique||Lesotho||1:0 (0:0) 2:3 PSO|
|15/Jul/2000||CQ||Libya||Chad||3:1 8:7 PSO|
|19/Mar/2000||WQ||Suriname||St. Lucia||1:0 a.e.t. (1:0, 0:0) 3:1 PSO|
Why go back to 2000? Because when the system was changed in 2006, the company computing the ranking for FIFA went back as far as 1996 to apply the new formula.