Latest updates

Check the Important info page for latest updates! (2 December 2016)
TwitterLinked In

Friday, May 10, 2013

FIFA Ranking: June 2013 probable ranking

Next update: 31 May 2013.

FIFA will publish the ranking on 6 June.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

There will be a lot of movement due to devaluation of results.
At least three teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Bosnia-Herzegovina (between 14 and 15 - 19 in January 2012)
Mali (between 21 and 23 - 24 in March 2013)
Albania (between 37 and 39 - 43 in May 2013)

At least four teams will drop to new lows:

Brazil (between 20 and 23 - 19 in April 2013).
Senegal (99 - 95 in December 1998)
Fiji (between 182 and 183 - 177 in April 2013)
Vanuatu (between 191 and 192 - 188 in April 2000)

If Brazil don't defeat England, they will drop out of the top 20.

Probable June 2013 rank - Team - Probable June 2013 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Spain 1614 0 76
2 Germany 1446 0 18
3 Argentina 1287 0 -9
4 Croatia 1222 0 31
5 Netherlands 1158 4 65
6 Portugal 1137 -1 -26
7 Colombia 1123 -1 -31
8 England 1104 -1 -31
9 Italy 1097 -1 -20
10 Ecuador 1066 0 8
11 Russia 1059 0 7
12 Côte d'Ivoire 1022 0 14
13 Switzerland 1010 1 43
14 Bosnia-Herzegovina 1008 7 112
15 Greece 1006 -2 20
16 Belgium 1003 -1 50
17 Mexico 951 -1 6
18 France 922 0 8
19 Uruguay 913 -2 -19
20 Brazil 898 -1 -4
21 Denmark 890 -1 -10
22 Ghana 871 0 -3
23 Mali 869 3 43
24 Czech Republic 853 1 24
25 Chile 841 -2 -6
25 Montenegro 841 2 52
27 Sweden 830 -3 -8
28 Japan 799 2 26
29 Norway 794 2 34
30 Nigeria 774 -2 -6
31 USA 771 -2 -8
32 Peru 764 0 11
33 Hungary 759 0 10
34 Romania 750 0 4
35 Serbia 723 5 64
36 Algeria 716 -1 -19
37 Venezuela 712 -1 9
38 Ukraine 708 -1 33
39 Albania 690 4 50
40 Korea Republic 666 2 22
41 Panama 658 -3 -5
42 Tunisia 652 -1 5
43 Republic of Ireland 645 -4 -17
44 Paraguay 640 0 6
45 Wales 638 4 49
46 Australia 619 1 -5
46 Zambia 619 0 -9
48 Turkey 606 -4 -28
49 Costa Rica 605 -1 -11
50 Burkina Faso 603 0 16
51 Jamaica 602 2 31
52 Honduras 591 -2 4
53 Bolivia 578 5 41
54 Bulgaria 575 -2 -8
55 Slovakia 565 -1 2
56 New Zealand 551 31 118
57 Uzbekistan 550 9 29
58 Central African Republic 543 6 15
59 South Africa 542 -3 1
60 Iceland 541 13 72
61 Haiti 538 -2 2
62 Slovenia 532 -7 -28
63 Equatorial Guinea 523 -2 -12
64 Poland 517 -1 -12
65 Israel 511 -6 -25
66 Belarus 506 3 4
67 Iran 504 -10 -34
68 Cameroon 500 -6 -33
69 Sierra Leone 497 -2 -20
70 Egypt 491 -2 -21
71 Cape Verde Islands 486 4 22
72 Libya 484 -7 -40
73 Togo 483 -1 13
74 Scotland 481 4 22
75 Jordan 472 2 10
76 Austria 469 -5 -3
77 Morocco 463 -3 -3
78 FYR Macedonia 460 6 19
79 Canada 454 1 -3
80 Guinea 453 -10 -27
81 Congo 452 -3 -7
82 Trinidad and Tobago 447 0 0
83 Gabon 444 -2 -6
84 Finland 442 -1 -2
85 El Salvador 429 0 -11
86 United Arab Emirates 424 3 1
87 Congo DR 421 -1 -14
88 Uganda 418 3 5
89 Guatemala 410 5 10
90 Armenia 408 0 -13
90 Estonia 408 2 -3
92 Angola 406 1 5
92 Cuba 406 -5 -27
94 Dominican Republic 396 1 0
95 China PR 393 3 5
96 Georgia 391 0 -3
97 Iraq 375 0 -16
98 New Caledonia 371 6 38
99 Senegal 366 -23 -97
100 Liberia 351 3 17
101 Mozambique 349 5 20
102 Qatar 347 -1 2
103 Oman 346 -1 2
104 Zimbabwe 342 1 12
105 Ethiopia 330 2 2
105 Lithuania 330 6 14
105 Malawi 330 4 7
108 Niger 325 -8 -37
109 Saudi Arabia 323 -1 -1
110 Kuwait 315 3 4
111 Tajikistan 312 1 0
111 Tanzania 312 5 6
113 Suriname 311 0 0
114 Korea DPR 309 1 0
115 Benin 308 -16 -73
116 Northern Ireland 304 3 19
117 Bahrain 292 0 1
118 Namibia 285 7 28
119 Azerbaijan 281 1 5
120 Antigua and Barbuda 280 -2 -8
121 Latvia 277 -11 -45
122 Cyprus 269 1 7
123 Grenada 266 -2 -9
124 Kenya 258 -2 -8
125 Burundi 256 -1 -5
126 Guyana 249 2 1
127 Botswana 245 -2 -12
128 Puerto Rico 241 -3 -16
129 Belize 239 1 0
130 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 238 1 2
131 Sudan 235 3 11
132 Turkmenistan 232 1 0
133 Vietnam 231 -1 -3
134 Moldova 230 5 16
135 Lebanon 228 -6 -14
136 Rwanda 224 0 5
137 St. Kitts and Nevis 218 0 0
138 Syria 215 0 0
138 Tahiti 215 -3 -6
140 Afghanistan 210 0 0
140 St. Lucia 210 0 0
142 Thailand 209 0 1
143 Kyrgyzstan 206 0 0
144 Philippines 203 0 4
145 Luxembourg 186 3 4
146 Kazakhstan 180 -2 -19
147 India 179 3 1
148 Hong Kong 178 3 2
149 Barbados 175 -3 -13
150 Aruba 163 2 0
151 Palestine 162 2 0
152 Lesotho 156 3 2
153 Chad 152 13 21
154 Myanmar 149 4 0
155 Malta 148 1 -5
156 Bangladesh 147 -2 -14
157 Maldives 146 2 0
158 Liechtenstein 145 -10 -37
159 Malaysia 144 2 1
159 Sao Tome e Principe 144 1 0
161 Bermuda 139 3 0
162 Faroe Islands 138 -1 -5
162 Gambia 138 -15 -49
162 Nicaragua 138 -5 -12
165 Singapore 134 0 1
166 Solomon Islands 130 -3 -12
167 Dominica 124 0 0
168 Laos 118 0 0
168 Pakistan 118 0 0
170 Indonesia 116 0 -1
171 Nepal 108 0 0
172 Sri Lanka 99 2 0
173 Yemen 96 0 -4
174 Mauritania 94 1 0
175 Chinese Taipei 90 1 0
176 Bahamas 66 3 0
176 Montserrat 66 3 0
178 Curacao 65 4 0
178 Guam 65 4 0
178 Swaziland 65 4 0
181 Guinea-Bissau 62 -2 -4
182 Fiji 61 -5 -24
182 Mongolia 61 3 0
184 Madagascar 55 4 4
185 Brunei Darussalam 52 1 0
185 Mauritius 52 4 2
185 Timor-Leste 52 1 0
188 Samoa 46 -10 -28
189 Cambodia 45 1 0
190 Tonga 44 1 0
191 Vanuatu 43 -19 -59
192 Comoros 41 0 0
193 US Virgin Islands 39 0 0
194 Papua New Guinea 38 0 0
195 British Virgin Islands 34 0 0
196 Cayman Islands 33 0 0
197 American Samoa 30 0 0
198 Eritrea 24 0 0
199 Seychelles 22 0 0
200 South Sudan 20 0 0
201 Cook Islands 16 0 0
202 Macau 14 0 0
202 Somalia 14 0 0
204 Djibouti 11 0 0
205 Andorra 8 0 -1
206 Anguilla 4 0 0
207 Bhutan 0 0 0
207 San Marino 0 0 0
207 Turks and Caicos Islands 0 0 0

9 comments:

  1. You mentioned on the other page that Scotland would have a min of 481 points but here you have them on 466 points? Cheers Stewart

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The probable points column wasn't updated. 466 - Morocco's points this month (they're ranked 74th). :)

      Thanks for noticing! It's fixed now.

      Delete
  2. Edward,

    It's been interesting to watch Croatia's climb. Is there a story that we can tell about what's been driving the climb? Have they been beating top European teams? Have the other top teams (excluding Spain and Germany) all been having stumbles? Does the rolling off of old matches been driving this upward trend? Has it been one or two matches? Any insights would be appreciated!

    Btw, if Croatia does have a top 7 ranking when the WC Draw is done in December (as your simulations highly suggest), it will be interesting to see if they get a seed (which I think would be deserved based on the ranking), but somehow I'm suspicious about FIFA giving Croatia a seed... Not sure if suspicion is warranted. Thoughts anyone?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It's their qualifying group. All the teams were respectively ranked, and they're beating them all.

      FIFA I don't see why they wouldn't seed Croatia. Even if they were out to rig the event, they could just rig in a France/Portugal/England that didn't get seeded. They'd probably toss England in there, that would have the most neutral appeal to let the rivalry continue.

      But honestly, I think they'll just seed whoever's top 7. The big teams, even if unseeded, ought to be able to get out of their groups short of a group of death situation. And groupsof death can occur even with seeded teams. Italy crashed out of the softest looking group last time.

      Do they even need to rig anything? It's the World Cup. In Brazil. I predict it will shatter records.

      Delete
    2. EDIT: RESPECTABLY ranked.

      Delete
    3. What kind of records do you think will be shattered, Lorric? I personally think we'll see some of the bigger nations struggle again with one or two surprise quarter-finalists e.g. Belgium, Bosnia, Japan.

      Delete
    4. I was thinking things like attendances, viewing figures, TV deals.

      Delete
  3. FIFA includes the June 4 matches in its ranking points calculator. Won't they be included??

    ReplyDelete
  4. @Dorian

    Lorric explanation is on the spot.

    @Andrew Sidhom

    I think it's unlikely.

    ReplyDelete