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Wednesday, September 8, 2010

2014 FIFA World Cup seeding update (8 September 2010)

CONCACAF's new qualifying format could be an advantage for USA and Mexico. With more games for the middle tier teams, these will climb in the rankings and provide more points for Mexico and the USA - of course if the big fish do get the win.

See more info original 2014 FIFA World Cup seeding post.

England up to 7th after their two wins in the EURO 2012 qualifying.

This is the top 20 of the intermediate October 2013 FIFA ranking:

1 Spain 182
2 Netherlands 180
3 Germany 163
4 Argentina 157
5 Uruguay 150
5 Brazil 150
7 England 130
8 Egypt 128
9 Ghana 104
10 Norway 97
11 Portugal 94
12 Slovenia 93
12 Slovakia 93
14 Chile 92
15 Australia 82
16 Turkey 80
17 Greece 79
18 Serbia 77
19 Côte d'Ivoire 76
20 Japan 73
20 Nigeria 73

Mexico are 28th, USA and France 37th, Italy 40th.

Right now, the seeds for the 2014 World Cup would be: Brazil, Spain, Netherlands, Germany, Argentina, Uruguay, England and Egypt.


  1. Edgar,

    Do Mexico and the US rank so low due to Euro 2012 qualifiers boosting the European teams?


  2. Ah totally forgot about this. Thanks for the update. Really and should continue to be interesting.

  3. Yes, Dorian, that's the reason.

  4. Edgar,

    What date do you use as deadline for the October 2013 rankings?

  5. October 18th as release date. It's the first Friday after the official match dates. I will update this date if needed.

  6. I don't get it, what are the rules? What games are taken into consideration?

  7. Games played and scheduled between October 2009 and October 2010 - the first time frame of the October 2013 ranking.

  8. Edgar, when I take your deadline, I have different values. Spain played 16 matches between October 19, 2009 and October 18, 2010 and scored 16422,685 points. So, in my calculation that's 205 points. Same problem for the other countries in the top 20. What am I doing wrong?

  9. Add two games scheduled in October and you'll get 182.

    If you look at the comment above yours, you'll see why we have different values.

  10. And I really hate AFC's qualifying format!

  11. Edgar, I see. Thanks for the notification. I didn't realize that you included the October-matches into your calculations.