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Friday, November 9, 2012

FIFA Ranking: December 2012 probable ranking

Next update: 16 November 2012. 

FIFA will publish the ranking on 19 December.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. 

The 2012 CECAFA Cup draw is scheduled for 12 November, thus I couldn't generate the probable results for this competition.

Based on these probable results, Vietnam, Sao Tome e Principe, Cuba, Thailand, Trinidad and Tobago, and Jamaica would climb more than 15 spots, while Belize, Bermuda, Saudi Arabia, Chad, Lebanon, Afghanistan, Wales, Korea DPR, Curacao and Dominican Republic would drop more than 15 places.


As I mentioned in the preview, Ecuador will improve their best ever ranking - this doesn't depend on the probable results.

Probable December 2012 rank - Team - Probable December 2012 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Spain 1606 0 42
2 Germany 1437 0 16
3 Argentina 1271 0 -78
4 Italy 1204 1 35
5 England 1165 1 -2
6 Portugal 1163 -2 -15
7 Colombia 1140 1 30
8 Netherlands 1124 -1 -4
9 Russia 1097 0 13
10 Croatia 1064 0 -14
11 Greece 1008 1 4
12 Switzerland 1004 4 38
13 Ecuador 999 4 48
14 Côte d'Ivoire 995 1 21
15 Mexico 994 -1 10
16 Brazil 990 -3 -4
17 Uruguay 945 -6 -102
18 France 908 0 -30
19 Algeria 906 0 -1
20 Belgium 886 0 5
21 Japan 840 3 30
21 Sweden 840 2 14
23 Chile 832 -2 -21
24 Denmark 821 -2 -30
25 Mali 809 3 37
26 Czech Republic 781 -1 -25
27 Ghana 777 2 15
28 Norway 776 -2 -2
29 Hungary 771 1 18
30 USA 769 -3 -7
31 Montenegro 756 3 65
32 Bosnia-Herzegovina 751 -1 5
33 Korea Republic 734 -1 6
34 Zambia 683 5 50
35 Jamaica 673 15 87
36 Romania 664 1 -5
37 Paraguay 660 -2 -30
38 Australia 650 -5 -69
39 Egypt 629 1 2
40 Turkey 627 -2 -12
41 Republic of Ireland 626 -5 -56
42 Iran 612 2 1
43 Haiti 610 14 57
43 Serbia 610 -1 -16
45 Bolivia 609 6 24
46 Tunisia 606 0 -3
47 Slovenia 605 2 12
48 Peru 603 -4 -8
49 Bulgaria 601 -9 -26
50 Gabon 595 2 14
50 Slovakia 595 -7 -24
52 Venezuela 584 -4 -16
53 Panama 582 -7 -27
54 Central African Republic 581 -2 0
55 Libya 572 4 27
56 Ukraine 568 -1 -7
57 Poland 565 -3 -14
58 Nigeria 543 -1 -10
59 Honduras 540 -3 -32
60 Cameroon 536 2 16
61 Guinea 527 10 42
62 Trinidad and Tobago 526 17 80
63 Sierra Leone 521 -2 0
64 Canada 517 -4 -9
65 Costa Rica 515 -1 6
66 Albania 504 1 8
67 Cape Verde Islands 498 -4 -13
68 Israel 496 10 44
69 Austria 492 -1 0
70 Morocco 490 2 8
70 Scotland 490 0 2
72 Belarus 470 2 -8
73 Georgia 462 -8 -37
74 Uganda 459 12 31
75 Armenia 457 7 13
75 Benin 457 2 0
75 Guatemala 457 1 -10
78 Angola 454 1 8
79 Togo 450 -6 -29
80 Senegal 449 -5 -22
81 Ethiopia 446 21 113
82 Equatorial Guinea 439 13 42
83 China PR 436 5 12
83 Uzbekistan 436 -14 -54
85 Wales 435 -19 -62
86 FYR Macedonia 433 -3 2
87 Estonia 431 -3 1
88 South Africa 430 -4 0
89 Northern Ireland 422 11 66
90 Finland 415 1 4
91 Jordan 397 -1 -23
92 Burkina Faso 392 -3 -31
92 Iceland 392 4 0
94 Sudan 384 8 51
95 New Zealand 383 -2 -21
96 Oman 374 -10 -54
97 Qatar 365 7 35
98 Iraq 350 -1 -40
99 Korea DPR 349 -18 -96
99 Malawi 349 2 12
99 Zimbabwe 349 -1 -34
102 El Salvador 348 -8 -54
103 Congo DR 341 -4 -19
104 United Arab Emirates 340 5 20
105 Latvia 334 3 12
106 Niger 331 1 7
107 Dominican Republic 330 -15 -76
107 New Caledonia 330 -3 0
109 Liberia 312 5 0
109 Mozambique 312 1 -6
111 Congo 310 4 1
112 Kuwait 298 -2 -20
113 Lithuania 284 6 -12
114 Guyana 281 2 -24
115 Sao Tome e Principe 275 18 35
116 Botswana 274 1 -25
117 St. Kitts and Nevis 271 -11 -56
118 Vietnam 270 20 53
119 Namibia 267 -2 -32
120 Cyprus 264 7 6
120 Rwanda 264 2 -16
122 Tanzania 262 12 25
123 Cuba 257 18 59
123 Suriname 257 2 -8
125 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 256 1 -7
126 Moldova 255 6 14
127 Turkmenistan 254 2 0
128 Azerbaijan 250 -5 -27
129 Puerto Rico 248 1 0
130 Kenya 247 0 -1
131 Bahrain 246 -7 -24
132 Lebanon 244 -20 -69
133 Saudi Arabia 241 -21 -72
134 Antigua and Barbuda 234 -13 -47
135 Tajikistan 233 2 8
135 Thailand 233 17 73
137 Burundi 231 -9 -24
138 Syria 223 9 51
139 Tahiti 215 0 0
140 Chad 212 -20 -70
141 Kazakhstan 200 -1 0
142 Barbados 197 11 39
143 Gambia 186 -1 0
144 Nicaragua 180 -8 -53
145 Luxembourg 172 -1 -7
146 Philippines 170 -3 -14
147 St. Lucia 168 -1 -7
148 Solomon Islands 166 1 0
149 Malta 164 0 -2
150 Aruba 163 4 9
151 Liechtenstein 154 6 7
152 Faroe Islands 151 7 13
153 Malaysia 149 10 22
154 Grenada 148 -5 -18
155 Indonesia 142 10 18
156 Bermuda 139 -21 -96
157 Singapore 138 6 11
158 Palestine 137 -10 -31
159 Lesotho 130 -1 -10
159 Maldives 130 1 -5
161 Dominica 124 -6 -27
162 Hong Kong 108 10 0
162 Yemen 108 0 -23
164 Myanmar 107 -8 -42
165 Vanuatu 99 9 0
166 Chinese Taipei 96 10 6
166 India 96 3 -20
168 Belize 92 -24 -87
169 Fiji 85 -2 -36
170 Nepal 83 -1 -33
171 Bangladesh 81 0 -33
172 Laos 78 5 -9
173 Samoa 74 -8 -50
174 Bahamas 66 9 0
174 Guinea-Bissau 66 1 -32
174 Montserrat 66 9 0
177 Curacao 65 -16 -69
178 Swaziland 61 7 5
179 Madagascar 55 -6 -51
179 Mongolia 55 7 0
181 Brunei Darussalam 52 6 0
181 Timor-Leste 52 6 0
183 Cambodia 50 8 1
184 Guam 48 -3 -23
185 Tonga 44 -8 -43
186 Afghanistan 39 -19 -82
186 US Virgin Islands 39 4 -11
188 Papua New Guinea 38 7 0
189 Pakistan 37 -9 -35
190 Sri Lanka 36 -8 -32
191 British Virgin Islands 34 6 0
192 Cayman Islands 33 -3 -18
193 American Samoa 30 -14 -55
194 Comoros 29 2 -7
195 Somalia 27 -2 -16
196 Eritrea 24 -4 -21
196 Seychelles 24 -2 -15
198 Macau 23 1 1
199 Kyrgyzstan 20 1 0
199 South Sudan 20 1 0
201 Cook Islands 16 -3 -12
202 Djibouti 13 0 -4
202 Mauritius 13 1 0
204 Andorra 11 -1 -2
205 Anguilla 4 0 0
206 Mauritania 3 0 0
207 Bhutan 0 0 0
207 San Marino 0 0 0
207 Turks and Caicos Islands 0 0 0

9 comments:

  1. Let the fun begin again! England lost tonight against Sweden. Typical Ibrahimovic. Shining in a match that doesn't matter. Looked like a football God tonight, but at the Euro was more interested in talking trash, sneaking a drink from Hart's water bottle, and generally being invisible when there was actual football needing to be played and Sweden's tournament was on the line.

    Anyway, back to the reason for the post, the fun will begin, because England will climb to 5th despite the loss thanks to Portugal failing to defeat Gabon. If only England could have got a result, Italy lost to France, and England could have claimed 4th with just a draw. Although they would have been sharing the position with Italy.

    Seems to be a bad day for big teams. Argentina somehow drew with Saudi Arabia. Germany and Netherlands drew with each other, so of the big boys only Spain get a win.

    Of course, everyone's moaning that we (England) are shit again. Even though we had a largely experimental side out that controlled the game for the first 60mins until the team was destabilised with all the subs and Ibrahimovic switched on the magic.

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  2. Haiti defeated Guyana 1-0. Their assault on the FIFA World Ranking table continues...

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  3. Lorric,

    a climb for England ?
    I still have them at 6th spot with 1151 pts after yesterdays games, although numbers 4 (Italy with 1165 pts) to 8 (Netherlands with 1124 pts) are very close together.

    So maybe the fun will not start yet !

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    Replies
    1. To clarify: I meant that Colombia with their draw against Brazil has squeaked in between Italy and England with 1164 pts in 5th spot.

      Btw I saw the first and last 10 minutes of the match Holland-Germany. OK, I know it were not the first eleven that both sides had on the pitch but... what a poor, very poor match-play from both sides. Must be the worst 20 minutes of football I've seen in a long, long time.
      Btw2 Brilliant goal from Ibrahimovic, a downright beauty :O

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    2. Wow. I never checked Colombia, I didn't think they'd be able to something like that having soared up the table already. They could have gone to 1210 with a win!

      I've heard bad things about Netherlands/Germany. It's Netherlands/Germany! I thought that was supposed to be a big game!

      So many underperformances by big sides. I am hsppy with the England match though despite the defeat.

      Ibrahimovic would drive me up the wall if he was English or I was Swedish. He's invisible in big games. I'd probably want to slap him if I was Swedish and ask him where was that at Euro 2012. He scored four goals yesterday, just one goal against England at Euro 2012 would have seen Sweden eliminate France and go through.

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    3. Although that being said, I've heard Ibra had a good game against France. Sweden were already out at that point. I expect if they could qualify with a win there he would have been invisible again.

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  4. romania a invins aseara. i-ai scazut 5 puncte ca si cum ar fi pierdut. iar belgiei i-ai adaugat ca si cum ar fi castigat.

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