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Friday, March 29, 2013

FIFA Ranking: April 2013 final preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 11 April 2013.

Only one match left: 6 April Bolivia vs. Brazil (friendly).

This is how the totals could change for these two teams:

Brazil (L: 879, D: 889, W: 909)
Bolivia (L: 537, D: 553, W: 586)

In the table below the values displayed for these teams are the lowest possible, so even if the lose, their totals won't drop.

Croatia move an impressive 5 places to reach 4th. Their best ranking was 3rd in January 1999.

Brazil will drop to at least 19th - their worst ever ranking. If they don't win against Bolivia they will drop out of the top 20, to 21st.




Best movers:

59 - Kyrgyzstan
45 - Equatorial Guinea
40 - Tajikistan

Worst movers:

-22 - Georgia and Northern Ireland
-20 - Bolivia
-18 - Cape Verde Islands

Bolivia could limit the damage by not losing against Brazil.

Best movers in the top 50:

22 - Wales
16 - Albania
11 - Ukraine

Worst movers in the top 50:

-20 - Bolivia
-9 - Zambia
-7 - Australia

Seven teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Ecuador (10 - 11 in March 2013)
Venezuela (36 - 39 in November 2011)
Panama (38 - 41 in March 2013)
Albania (48 - 50 in April 2011)
Equatorial Guinea (59 - 64 in March 2008)
Tajikistan (112 - 114 in July 1997)
Afghanistan (139 - 141 in March 2013)

Three teams will return to their best ever ranking:

Côte d'Ivoire (12 - 12 in February 2013)
Belgium (16 - 16 in January 2003)
Philippines (143 - 143 in November 2012)

Two teams will return to their worst ever ranking:

Indonesia (170 - 170 in October 2012)
Seychelles (199 - 199 in July 2011)

Seven teams will drop to new lows:

Brazil (19 - 18 in December 2012)
Singapore (165 - 163 in November 2012)
Yemen (174 - 170 in March 2013)
Fiji (177 - 170 in August 2007)
Cayman Islands (196 - 192 in December 2007)
Eritrea (198 - 197 in February 2013)
Macau (202 - 201 in August 2012)

Georgia's drop of 22 places will be their worst move ever (they fell 21 places in April 2012).
Tajikistan's climb of 40 places will be their best move ever (they climbed 29 places in September 2011).
Kyrgyzstan's climb of 59 places will be their best move ever (they climbed 27 places in June 1997).

April 2013 rank - Team - April 2013 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Spain 1538 0 -72
2 Germany 1428 0 -45
3 Argentina 1292 0 -17
4 Croatia 1191 5 111
5 Portugal 1163 2 30
6 Colombia 1154 0 -5
7 England 1135 -3 -39
8 Italy 1117 -3 -56
9 Netherlands 1093 -1 -13
10 Ecuador 1056 1 19
11 Russia 1052 -1 -12
12 Côte d'Ivoire 1008 1 -14
13 Greece 986 -1 -47
14 Mexico 971 1 -24
15 Switzerland 967 -1 -52
16 Belgium 953 3 61
17 Uruguay 932 -1 -18
18 France 914 -1 -7
19 Denmark 900 6 86
20 Bosnia-Herzegovina 896 3 71
21 Brazil 879 -3 -29
22 Ghana 874 -2 -9
23 Chile 870 -1 41
24 Sweden 838 -3 -11
25 Czech Republic 829 2 20
26 Mali 826 -2 11
27 Montenegro 789 1 -1
28 USA 779 5 46
29 Japan 773 -3 -38
30 Norway 760 -1 -24
31 Nigeria 757 -1 -18
32 Peru 752 9 128
33 Hungary 749 -1 -3
34 Romania 746 -3 -22
35 Algeria 735 -1 13
36 Venezuela 708 7 86
37 Ukraine 675 11 77
38 Panama 663 3 39
39 Republic of Ireland 662 1 35
40 Serbia 659 -5 2
41 Tunisia 647 3 28
42 Korea Republic 644 5 43
43 Paraguay 643 -5 3
44 Turkey 634 1 18
45 Zambia 632 -9 -11
46 Australia 624 -7 -10
47 Costa Rica 606 6 29
48 Albania 596 16 86
49 Wales 589 22 98
50 Burkina Faso 587 0 -1
51 Bulgaria 583 -5 -32
52 Honduras 581 -3 -11
53 Jamaica 564 1 -12
54 Slovakia 563 1 -11
55 Slovenia 560 1 -7
56 Iran 538 1 -2
57 Bolivia 537 -20 -104
58 Israel 536 16 51
59 Equatorial Guinea 535 45 200
60 Cameroon 533 19 80
61 Haiti 532 -10 -52
62 South Africa 530 -2 -1
63 Poland 529 -2 0
64 Central African Republic 528 -12 -53
65 Libya 524 0 17
66 Uzbekistan 521 -7 -15
67 Sierra Leone 517 -4 0
68 Egypt 507 7 29
69 Belarus 502 -7 -22
70 Guinea 480 2 -9
71 Austria 472 8 19
72 Togo 470 -5 -30
73 Iceland 469 19 77
74 Morocco 466 3 -9
75 Cape Verde Islands 464 -18 -76
76 Jordan 462 14 68
77 Congo 459 24 101
77 Scotland 459 -11 -42
79 Canada 457 -11 -39
80 Gabon 450 -5 -28
81 Trinidad and Tobago 446 -12 -48
82 Finland 444 5 21
83 FYR Macedonia 441 -10 -46
84 El Salvador 440 -1 8
85 Congo DR 435 -4 -2
86 Cuba 433 -8 -25
86 New Zealand 433 2 14
88 Senegal 430 -6 -4
89 United Arab Emirates 423 9 59
90 Armenia 421 -6 -10
91 Georgia 417 -22 -77
92 Uganda 413 -7 -14
93 Estonia 411 -4 3
94 Angola 401 1 20
94 Guatemala 401 -3 8
96 Dominican Republic 396 0 18
96 Iraq 396 -2 9
98 China PR 388 11 73
99 Benin 381 -13 -43
100 Niger 362 -7 -27
101 Zimbabwe 349 -1 -12
102 Qatar 346 -4 -18
103 Oman 344 2 15
104 Liberia 334 14 69
105 New Caledonia 333 -2 -3
106 Mozambique 330 1 9
107 Ethiopia 328 5 21
108 Malawi 323 3 13
109 Latvia 322 -1 3
109 Saudi Arabia 322 -3 -5
111 Lithuania 316 4 29
112 Tajikistan 312 40 158
113 Kuwait 311 0 17
113 Suriname 311 -3 0
115 Korea DPR 310 -13 -31
116 Tanzania 305 3 42
117 Bahrain 291 0 20
118 Antigua and Barbuda 288 -4 0
119 Northern Ireland 285 -22 -82
120 Azerbaijan 276 -4 -10
121 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 271 -2 8
122 Kenya 266 4 19
123 Cyprus 262 10 37
124 Burundi 261 0 8
125 Botswana 257 -3 -3
125 Namibia 257 -4 -4
125 Puerto Rico 257 -2 0
128 Guyana 248 -3 0
129 Lebanon 242 1 8
130 Belize 239 -2 -1
131 Turkmenistan 235 9 28
132 Vietnam 234 -3 -5
133 Sudan 224 -6 -17
134 Tahiti 221 4 6
135 Rwanda 219 -3 -9
136 St. Kitts and Nevis 218 1 -1
137 Syria 215 -3 -7
138 Moldova 214 -7 -18
139 Afghanistan 210 2 20
140 Thailand 208 -5 -12
141 Grenada 207 -6 -13
142 Kyrgyzstan 206 59 187
143 Philippines 204 2 31
144 Kazakhstan 199 -5 -13
145 Barbados 188 -3 0
146 Gambia 187 -2 11
147 Liechtenstein 182 10 39
147 Luxembourg 182 4 25
149 India 178 -6 1
150 Hong Kong 176 9 35
151 Palestine 170 -1 9
152 St. Lucia 168 -6 0
153 Aruba 163 -4 0
154 Bangladesh 161 3 18
155 Myanmar 155 0 8
156 Lesotho 154 10 33
157 Malta 153 -10 -13
158 Maldives 152 3 16
159 Nicaragua 150 -5 0
160 Sao Tome e Principe 144 -4 0
161 Faroe Islands 143 -8 -8
162 Solomon Islands 142 -15 -24
163 Bermuda 139 -3 0
164 Malaysia 137 0 8
165 Singapore 133 -3 0
166 Chad 131 -4 -2
167 Dominica 124 -2 0
168 Laos 118 0 0
168 Pakistan 118 3 21
170 Indonesia 117 -4 -4
171 Nepal 108 4 23
172 Sri Lanka 103 1 11
173 Vanuatu 102 -4 0
174 Yemen 100 -4 -1
175 Mauritania 94 -3 0
176 Chinese Taipei 90 -2 1
177 Fiji 85 -2 0
178 Samoa 74 -1 0
179 Mongolia 67 -1 -5
180 Bahamas 66 -1 0
180 Guinea-Bissau 66 3 3
180 Montserrat 66 -1 0
183 Curacao 65 -1 0
183 Guam 65 -4 -1
183 Swaziland 65 0 2
186 Brunei Darussalam 52 0 0
186 Timor-Leste 52 0 0
188 Madagascar 51 0 2
189 Cambodia 50 -4 -8
189 Mauritius 50 0 2
191 Tonga 44 -1 0
192 Comoros 41 0 3
193 US Virgin Islands 39 -2 0
194 Papua New Guinea 38 -2 0
195 British Virgin Islands 34 -1 0
196 Cayman Islands 33 -1 0
197 American Samoa 30 -1 0
198 Eritrea 24 -1 0
199 Seychelles 22 -1 0
200 South Sudan 20 0 0
201 Cook Islands 16 1 0
202 Macau 14 -4 -8
202 Somalia 14 1 0
204 Djibouti 11 0 0
205 Andorra 9 -1 -2
206 Anguilla 4 0 0
207 Bhutan 0 0 0
207 San Marino 0 0 0
207 Turks and Caicos Islands 0 0 0





11 comments:

  1. Hello Edgar,
    Egypt's friendly against Swaziland will not be included as an international FIFA friendly since we substituted the whole team at half time. According to Ed, Egypt's ranking remains the same but our total will be 512 instead of 507 (http://www.football-rankings.info/2013/03/march-2013-fifa-ranking-vs-elo-ratings.html?showComment=1364199198458#c5418617398746264085)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Andrew,

      512 would have been Egypt's total with a Zimbabwe-win and the Swaziland match removed. That match is however still included, so it's still 507 points.

      Delete
    2. But friendlies can only be included if no more than 6 substitutions were made during the match. See here (last criteria): http://www.football-rankings.info/2012/11/fifa-ranking-rules-for-friendly-matches.html

      Where did you get your info that Egypt-Swaziland is included?

      Delete
    3. As far as I know this list is leading in the calculation of the FIFA points:
      http://www.fifa.com/worldfootball/results/male.html

      Delete
    4. shame on you brazil. keep dropping.

      Delete
    5. Ed, I don't think every match on that list is included in the rankings. It wouldn't make sense because this list includes upcoming matches prior to their taking place and the result is simply added to the entry as soon as it's known. But actually, it's only after a match that the two teams send the match report along with the referee's signature to FIFA for inclusion in the rankings. Sometimes they agree not to.

      If you look at the bottom of that page you posted, there's a note saying that the list is compiled from official sources as well as from media reports, so I would say it's definitely not the final thing on which the rankings are based.

      Also, I trust my eyes that 11 Egyptian players entered the pitch on the 22nd of March at half time against Swaziland. And the 6 subs limit thing is an official FIFA document so...

      Delete
    6. Andrew,

      And I trust you when you say you saw a whole new team the second half. And indeed, I have seen the document stating the requirements for a match to be an official A-international.
      I just don't know the reason why this match is still in this list. All I know is that the results (and of course not the upcoming fixtures) as presented in this list, are used to calculate the FIFA points for each team.
      I have only seen it once in the 4 years that I follow the ranking now (and I think it was the ranking of January or February this year, I've made a comment on it on this site) that the presented points in the FIFA ranking did not entirely correspond with the results in this list.

      But in the end, 507 or 512 points, it's not the end of the world, is it ? Let's wait and see, if and when this friendly get excluded.

      Delete
    7. Andrew,

      Thy will is done :D

      Delete
  2. Brazil will be back in the higher ranks soon, with the Confederations Cup coming where they will be expected to reach at least into the semifinales and pick up loads of points for the ranking.

    And another bombshell: watch Belgium for the next couple of months. They are expected to burst into the top-10 in July, and in August and September they will be in or near the top-10.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I wouldn't bat an eyelid if they didn't get out of their group.

      It's interesting they've played all these teams recently, a mixed bag, beat Japan, tied Italy, lost to Mexico. Would it be enough?

      Delete
  3. If anyone's interested, did this a while ago but forgot to post it here - March rankings with modified weighing (50%-50%-100%-100%) :

    esp 2,358
    ger 2,092
    arg 1,840
    ned 1,770
    eng 1,735
    por 1,720
    ita 1,712
    uru 1,595
    cro 1,586
    col 1,578
    bra 1,545
    rus 1,543
    gre 1,536
    civ 1,521
    sui 1,473
    mex 1,462
    fra 1,421
    ecu 1,376
    den 1,339
    chi 1,331
    swe 1,311
    gha 1,308
    bih 1,251
    bel 1,205

    ReplyDelete