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Thursday, January 17, 2019

FIFA ranking: January 2019 probable ranking update

Here is an update of the probable January 2019 ranking, to be published on February 7th. This preview is calculated with updated elo-predicted results for the complete knock-out stage of the Asian Nations Cup 2019.


Probable January 2019 rank - Team - Probable January 2019 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Belgium 1727 0 0,0
2 France 1726 0 0,0
3 Brazil 1676 0 0,0
4 Croatia 1634 0 0,0
5 England 1631 0 0,0
6 Portugal 1614 0 0,0
7 Uruguay 1609 0 0,0
8 Switzerland 1599 0 0,0
9 Spain 1591 0 0,0
10 Denmark 1589 0 0,0
11 Argentina 1582 0 0,0
12 Colombia 1575 0 0,0
13 Chile 1565 0 0,0
14 Sweden 1560 0 0,0
14 Netherlands 1560 0 0,0
16 Germany 1558 0 0,0
17 Mexico 1540 0 0,0
18 Italy 1539 0 0,0
19 Iran 1532 10 51,0
20 Wales 1525 -1 0,0
21 Poland 1518 -1 0,0
21 Peru 1518 -1 0,0
23 Austria 1509 -1 0,0
24 Senegal 1505 -1 0,0
25 Romania 1501 -1 0,0
26 USA 1497 -1 0,0
27 Tunisia 1493 -1 0,0
28 Slovakia 1483 -1 0,0
29 Ukraine 1482 -1 0,0
30 Serbia 1481 -1 0,0
31 Venezuela 1478 0 0,0
31 Korea Republic 1478 22 73,0
33 Paraguay 1476 -1 0,0
33 Japan 1476 17 62,0
35 Republic of Ireland 1474 -2 0,0
36 Bosnia-Herzegovina 1472 -2 0,0
37 Australia 1465 4 29,0
37 Northern Ireland 1465 -2 0,0
39 Costa Rica 1464 -3 0,0
40 Iceland 1452 -3 0,0
41 Scotland 1446 -3 0,0
42 Turkey 1443 -3 0,0
43 Morocco 1440 -3 0,0
44 Czech Republic 1435 -2 0,0
45 Greece 1428 -2 0,0
46 Nigeria 1427 -2 0,0
46 Montenegro 1427 -2 0,0
48 Bulgaria 1425 -2 0,0
48 Norway 1425 -2 0,0
50 Russia 1424 -2 0,0
51 Congo DR 1420 -2 0,0
52 Hungary 1412 -1 0,0
52 Ghana 1412 -1 0,0
54 Jamaica 1404 0 0,0
55 Cameroon 1394 0 0,0
56 Egypt 1393 0 0,0
57 Ecuador 1382 0 0,0
58 Finland 1378 0 0,0
59 Bolivia 1374 0 0,0
60 Albania 1372 0 0,0
61 Burkina Faso 1371 0 0,0
62 Slovenia 1369 0 0,0
62 Honduras 1369 0 0,0
64 Mali 1363 0 0,0
65 Cote d'Ivoire 1356 0 0,0
66 Guinea 1354 0 0,0
67 Algeria 1349 0 2,0
68 Saudi Arabia 1344 1 9,0
69 FYR Macedonia 1343 -1 0,0
70 China PR 1339 6 22,0
71 United Arab Emirates 1331 8 22,0
72 El Salvador 1327 -2 0,0
73 Panama 1326 -2 0,0
74 South Africa 1325 -2 0,0
74 Cape Verde Islands 1325 -2 0,0
76 Qatar 1320 17 62,0
76 Uganda 1320 -1 0,0
78 Belarus 1317 -2 0,0
79 Canada 1314 -1 0,0
80 Iraq 1310 8 39,0
81 Curacao 1306 -1 0,0
82 Zambia 1292 1 0,0
83 Syria 1286 -9 -36,0
84 Congo 1280 0 0,0
85 Lebanon 1277 -4 -19,0
85 Gabon 1277 0 0,0
87 Luxembourg 1276 -1 0,0
87 Cyprus 1276 -1 0,0
89 Oman 1273 -7 -22,0
90 Uzbekistan 1270 5 19,0
91 Georgia 1269 -2 0,0
92 Israel 1265 -2 0,0
93 Trinidad and Tobago 1260 -1 0,0
94 Benin 1257 0 0,0
95 Jordan 1255 14 59,0
96 Kyrgyzstan 1250 -5 -14,0
97 Estonia 1242 -1 0,0
98 Faroe Islands 1238 0 0,0
99 Palestine 1226 0 -10,0
100 Mauritania 1222 1 0,0
100 Armenia 1222 1 0,0
102 Vietnam 1220 -2 -9,0
103 India 1219 -6 -21,0
103 Haiti 1219 0 0,0
105 Libya 1217 -1 0,0
106 Kenya 1210 -1 0,0
107 Madagascar 1209 -1 0,0
108 Azerbaijan 1206 -1 0,0
109 Niger 1205 -1 0,0
110 Namibia 1191 1 0,0
111 Bahrain 1188 2 10,0
112 Central African Republic 1180 0 0,0
113 Zimbabwe 1175 1 0,0
114 Sierra Leone 1172 1 0,0
115 Thailand 1169 3 9,0
116 Mozambique 1167 1 0,0
117 Kazakhstan 1159 2 0,0
118 Guinea-Bissau 1158 2 0,0
119 New Zealand 1157 3 0,0
120 Tajikistan 1155 0 -3,0
121 Korea DPR 1152 -12 -44,0
122 Togo 1136 1 0,0
123 Chinese Taipei 1134 1 0,0
124 Philippines 1133 -8 -38,0
125 Angola 1131 0 0,0
126 Antigua and Barbuda 1126 0 0,0
127 Sudan 1120 0 0,0
128 Nicaragua 1119 1 0,0
129 Malawi 1115 1 0,0
130 Kosovo 1113 1 0,0
131 Latvia 1112 1 0,0
132 Andorra 1111 1 0,0
132 Lithuania 1111 1 0,0
134 St. Kitts and Nevis 1105 2 0,0
135 Rwanda 1094 2 0,0
136 Turkmenistan 1089 -9 -31,0
137 Tanzania 1087 1 0,0
138 Myanmar 1085 1 0,0
138 Burundi 1085 1 0,0
140 Hong Kong 1078 1 0,0
140 Swaziland 1078 1 0,0
142 Comoros 1076 1 0,0
143 Solomon Islands 1073 1 0,0
143 Yemen 1073 -8 -33,0
145 Botswana 1071 0 0,0
146 Lesotho 1069 0 0,0
147 Afghanistan 1066 0 -2,0
148 Equatorial Guinea 1063 0 0,0
149 Guatemala 1061 0 0,0
150 Liberia 1051 0 0,0
151 Ethiopia 1049 0 0,0
152 Maldives 1046 0 0,0
153 Suriname 1037 0 0,0
154 Dominican Republic 1036 0 0,0
154 New Caledonia 1036 0 0,0
156 Mauritius 1022 0 0,0
157 Tahiti 1020 0 0,0
158 Kuwait 1018 0 0,0
159 Indonesia 1003 0 0,0
160 Belize 1002 0 0,0
161 Nepal 1001 0 0,0
162 Barbados 998 0 0,0
163 Vanuatu 996 0 0,0
164 South Sudan 994 0 0,0
165 Singapore 991 0 0,0
166 Gambia 986 0 0,0
167 Malaysia 985 0 0,0
168 Papua New Guinea 984 0 0,0
169 Fiji 981 0 0,0
170 Moldova 979 0 0,0
171 St. Lucia 976 0 0,0
172 Cambodia 970 0 0,0
173 Grenada 968 0 0,0
174 Cuba 963 0 0,0
175 Chad 956 0 0,0
176 Bermuda 952 0 0,0
177 Guyana 951 0 0,0
178 Dominica 950 0 0,0
179 Puerto Rico 948 0 0,0
180 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 946 0 0,0
181 Liechtenstein 937 0 0,0
182 Malta 926 0 0,0
183 Macau 925 0 0,0
184 Laos 923 0 0,0
185 Sao Tomé e Príncipe 920 0 0,0
186 Bhutan 917 0 0,0
187 Aruba 916 0 0,0
188 Mongolia 915 0 0,0
189 Seychelles 911 0 0,0
190 American Samoa 908 0 0,0
190 Cook Islands 908 0 0,0
192 Guam 907 0 0,0
192 Bangladesh 907 0 0,0
194 Gibraltar 905 0 0,0
195 Brunei Darussalam 903 0 0,0
196 Timor-Leste 900 0 0,0
197 Samoa 896 0 0,0
197 Djibouti 896 0 0,0
199 Pakistan 888 0 0,0
200 Montserrat 887 0 0,0
201 Sri Lanka 886 0 0,0
202 US Virgin Islands 881 0 0,0
203 Cayman Islands 874 0 0,0
204 Tonga 868 0 0,0
204 Eritrea 868 0 0,0
204 Somalia 868 0 0,0
207 British Virgin Islands 867 0 0,0
208 Turks and Caicos Islands 864 0 0,0
208 Anguilla 864 0 0,0
210 Bahamas 858 0 0,0
211 San Marino 854 0 0,0

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Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

15 comments:

  1. Ed, didnt Sweden lost points with the defeat agains Finland and the draw against Iceland?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Both games were non-FIFA friendlies.

      Delete
    2. Where is the source of that affirmation?

      Delete
    3. Among others:

      https://us.soccerway.com/international/world/non-fifa-friendlies/2019/friendlies-1/r51146/?ICID=SN_04_124

      http://www.espn.com/soccer/match?gameId=532613

      Delete
    4. This is not definitive confirmation, because that can only be provided by FIFA. But it surely gives a hint.

      Delete
  2. I don't know. As Chappers already pointed out, the complete FIFA fixture-list has disappeared from their site, so it's unknown if Sweden's friendlies are included or not. For now I've decided to exclude them, considering previous years where these Scandinavian winter-friendlies most of the time also weren't included.
    I've asked FIFA about the whereabouts of their fixture-list, no reaction yet...

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hey buddy.. Is there any other response from FIFA regarding the 'missing' of fixture-list in their site? or Is there any valid source to get official FIFA matches?

      Delete
  3. Iam sure fifa had took a bribery from united Arab emirates because uae draw with Bahrain has ranked 112 and draw with Thailand has ranked as 120 before this chart

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hi
    It seems that the Fifa ranking will be published only everyother month from now on following a men/women alternating (in February men, in March women, in April men et al ) At least it's what I understood. Can you confirm that?

    ReplyDelete
  5. Hi Nicolas, no it's not exactly alternating. FIFA has decided from now on to only publish a ranking after an International Match Window or a major tournament has been played (and of course the end-of-the-year ranking in December).
    This to avoid publishing a ranking where almost nothing happens because only very few matches have been played the previous month.

    So for 2019 this means that the January, March, May and August rankings will be skipped.

    Btw, my previews of the January 2019 ranking are my bad, they are actually considering the February 2019 ranking :)

    ReplyDelete
  6. To be complete the publishing dates of the FIFA rankings in 2019:

    ranking - pub.date - after
    February - Feb 7 - AFC Nations Cup
    April - Apr 4 - Match Window March 18-26
    June - Jun 14 (a Friday !) - Match Window June 3-11
    July - Jul 18 - Copa America, Gold Cup, CAF Nations Cup
    September - Sep 19 - Match Window September 2-10
    October - Oct 24 - Match Window October 7-15
    November - Nov 28 - Match Window November 11-19
    December - Dec 19 - end of the year

    ReplyDelete
  7. Thanks! Got it now! It makes sense...

    ReplyDelete
  8. What is the closed date for FIFA ranking january ? 25 Jan ?

    ReplyDelete
  9. The deadline for the February 2019 ranking (to be published Thursday February 7th) is Monday February 4th. All matches played before this deadline are (in principle) included in the February ranking.

    ReplyDelete
  10. Ed, we appreciate if you can update next week the 2022 FIFA World Cup seeding (AFC), showing expected Pots of the draw, after AFC cup final.

    ReplyDelete