FIFA ranking: August 2021 final preview

FIFA will publish the August ranking on Thursday August 12th. This final preview contains 350 matches, out of 369 matches played since May 24th. 

Only the Gold Cup final between USA and Mexico to be played yet for this ranking.

Points for both teams will be:

	USA			MEX
win USA	1647,76	(10th)		1658,29	(9th)
PSO-win USA	1637,76	(11th)		1658,29	(9th)
PSO-win MEX	1627,76	(13th)		1667,07	(8th)
win MEX	1626,54	(13th)		1677,07	(8th)

Elo predicts a PSO-win for the US of A tomorrow.

AFC qualification World Cup 2022 (July 2021)

The draw for the Asian third qualification round for the World Cup 2022 in Qatar has been made some weeks ago. This is the final group stage with two groups of 6 teams. The ten group matches will be played between September and March next year.

Numbers one and two from each group qualify for Qatar. The two numbers three play a single-legged play-off in June  2022 to determine the Asian number five which will play an interconfederational play-off (also in June 2022) against an opponent from a yet unknown confederation (the CONCACAF 4th, the CONMEBOL 5th or the OFC 1st).

FIFA ranking: August 2021 probable ranking (II)

FIFA will publish the next ranking only on August 12th. This means that all matches played in the extended June window for World Cup qualifying in AFC, CONMEBOL and CONCACAF, together with the CONCACAF Nations League Finals and all friendlies, plus all matches from three complete continental final tournaments (EURO, Copa America and Gold Cup) all will count for this ranking.

Here is a second preview of the probable August 2021 ranking.

FIFA Ranking: August 2021 probable results (II)

Here are the probable results of all currently scheduled matches up to and including August 1st, used to calculate the August 2021 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings.

Also the already played matches since May 24th, (probably) counting for the August ranking, are presented.

The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method. Also the Home Team Win Expectancy (We) according to elo and according to FIFA is given for each match in %.

FIFA ranking: current ranking

FIFA will publish the next ranking only on August 12th. This means that all matches played in the extended June window for World Cup qualifying in AFC, CONMEBOL and CONCACAF, together with the CONCACAF Nations League Finals and all friendlies, plus all matches from three complete continental final tournaments (EURO, Copa America and Gold Cup) all will count for this ranking. In total this August ranking will include around 355 matches.

A lot of changes are to be expected. Here is the current ranking, after the round of 16 in the EURO 2021 and the group phase of the Copa America. Just as a reminder: teams can't lose points in knock-out matches of final tournaments.

FIFA ranking: August 2021 probable ranking

FIFA will publish the next ranking only on August 12th. This means that all matches played in the extended June window for World Cup qualifying in AFC, CONMEBOL and CONCACAF, together with the CONCACAF Nations League Finals and all friendlies, plus all matches from three complete continental final tournaments (EURO, Copa America and Gold Cup) all will count for this ranking. Movements in the ranking should be guaranteed, one would think.

Here is the probable August 2021 ranking.

FIFA ranking: August 2021 probable results

Here are the probable results of all currently scheduled matches up to and including August 1st, used to calculate the August 2021 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings.

Also the already played matches since May 24th, (probably) counting for the August ranking, are presented.

The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method. Also the Home Team Win Expectancy (We) according to elo and according to FIFA is given for each match in %.