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Friday, March 25, 2011

FIFA Women's Ranking using the Men's system

Update: Fixed a slight error in the ranking.
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Big debate on BigSoccer's Women's Soccer forum - one that I never visit :) I was asked to compute the women's ranking using the men's ranking system. As you know, FIFA uses a modified version of the Elo system to compute the women's ranking.

I went back to August 1989 for results and used the release dates used for the men's ranking. I also included the confederation weightings computed using the official (sort of) formula - that was the most time consuming part.

For match importance I used the men's values, with a twist: Olympic final tournaments have the same weight as World Cup final tournaments to mirror the FIFA women's ranking importance of match values.

Two definitions:

Selective ranking = contains only teams active in the last 18 months with permanent (i.e. not provisional) ranking.
Full ranking = all teams.

Both are computed using the men's ranking system.

Only nine teams were in first place from 1993 until now: Norway, China PR, England, Germany, Serbia, Hungary, Korea DPR, Brazil and France.

Germany were on top in 115 releases, followed by Norway who led the rankings on 41 occasions.

Here are the main differences:

Anguilla (104th in the full ranking, 100th in the selective ranking), Niger and Kuwait (148th in the full ranking, 124th in the full ranking) do not appear in the FIFA Women's Ranking.

Top 10 differences for countries with a better selective ranking:

Team - FIFA Women's Ranking - Selective Ranking - Difference



Cuba 99 30 69
Equatorial Guinea 61 12 49
Puerto Rico 107 63 44
Cameroon 66 24 42
Tanzania 123 82 41
Guyana 86 46 40
Namibia 114 76 38
Armenia 108 71 37
Ethiopia 110 74 36
Estonia 74 39 35

Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Women's ranking:

Team - FIFA Women's Ranking - Selective Ranking - Difference



Peru 52 123 -71
Chinese Taipei 36 101 -65
Iran 51 106 -55
Uruguay 69 122 -53
Indonesia 68 117 -49
Kazakhstan 77 112 -35
Chile 44 75 -31
Malaysia 87 118 -31
New Zealand 24 53 -29
Argentina 33 61 -28

Top 50 nations only (in the top 50 in at least one of the rankings)


Top 10 differences for countries with a better selective ranking:

Team - FIFA Women's Ranking - Selective Ranking - Difference


Cuba 99 30 69
Equatorial Guinea 61 12 49
Cameroon 66 24 42
Guyana 86 46 40
Estonia 74 39 35
South Africa 58 34 24
Turkey 65 43 22
Ghana 49 29 20
Ukraine 21 5 16
Austria 40 25 15


Top 10 differences for countries with a better FIFA Women's ranking:

Team - FIFA Women's Ranking - Selective Ranking - Difference


Chinese Taipei 36 101 -65
Chile 44 75 -31
New Zealand 24 53 -29
Argentina 33 61 -28
Slovakia 42 66 -24
Myanmar 44 68 -24
China PR 15 38 -23
Vietnam 32 52 -20
Korea Republic 16 35 -19
Mexico 22 41 -19

Here's the full ranking as of March 9th.

Rank - Team - Points

1 France 1489
2 England 1394
3 Sweden 1331
4 USA 1294
5 Ukraine 1284
6 Norway 1278
7 Spain 1266
8 Brazil 1258
9 Iceland 1196
10 Germany 1191
11 Italy 1180
12 Equatorial Guinea 1089
13 Japan 1086
14 Netherlands 1047
15 Denmark 1034
16 Czech Republic 1032
17 Korea DPR 971
18 Russia 954
19 Canada 902
20 Australia 899
21 Republic of Ireland 883
22 Nigeria 873
23 Scotland 840
24 Cameroon 836
25 Austria 803
26 Hungary 780
27 Finland 761
28 Switzerland 759
29 Ghana 733
30 Belarus 727
30 Cuba 727
32 Portugal 715
33 Poland 713
34 South Africa 699
35 Korea Republic 629
36 Wales 612
37 Belgium 608
38 China PR 592
39 Estonia 581
40 Costa Rica 577
41 Mexico 573
42 Trinidad and Tobago 569
43 Turkey 564
44 Serbia 561
45 Romania 559
46 Guyana 555
47 Colombia 537
48 Bulgaria 518
49 Thailand 512
50 Haiti 484
51 Ecuador 448
52 Vietnam 439
53 New Zealand 427
54 Papua New Guinea 417
55 Tunisia 407
56 Barbados 404
57 Greece 401
58 Northern Ireland 383
59 Israel 378
60 Slovenia 366
61 Algeria 365
62 Argentina 354
63 Venezuela 353
64 Puerto Rico 335
65 India 322
66 Paraguay 321
67 Morocco 312
67 Slovakia 312
69 Myanmar 310
70 Faroe Islands 297
71 Croatia 295
72 Armenia 293
73 Jordan 277
74 Mali 270
75 Ethiopia 269
76 Chile 268
77 Namibia 261
78 St. Lucia 260
79 Cook Islands 254
80 Azerbaijan 239
81 Bahrain 238
82 Guinea 232
83 El Salvador 222
84 Tanzania 210
85 Malta 209
86 Latvia 208
87 Angola 197
88 Guatemala 189
89 Lithuania 188
90 Georgia 185
90 Nepal 185
92 FYR Macedonia 184
93 Tonga 175
94 Congo DR 170
95 Egypt 166
96 Senegal 162
97 Antigua and Barbuda 158
98 Uzbekistan 156
99 Zimbabwe 150
100 Luxembourg 148
101 Côte dIvoire 146
102 Solomon Islands 144
103 Hong Kong 136
104 Anguilla 135
105 Chinese Taipei 131
106 Dominican Republic 127
107 Zambia 124
108 Bangladesh 122
109 Bosnia-Herzegovina 119
109 Congo 119
111 Iran 116
112 Bolivia 113
113 Nicaragua 109
114 Fiji 103
115 United Arab Emirates 100
116 Jamaica 99
117 Tahiti 96
118 Laos 90
119 Eritrea 81
119 Kazakhstan 81
121 St. Kitts and Nevis 78
122 Suriname 75
123 Pakistan 71
124 Sri Lanka 69
125 Palestine 67
126 Indonesia 66
127 Philippines 63
128 Kyrgyzstan 57
129 Malaysia 49
130 Bermuda 37
130 Lebanon 37
132 Singapore 30
133 Sierra Leone 27
134 Botswana 23
135 US Virgin Islands 22
136 Grenada 19
136 Samoa 19
138 Honduras 15
139 Bhutan 13
139 Swaziland 13
141 Maldives 12
142 Afghanistan 10
142 Burkina Faso 10
144 Uruguay 7
145 Peru 6
146 Panama 5
147 American Samoa 4
148 Belize 0
148 British Virgin Islands 0
148 Cayman Islands 0
148 Dominica 0
148 Gabon 0
148 Guam 0
148 Iraq 0
148 Kuwait 0
148 Liberia 0
148 Mozambique 0
148 New Caledonia 0
148 Niger 0
148 Qatar 0
148 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 0
148 Syria 0
148 Turks and Caicos Islands 0
148 Vanuatu 0

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