Here's a simulation of the 2026 World Cup Qualifying CONCACAF Third Round. In Group A, Panama is still favored to qualify for the finals, but their chances have dropped given their results to date, with El Salvador and Surinam's chances having increased, the latter most significantly. In Group B Jamaica's chances have increased quite a bit, and Curaçao's position in second place has strengthened. In Group C Costa Rica's chances have dropped substantially with Honduras going the other way.
Group A
Winner Run-Up Third Fourth
Panama 56.65% 24.62% 13.20% 5.53%
El Salvador 20.55% 25.61% 31.38% 22.46%
Surinam 14.01% 28.39% 29.38% 28.22%
Guatamala 8.79% 21.38% 26.04% 43.79%
Group B
Winner Run-Up Third Fourth
Jamaica 73.02% 21.66% 5.18% 0.14%
Curaçao 22.80% 50.50% 24.19% 2.51%
Trinidad and Tobago 3.99% 24.56% 54.06% 17.39%
Bermuda 0.19% 3.28% 16.57% 79.96%
Group C
Winner Run-Up Third Fourth
Honduras 43.00% 31.71% 19.80% 5.49%
Costa Rica 40.69% 31.43% 22.26% 5.62%
Haiti 13.81% 27.72% 35.82% 22.65%
Nicaragua 2.50% 9.14% 22.12% 66.24%
So it still looks like Panama and Jamaica will qualify for the finals, but it's too close to call between Honduras and Costa Rica. The race for the Intercontinental playoffs looks to be between El Salvador/Surinam, Curaçao and Honduras/Costa Rica.
No comments:
Post a Comment