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Friday, September 9, 2016

UEFA Nations League update (9 September 2016)

The coefficient used for the first edition draw will be made up of:

2014 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2016 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2018 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting.



Changes since the July 2016 update

The most important change is the calculation for Russia. After this discussion, I've decided it makes sense to include only the 2014 WC and EURO 2016 cycles. Thus, they shoot up to the top of the rankings, only 32 points ahead of Germany. Since Russia's total won't change, they will soon lose the top position.

 1  1 Russia                 29258
 2  2 Germany                29226
 3  4 France                 27568
 4  5 Belgium                27441
 5  3 Portugal               27254
 6  7 Spain                  26810
 7  6 England                26750
 8  8 Italy                  26205
 9  9 Switzerland            25105
10 10 Austria                24598
11 13 Wales                  23608
12 11 Croatia                23318
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13 12 Poland                 23101
14 14 Iceland                22574
15 15 Netherlands            22485
16 18 Bosnia and Herzegovina 22480
17 16 Ukraine                21806
18 17 Hungary                21686
19 20 Czech Republic         21287
20 21 Romania                21217
21 19 Slovakia               21134
22 22 Sweden                 20946
23 23 Republic of Ireland    20928
24 24 Turkey                 20917
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25 26 Albania                20510
26 29 Denmark                20031
27 25 Northern Ireland       19707
28 30 Scotland               19641
29 27 Slovenia               19447
30 28 Norway                 18927
31 33 Greece                 18371
32 34 Bulgaria               18211
33 31 Israel                 18051
34 32 Montenegro             17751
35 35 Finland                17381
36 36 Serbia                 16646
37 37 Lithuania              16361
38 38 Cyprus                 15611
39 39 Belarus                15568
----------------------------------
40 42 Azerbaijan             15161
41 40 Estonia                15060
42 41 Georgia                14623
43 44 Latvia                 14461
44 43 Armenia                13345
45 47 Kazakhstan             13031
46 46 FYR Macedonia          12651
47 45 Moldova                12630
48 49 Faroe Islands          12530
49 48 Luxembourg             12171
50 50 Liechtenstein          11550
51 52 Kosovo                 11000
52 51 Malta                  10830
53 53 San Marino              9150
54 54 Andorra                 9040
55 55 Gibraltar               8575

League A

Pot 1: Russia, Germany, France, Belgium
Pot 2: Portugal, Spain, England, Italy
Pot 3: Switzerland, Austria, Wales, Croatia

League B

Pot 1: Poland, Iceland, Netherlands, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Pot 2: Ukraine, Hungary, Czech Republic, Romania
Pot 3: Slovakia, Sweden, Republic of Ireland, Turkey

League C

Pot 1: Albania, Denmark, Northern Ireland, Scotland
Pot 2: Slovenia, Norway, Greece, Bulgaria
Pot 3: Israel, Montenegro, Finland, Serbia
Pot 4: Lithuania, Cyprus, Belarus

League D

Pot 1: Azerbaijan, Estonia, Georgia, Latvia
Pot 2: Armenia, Kazakhstan, FYR Macedonia, Moldova
Pot 3: Faroe Islands, Luxembourg, Liechtenstein, Kosovo
Pot 4: Malta, San Marino, Andorra, Gibraltar

10 comments:

  1. Hi, when is the actual draw made for the qualifying matches for Euro 2020, what date have they pencilled in?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I'm guessing after the group stage of the Nations League. That ends in November 2018, so my best guesss is in December 2018. Qualifying starts in March 2019.

      Delete
    2. It has to be after Nations League group stage because the seedings are made based on the results of the Nations League.

      Delete
  2. It seems there will be even less space left to play friendly matches in the calendar for the minnows, most of them will be drawn in groups of six teams in Euro Qualifying and all in groups of four teams because they'll enter League D, although may still meet better ranked opponents in qualifiers like before. We'll see if they have a better chance to improve playing each other more often. Even the eternal losers San Marino have already clinched one draw against Estonia.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Question, why do league A and B have 3 pots of 4 teams, isn't it 4 pots of 3 teams, considering there will be a final 4... as well as that league c would be promoting 4 at the end of their season and if league b would only relegate 3, than the numbers would mess up

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Alle leagues have 4 groups. In leagues A en B each group consist of 3 teams (2*3*4 = 24 teams). In league C 3 groups consist of 4 teams and 1 group consists of 3 teams (3*4 + 1*3 = 15 teams). In league D each group consists of 4 teams (4*4 = 16 teams).
      In total: 24+15+16 = 55 UEFA-teams.

      That's why you need 3 seeding pots of each 4 teams for leagues A en B to be able to draw 4 groups of 3 teams. You need as much seeding pots as there are teams in a group and as much teams in each seeding pot as there are groups to fill.

      The 4 groupwinners of the 4 groups in league A fight in the Final Four for the title. The 4 number threes of the 4 groups relegate to league B. The 4 groupwinners of the 4 groups in league B promote to league A etc. etc.

      It all fits perfectly :)

      Delete
    2. Ah, there suppossed to be seeding pots... it all seems so obvious now, really don't know how I didn't see that. For some reason I thought they were like examples of possible groups after the seeding had taken place. Now it all makes sense though, so thank you very much dear helpful person :)

      Delete
  4. Could anyone please explain how playoff for 4 EURO-2020 spots left after EURO-2020 qualification will be held?
    1. What if all nations from Division A are already qualified?
    2. What if only 2 nations from division A and 2 from division B not qualified (or 1/3 or 3/1)? Will A & B have one play-off spot and C & D will have 3 play-off spots???

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If all division A teams are already qualified, which is very likely to happen, the spots will be distributed to the best ranked teams of lower leagues. It's supposed to make the competition more attractive, but in my opinion this tournament system will function nothing but poorly. And combining the complicated details with the distribution of direct spots equally for all divisions ignoring the abismal technical differences between them, we may conclude that the guys of UEFA for some reason are determined in making the qualification process each time less competitive.

      Delete
    2. If they intend to distribute the possible remaining spots for March 2020 play-offs which would be dropped to the lower divisions, will they exclude results against the lowest ranked team in a group with four teams of Division C to define the rankings? And what if all twenty teams qualified by normal route are from leagues A and B, will they allocate the first four accumulated "top league" play-off spots for the four teams relegated to League C? This system is always more complicated than what you think!

      Delete