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Sunday, August 16, 2020

FIFA ranking: September 2020 probable results

Here are the probable results of all currently scheduled matches up to and including September 13th, used to calculate the September 2020 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. 


The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method. Also the Expected Home Win Probability (We) according to elo is given for each match in %.


Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team ! It's a mistake !" please take note that these are calculated predictions of scheduled matches. So no, they don't constitute my personal opinion about the matches. Just mathematics doing the job :)

scheduled:

0 2020-09-03 Iran - Syria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 89; 1
0 2020-09-03 Oman - Iraq; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 47; X
1 2020-09-03 Uzbekistan - Tajikistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 92; 1
1 2020-09-03 Germany - Spain; Nations League group; We (elo): 55; X
1 2020-09-03 Ukraine - Switzerland; Nations League group; We (elo): 58; X
1 2020-09-03 Russia - Serbia; Nations League group; We (elo): 64; 1
1 2020-09-03 Turkey - Hungary; Nations League group; We (elo): 82; 1
1 2020-09-03 Bulgaria - Republic of Ireland; Nations League group; We (elo): 40; X
1 2020-09-03 Finland - Wales; Nations League group; We (elo): 45; X
1 2020-09-03 Moldova - Kosovo; Nations League group; We (elo): 22; 2
1 2020-09-03 Slovenia - Greece; Nations League group; We (elo): 61; X
1 2020-09-03 Faroe Islands - Malta; Nations League group; We (elo): 71; 1
1 2020-09-03 Latvia - Andorra; Nations League group; We (elo): 81; 1
0 2020-09-04 United Arab Emirates - Jordan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 60; X
1 2020-09-04 Italy - Bosnia-Herzegovina; Nations League group; We (elo): 90; 1
1 2020-09-04 Netherlands - Poland; Nations League group; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2020-09-04 Norway - Austria; Nations League group; We (elo): 62; 1
1 2020-09-04 Romania - Northern Ireland; Nations League group; We (elo): 67; 1
1 2020-09-04 Scotland - Israel; Nations League group; We (elo): 76; 1
1 2020-09-04 Slovakia - Czech Republic; Nations League group; We (elo): 64; 1
1 2020-09-04 Belarus - Albania; Nations League group; We (elo): 63; 1
1 2020-09-04 Lithuania - Kazakhstan; Nations League group; We (elo): 58; X
1 2020-09-05 Denmark - Belgium; Nations League group; We (elo): 37; 2
1 2020-09-05 Iceland - England; Nations League group; We (elo): 27; 2
1 2020-09-05 Portugal - Croatia; Nations League group; We (elo): 72; 1
1 2020-09-05 Sweden - France; Nations League group; We (elo): 38; 2
1 2020-09-05 Azerbaijan - Luxembourg; Nations League group; We (elo): 69; 1
1 2020-09-05 Cyprus - Montenegro; Nations League group; We (elo): 47; X
1 2020-09-05 Estonia - Georgia; Nations League group; We (elo): 48; X
1 2020-09-05 North Macedonia - Armenia; Nations League group; We (elo): 75; 1
1 2020-09-05 Gibraltar - San Marino; Nations League group; We (elo): 89; 1
1 2020-09-06 United Arab Emirates - Tajikistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 86; 1
1 2020-09-06 Spain - Ukraine; Nations League group; We (elo): 83; 1
1 2020-09-06 Switzerland - Germany; Nations League group; We (elo): 56; X
1 2020-09-06 Hungary - Russia; Nations League group; We (elo): 36; 2
1 2020-09-06 Serbia - Turkey; Nations League group; We (elo): 63; 1
1 2020-09-06 Republic of Ireland - Finland; Nations League group; We (elo): 73; 1
1 2020-09-06 Wales - Bulgaria; Nations League group; We (elo): 86; 1
1 2020-09-06 Kosovo - Greece; Nations League group; We (elo): 58; X
1 2020-09-06 Slovenia - Moldova; Nations League group; We (elo): 93; 1
1 2020-09-06 Andorra - Faroe Islands; Nations League group; We (elo): 44; X
1 2020-09-06 Malta - Latvia; Nations League group; We (elo): 49; X
1 2020-09-07 Uzbekistan - Iran; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 39; X
1 2020-09-07 Bosnia-Herzegovina - Poland; Nations League group; We (elo): 49; X
1 2020-09-07 Netherlands - Italy; Nations League group; We (elo): 70; 1
1 2020-09-07 Austria - Romania; Nations League group; We (elo): 66; 1
1 2020-09-07 Northern Ireland - Norway; Nations League group; We (elo): 54; X
1 2020-09-07 Czech Republic - Scotland; Nations League group; We (elo): 73; 1
1 2020-09-07 Israel - Slovakia; Nations League group; We (elo): 33; 2
1 2020-09-07 Albania - Lithuania; Nations League group; We (elo): 85; 1
1 2020-09-07 Kazakhstan - Belarus; Nations League group; We (elo): 40; X
0 2020-09-08 Iraq - Syria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 80; 1
1 2020-09-08 Belgium - Iceland; Nations League group; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2020-09-08 Denmark - England; Nations League group; We (elo): 51; X
1 2020-09-08 France - Croatia; Nations League group; We (elo): 81; 1
1 2020-09-08 Sweden - Portugal; Nations League group; We (elo): 43; X
1 2020-09-08 Cyprus - Azerbaijan; Nations League group; We (elo): 66; 1
1 2020-09-08 Luxembourg - Montenegro; Nations League group; We (elo): 37; 2
1 2020-09-08 Armenia - Estonia; Nations League group; We (elo): 65; 1
1 2020-09-08 Georgia - North Macedonia; Nations League group; We (elo): 63; 1
1 2020-09-08 San Marino - Liechtenstein; Nations League group; We (elo): 21; 2

About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

2 comments:

  1. Thanks for the info, I didn't realise that some of the AFC teams are playing friendlies very soon.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Yeah, although these friendlies were scheduled before the further postponement of the AFC-qualifiers from October/November to next year March. It remains to be seen which AFC friendlies will effectively be played at all.

    ReplyDelete