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Friday, March 11, 2011

FIFA Ranking: April 2011 probable ranking

Next update: April 1st, 2011.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Based on these probable results...

Brazil up to third. Norway up to ninth.

Israel, Afghanistan, Cyprus, Turkmenistan and Maldives set to climb 20 or more places.
Northern Ireland, Georgia, Cambodia, Tunisia, Scotland, Iceland, Chinese Taipei, Hungary, South Africa and Saudi Arabia set to drop 10 or more places.

Probable April 2011 rank - Team - Probable April 2011 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Spain 1857 0 -23
2 Netherlands 1702 0 -28
3 Brazil 1425 2 14
4 Germany 1412 -1 -74
5 Argentina 1317 -1 -95
6 England 1187 0 -25
7 Uruguay 1095 0 -77
8 Portugal 1077 1 17
9 Norway 1073 2 116
10 Croatia 1071 -2 0
11 Greece 1004 -1 -34
12 Russia 994 1 38
13 Serbia 947 7 75
14 Japan 941 1 3
15 Chile 940 -1 -14
16 Slovenia 939 1 23
17 Italy 930 -6 -27
18 Ghana 905 -2 -26
19 France 883 -1 -30
20 Côte d'Ivoire 867 5 43
21 USA 853 -2 -41
22 Australia 847 -1 -23
23 Paraguay 833 1 -2
24 Slovakia 820 -2 -41
25 Switzerland 819 -2 -20
26 Mexico 814 1 3
27 Sweden 802 3 58
28 Turkey 795 4 67
29 Egypt 777 6 92
30 Korea Republic 751 -1 2
31 Denmark 749 -3 -39
32 Montenegro 731 -7 -93
33 Czech Republic 722 -2 -17
34 Israel 709 24 177
35 Republic of Ireland 698 -1 -1
36 Ukraine 694 -3 -13
37 Nigeria 637 2 28
37 Romania 637 15 88
39 Burkina Faso 600 1 -5
40 Honduras 597 -2 -23
41 Cameroon 596 1 16
42 Belarus 592 -5 -42
43 Bulgaria 579 4 21
43 Ecuador 579 6 26
45 Iran 575 -2 1
46 Guinea 559 -2 -10
46 Hungary 559 -10 -95
48 Austria 558 13 34
49 Algeria 551 6 12
49 Lithuania 551 5 10
51 Belgium 550 11 38
52 Colombia 540 -2 -11
53 Jamaica 534 -5 -21
53 Libya 534 18 62
55 Costa Rica 533 -2 -9
56 Gabon 529 4 3
56 South Africa 529 -10 -37
58 Bosnia-Herzegovina 520 -2 -14
58 Northern Ireland 520 -18 -85
58 Tunisia 520 -13 -48
61 Scotland 517 -11 -34
62 Peru 513 -3 -17
63 Morocco 509 3 16
64 New Zealand 487 -8 -47
65 Albania 483 8 19
66 Senegal 476 3 -1
67 Panama 473 1 -9
68 Armenia 466 -3 -35
68 Venezuela 466 -5 -39
70 Cyprus 463 21 87
71 Cuba 455 -7 -48
72 Mali 451 13 62
73 China PR 446 3 7
73 Poland 446 -3 -28
75 Botswana 439 -8 -48
76 Latvia 438 -1 -10
77 Malawi 430 11 49
78 Cape Verde Islands 421 -5 -43
79 Benin 418 1 5
80 Finland 416 -2 -11
81 Uzbekistan 412 -4 -26
82 Uganda 402 4 17
83 FYR Macedonia 398 0 -2
84 Canada 395 0 4
85 Moldova 394 2 11
86 Jordan 393 -5 -17
87 Georgia 392 -15 -77
88 Iraq 388 1 9
89 Saudi Arabia 386 -10 -30
90 Mozambique 375 3 7
91 Estonia 367 -9 -40
91 Qatar 367 -1 -10
93 El Salvador 355 -1 -18
94 Grenada 352 0 -8
95 Angola 346 9 47
96 Trinidad and Tobago 344 -1 -8
96 Zambia 344 1 12
98 Bahrain 338 -2 -6
99 Niger 335 5 36
100 Haiti 334 -1 9
101 Antigua and Barbuda 322 0 9
102 Gambia 317 5 20
103 Kuwait 314 0 6
104 Bolivia 312 -7 -20
105 Syria 297 3 2
106 Sudan 295 0 -3
107 Azerbaijan 287 -7 -33
108 Togo 285 -6 -26
109 Guyana 284 0 0
110 United Arab Emirates 273 1 9
111 Oman 271 -1 -4
112 Suriname 267 2 10
113 Tanzania 266 8 31
114 Central African Republic 263 -2 0
115 Wales 258 1 7
116 Korea DPR 256 -3 -3
117 Congo DR 254 6 22
118 Thailand 236 0 -11
119 Sierra Leone 234 3 1
120 Congo 232 0 -8
121 Rwanda 227 12 52
122 Guatemala 222 3 2
123 Luxembourg 221 -6 -27
124 Ethiopia 218 0 -13
125 Yemen 217 1 -2
126 Iceland 215 -11 -41
127 St. Kitts and Nevis 210 -8 -35
128 Zimbabwe 209 -1 -4
129 Indonesia 201 0 0
130 Dominica 193 0 0
131 Kenya 190 -3 -12
132 Barbados 182 5 15
133 Puerto Rico 180 -2 -7
134 Tajikistan 172 14 59
134 Turkmenistan 172 20 78
134 Vietnam 172 0 0
137 Faroe Islands 168 -2 -3
137 Guinea-Bissau 168 -1 0
139 Chad 159 3 24
140 Kazakhstan 151 -8 -27
141 Maldives 146 20 65
142 Malaysia 144 -4 -1
143 Singapore 140 -4 -2
144 Hong Kong 138 -3 0
144 Namibia 138 -4 -1
146 India 136 -1 10
147 Myanmar 129 14 48
148 Burundi 127 -4 -6
149 Curacao 121 -3 6
150 Equatorial Guinea 116 -2 3
150 Liechtenstein 116 -7 -18
150 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 116 -2 3
153 New Caledonia 114 0 17
154 Fiji 103 -2 0
155 Nepal 101 17 47
155 Philippines 101 -4 -5
157 Madagascar 94 -1 3
158 Chinese Taipei 91 -11 -23
159 Cayman Islands 90 -1 0
160 Swaziland 89 -1 3
161 Liberia 88 -1 6
162 Kyrgyzstan 87 12 38
163 Belize 81 3 15
164 Bermuda 80 1 6
164 Malta 80 -8 -11
166 Vanuatu 76 -3 0
167 Nicaragua 75 -3 0
168 Cambodia 68 -14 -26
169 Palestine 67 9 27
170 Dominican Republic 66 -4 0
171 Afghanistan 61 24 51
172 Bangladesh 58 2 9
173 Laos 57 -3 0
174 Lesotho 56 -6 -6
175 Lebanon 55 -6 -3
176 Pakistan 54 -5 -2
177 Sri Lanka 53 -4 2
178 Tahiti 48 6 17
179 Mauritania 45 -5 -4
180 Eritrea 42 -2 2
181 Solomon Islands 40 -3 0
182 British Virgin Islands 38 -5 -3
183 Macau 35 -2 -4
184 St. Lucia 31 -2 -6
185 Mongolia 27 -2 -5
186 Samoa 26 -1 0
187 Somalia 23 -1 0
188 Comoros 19 -1 0
189 Mauritius 18 2 2
190 Cook Islands 17 -2 0
190 Tonga 17 -2 0
192 Djibouti 15 0 0
193 Turks and Caicos Islands 13 0 0
194 Guam 10 -6 -7
194 Seychelles 10 1 0
196 Bhutan 9 1 0
197 Bahamas 8 -4 -5
198 Aruba 7 1 0
199 Brunei Darussalam 6 -2 -3
200 Timor-Leste 3 1 0
200 US Virgin Islands 3 0 -2
202 American Samoa 0 0 0
202 Andorra 0 0 0
202 Anguilla 0 0 0
202 Montserrat 0 0 0
202 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
202 San Marino 0 0 0

4 comments:

  1. I see the problems with this ranking system in effect here, countries shedding big points even with victories. And wow, are Norway laughing if all this comes off.

    Weird that I have to enter an URL. I just put this site.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Edgar, it seemed Montenegro were on course for pot 1 until they seemingly dug their own grave by setting up friendlies with Japan and South Korea. Well, for obvious reasons, the Japan friendly just got cancelled. What impact does this have on Montenegro?

    ReplyDelete
  3. They still play Uzbekistan. I'll run some simulations next week - time allowing and everything.

    ReplyDelete
  4. @Edgar

    Thanks Edgar. Uzbekistan should make little difference then. Japan have now cancelled the New Zealand friendly too. Will this result in Japan getting boosted up the rankings now?

    ReplyDelete