Yes, a bit of old news, but I have been really busy both at home and at the office, then had a short vacation.
Hats off to FIFA about announcing this before the last match day. Maybe next time it will be known before the preliminary draw.
Here's the official media release from FIFA.
Regarding the procedure for the Final Draw for the 2014 FIFA World Cup Brazil™, the seeded teams (Pot 1) will include Brazil and the seven top-ranked teams. The remaining pots will be based on geographic and sports criteria. The FIFA/Coca-Cola World Ranking
of October 2013 (to be released on 17 Oct. 2013) will be used as
opposed to the November ranking as the latter would give the teams
involved in the upcoming play-off games an unfair advantage.
The seeds are almost set, as FIFA have announced:
The distribution of teams in Pot 1 for the World Cup Final Draw on 6 December is as follows: Brazil, together with Spain, Germany, Argentina, Colombia, Belgium and Switzerland are definitely in Pot 1. If Uruguay
win the intercontinental play-off against Jordan, they will also go
into the first pot. However, if Jordan win, the decimal points
difference between the Netherlands (1135.95) and Italy (1135.61) will see the Dutch take the last place in Pot 1.
Netherlands: Most people look at the draw vs. Estonia as the match that lost the seeding for the Netherlands. However, you can also point the finger to the 2 June friendlies (Indonesia and China PR). Without them, the Netherlands would have had 1212 points and would have been 100% seeded for the final draw - even with the draw against Estonia.
Italy: Again, drawing with Armenia seems the culprit. Perhaps, we should look at bit further back, at friendlies against Haiti and San Marino. Without either of them, Italy would have had around 1160 points and would have been seeded.
England: I wrote them an e-mail in April, warning them about the impact friendlies will have on their seeding chances. Of course, they ignored it. There's also this piece by Jonathan Wilson in the Guardian.
The distribution of teams in Pot 1 for the European play-off draw will
be the four highest-positioned teams, which are confirmed as follows: Portugal, Greece, Croatia and Ukraine. Pot 2 will include France, Sweden, Romania and Iceland
Sweden: On March 26th, 2013, they played a friendly away to Slovakia - the final score was 0:0. With a win in that match Sweden would have had 874 points in the October ranking and would have been seeded at the expense of Ukraine.
France: If they had played and won against Mali, Cape Verde Islands or Iran on 11 October instead of Australia, France would have had more points than Ukraine and of course, they would have been seeded.
How about actually taking a bit of time to study the way the ranking is computed?