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Friday, September 28, 2012

FIFA Ranking: October 2012 final preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 3 October.

Lost of movement in the top 10 - only Spain and Germany keep their places. Colombia and Greece replace Croatia and Denmark in the top 10. England slip to 5th. Portugal up to 3rd.

Colombia return to the top 10 after 10 years - they were 9th in July 2002 and they will be 9th in October.

Central African Republic break into the top 50 for the first time ever. They were 202nd in August 2010.

Montserrat leave the bottom of the ranking in style, after defeating British Virgin Islands 7 - 0. They will climb at least 25 places.

Best movers:

34 - Bulgaria
28 - Cyprus
26 - Montserrat

Worst movers:

-36 - Luxembourg
-24 - Latvia
-18 - Bermuda

Best movers in the top 50:

15 - Central African Republic
14 - Peru
13 - Venezuela and Romania

Worst movers in the top 50:

-17 - Libya
-12 - Hungary and Wales
-11 - Slovenia

Korea Republic will overtake Australia and will be 2nd in Asia.

Ghana drop to 4th in Africa, with Mali climbing to 3rd. Egypt replace Libya as 5th in Africa.

Haiti replace Costa Rica as 5th in CONCACAF.

Argentina top of South America again, with Uruguay 2nd. Brazil drop to 4th and will be ranked lower than Colombia (now 3rd) for the first time ever. Ecuador drop out of the top 5.

New Caledonia and Tahiti swap places, with the OFC champions dropping to 3rd. Samoa replace Fiji in the top 5.

Portugal 3rd in Europe, with England dropping to 4th. Netherlands replace Italy in the top 5.

Ten teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Algeria (24 - 26 in December 2009)
Mali (27 - 32 in September 2012)
Panama (43 - 46 in June 2012)
Central African Republic (49 - 64 in September 2012)
Cape Verde Islands (51 - 57 in November 2011)
Haiti (60 - 62 in July 2012)
Dominican Republic (102 - 103 in September 2012)
Philippines (147 - 148 in April 2012)
Aruba (154 - 157 in August 2012)
Montserrat (180 - 196 in July 2006)

Two teams will return to their best ever ranking:

Portugal (3 - 3 in April 2010)
Venezuela (39 - 39 in November 2011)

Two teams will return to their worst ever ranking:

Israel (82 - 82 in July 2012)
Singapore (162 - 162 in August 2012)

Thirteen teams will drop to new lows:

Brazil (14 - 13 in August 2012)
Cameroon (71 - 66 in February 2012)
Saudi Arabia (113 - 105 in September 2012)
Latvia (118 - 111 in July 2007)
Syria (150 - 148 in September 2012)
Indonesia (170 - 168 in September 2012)
Kyrgyzstan (198 - 197 in September 2012)
Brunei Darussalam (203 - 202 in December 2011)
Mauritania (205 - 204 in December 2011)
Timor-Leste (206 - 205 in December 2011)
Bhutan (207 - 206 in August 2012)
Turks and Caicos Islands (207 - 206 in June 2012)
San Marino (207 - 206 in December 2011)


October 2012 rank - Team - October 2012 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points
  
1 Spain 1611 0 -6
2 Germany 1459 0 22
3 Portugal 1259 1 27
4 Argentina 1208 3 87
5 England 1196 -2 -78
6 Netherlands 1141 2 97
7 Uruguay 1140 -2 -77
8 Italy 1106 -2 -68
9 Colombia 1102 13 259
10 Greece 1029 1 28
11 Croatia 1023 -2 3
12 Russia 1014 1 24
13 France 1011 2 46
14 Brazil 1001 -2 5
15 Switzerland 983 5 136
16 Côte d'Ivoire 951 0 39
17 Chile 948 -3 -36
18 Denmark 944 -8 -62
19 Mexico 925 2 80
20 Ecuador 902 -3 12
21 Sweden 859 -3 -16
22 Czech Republic 837 -3 -32
23 Japan 818 0 25
24 Algeria 802 4 68
25 Korea Republic 776 2 13
26 Norway 764 8 82
27 Mali 759 5 49
28 Republic of Ireland 757 -2 -11
29 Bosnia-Herzegovina 740 1 23
30 Belgium 723 10 97
31 Ghana 722 0 8
32 USA 720 1 23
33 Serbia 706 9 82
34 Australia 702 -9 -76
35 Slovenia 694 -11 -90
36 Turkey 689 -1 11
37 Peru 681 14 94
38 Paraguay 665 -9 -63
39 Venezuela 635 13 51
40 Egypt 634 -2 0
41 Zambia 631 1 7
42 Ukraine 630 -3 2
43 Panama 625 7 34
44 Montenegro 623 4 17
45 Tunisia 620 -4 -5
46 Romania 619 11 77
47 Gabon 610 -3 -7
48 Slovakia 608 -3 -8
49 Central African Republic 593 15 101
49 Hungary 593 -12 -70
51 Cape Verde Islands 587 14 97
52 Jamaica 583 8 68
53 Libya 578 -17 -88
54 Poland 573 2 26
55 Bulgaria 565 34 177
56 Scotland 556 -9 -54
57 Wales 551 -12 -65
58 Iran 549 -4 -24
59 Austria 528 -10 -70
60 Haiti 524 17 85
61 Canada 516 12 62
62 Guinea 515 7 43
63 Nigeria 511 -5 -12
64 Armenia 503 -11 -72
65 Georgia 501 21 96
66 Honduras 500 6 40
67 Sierra Leone 499 -8 -19
68 Senegal 492 -6 -16
69 Estonia 485 -14 -87
70 Uzbekistan 479 0 9
71 Cameroon 475 -10 -35
72 Bolivia 465 -9 -36
72 Costa Rica 465 -6 -22
74 Benin 453 -3 -15
75 Morocco 451 -7 -27
76 South Africa 448 -2 0
77 Trinidad and Tobago 442 5 22
78 El Salvador 441 -11 -40
78 Jordan 441 9 39
80 Iraq 439 -2 2
81 Guatemala 431 10 47
82 Israel 423 -7 -23
83 Angola 419 -3 -14
84 Albania 414 0 4
85 China PR 413 -7 -24
86 Korea DPR 411 -5 -18
87 Belarus 410 -11 -33
88 Finland 407 8 42
89 Zimbabwe 396 9 38
90 Uganda 394 -2 -7
91 Burkina Faso 392 -6 -14
92 New Zealand 390 3 24
93 Togo 377 6 21
94 Oman 376 -1 0
95 Congo 374 -12 -39
96 Malawi 365 -6 -20
97 Iceland 362 21 79
98 Liberia 357 13 47
99 Mozambique 352 10 40
100 Sudan 351 3 19
101 Qatar 350 -9 -30
102 Dominican Republic 346 1 14
103 Congo DR 345 7 34
104 FYR Macedonia 334 -7 -30
105 Equatorial Guinea 328 2 4
106 Antigua and Barbuda 324 -5 -16
107 Cyprus 321 28 89
108 Namibia 318 7 19
109 Lebanon 314 15 43
110 Lithuania 311 6 21
111 Azerbaijan 309 -4 -15
112 Kuwait 308 -12 -40
113 New Caledonia 303 15 42
113 Saudi Arabia 303 -8 -25
115 Bahrain 291 -3 -17
116 United Arab Emirates 288 4 10
117 Northern Ireland 287 12 30
118 Ethiopia 284 -4 -19
118 Latvia 284 -24 -91
120 Bermuda 277 -18 -56
120 Botswana 277 3 2
122 Guyana 276 0 0
122 St. Kitts and Nevis 276 -9 -30
124 Rwanda 272 -4 -6
125 Chad 266 -9 -24
125 Turkmenistan 266 2 0
127 Tahiti 265 -8 -17
128 Kenya 262 -3 -6
129 Puerto Rico 244 8 34
130 Suriname 243 8 36
131 Gambia 242 -2 -15
132 Sao Tome e Principe 240 1 0
132 Tanzania 240 0 -3
134 Grenada 234 5 28
135 Burundi 232 -1 -6
136 Tajikistan 220 6 24
137 Niger 218 -11 -49
138 Nicaragua 210 6 15
139 Thailand 206 -8 -38
140 Vietnam 203 6 20
141 Solomon Islands 202 12 52
142 Luxembourg 191 -36 -135
143 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 190 -7 -35
144 Belize 188 1 0
145 Moldova 187 -4 -17
146 Cuba 179 1 4
147 Kazakhstan 178 -5 -18
147 Philippines 178 3 11
149 Palestine 170 2 9
150 Syria 169 -2 -1
151 Curacao 166 10 37
152 Barbados 158 23 77
153 Malta 156 -14 -50
154 Aruba 154 4 20
155 Liechtenstein 150 -6 -18
156 Dominica 146 18 62
157 Yemen 141 -5 -13
158 Faroe Islands 135 -4 -12
158 Lesotho 135 -1 0
160 Hong Kong 133 -1 0
160 Maldives 133 -1 0
162 Malaysia 126 -6 -10
162 Singapore 126 -1 -3
164 Samoa 124 0 0
165 Nepal 123 1 2
166 Afghanistan 122 -1 0
167 Fiji 121 -12 -25
168 India 114 1 9
169 Bangladesh 112 1 9
170 Indonesia 111 -2 0
171 Madagascar 106 -8 -21
172 Vanuatu 99 -5 -14
173 Guinea-Bissau 98 -2 0
174 Tonga 87 -2 0
175 American Samoa 85 -2 0
176 Chinese Taipei 80 0 1
177 Pakistan 72 0 0
178 US Virgin Islands 70 0 0
179 Sri Lanka 68 0 0
180 Bahamas 66 0 0
180 Montserrat 66 26 66
182 Cayman Islands 65 -1 0
183 Myanmar 60 0 8
184 Mongolia 55 -2 0
184 St. Lucia 55 0 5
186 Eritrea 45 -1 0
186 Guam 45 -1 0
188 Somalia 43 -1 0
189 Cambodia 42 -1 0
190 Comoros 39 0 0
190 Seychelles 39 0 0
190 Swaziland 39 0 0
193 Laos 38 0 0
193 Papua New Guinea 38 0 0
195 British Virgin Islands 34 -6 -6
196 Cook Islands 28 -1 0
197 Djibouti 25 -1 1
198 Kyrgyzstan 20 -1 0
198 Macau 20 2 7
198 South Sudan 20 -1 0
201 Andorra 13 -2 -2
201 Mauritius 13 -1 0
203 Brunei Darussalam 5 -1 0
204 Anguilla 4 -1 0
205 Mauritania 3 -1 0
206 Timor-Leste 2 -1 0
207 Bhutan 0 -1 0
207 San Marino 0 -1 0
207 Turks and Caicos Islands 0 -1 0

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

23 comments:

  1. Cambodia-Philippines (5/9) and Laos-Philippines (10/9) friendlies are removed from the results list and excluded from the points-calculation. Does anybody know why ?

    Also the friendly between Guinea and Cameroon (1:2 played on 26 May 2012 (!) in France) is removed this September. Does anybody know why ?

    In general: does anybody know the rules FIFA uses to determine if a match is eligible for the FIFA-ranking? A link to some official document would be much appreciated.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Cambodia - Philippines Match: removed because Cambodia used more than 6 substitutes

      Laos - Philippines: removed because the referees are not certified FIFA referees

      Delete
    2. Hey Anon,

      thanks for the info.

      So rules are:
      - no more than 6 substitutes;
      - certified FIFA-referees (the whole team of referees including the fourth official must be FIFA-approved => Baltic Cup 2012).

      Any more rules ?

      Delete
    3. actually you can read the full list of rules on the official FIFA website..

      http://www.fifa.com/worldfootball/lawsofthegame/index.html

      download The Laws of the Game pdf file :)

      Delete
    4. Finland FA tolds that FIFA has been accepted Baltic-cup results after all and points will be added in November ranking

      Delete
  2. Not calculated some prejudice to classification results

    Levels change when the classification changes

    Algeria or Ivory Coast if won Ghafrikie Cup and participated in the Confederations Cup will be on of the best 7 teams and thus will be in the first level and this does not satisfy FIFA

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It seems to be strange but believe it. If FIFA included the friendly between Cote d'Ivoire and Mali (CIV 2 MLI 1), both teams will be loosing points. Cote d'Ivoire will have 947 instead of 951, and Mali will have 717. Cote d'Ivoire will be ranked 17 instead of 16 if the game was included, and Mali will be ranked 33 instead of 27.

      It looks reasonable for Mali, but for Cote d'Ivoire the team is performing so good (winning most games last year except defeated by penalties against Zambia in the ACN12') that a friendly win against an average team (MLI rankd 39 in May 2012) pushes the average points over last year down.

      Better for CIV to play friendlies against top teams (top 10 possibly), or they need just to play official games to keep their position. Removing this game was beneficial to both teams!

      Algeria can overtake Cote d'Ivoire in December just before the ACN 2013. Algeria will be in the top 20 with 907 points if they defeat Libya on October 14.

      Delete
  3. The points Philippines will have in FIFA ranking November?? (If lose Kuwait and Bahrain in october)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. BHR-PHI (12/10) and KUW-PHI (16/10).

      win BHR, win KUW: 210 pts
      win BHR, draw KUW: 199 pts
      win BHR, loss KUW: 194 pts

      draw BHR, win KUW: 200 pts
      draw BHR, draw KUW: 189 pts
      draw BHR, loss KUW: 183 pts

      loss BHR, win KUW: 194 pts
      loss BHR, draw KUW: 184 pts
      loss BHR, loss KUW: 178 pts

      So, no harm done if Philippines loses both matches. Then they will have the same amount as in October: 178 pts.

      Delete
    2. I'd go with 179 with two losses.

      Delete
    3. Yep, my bad !

      I didn't include the PHI-TPE match in the Philippines Peace Cup in my forecast.

      Delete
  4. I think that Algeria will win on Libya and qualify for the African Championship and then beat Bosnia in a friendly match and also wins in three friendly matches before the start of the African Championship and thus will be before the beginning of 2013 in the Top 15.
    The champion will enter the list of top 10 teams

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The only reason I think that Algeria will win over Bosnia is because that game is played due to the independence of their country as they will give 100% of them, while we will play probably to try out new combinations and similar and that's the sole reason why we don't play very good the friendly games but I would love that we win against Algeria just to advance a bit on the list because we will need that for the World Cup on which we will hopefully qualify.

      Delete
  5. when is the asian cup 2015 qualification draw

    ReplyDelete
  6. It is funny that my mom's and dad's countries are next to each other:
    32 USA 720 1 23
    33 Serbia 706 9 82

    :)

    ReplyDelete
  7. Just to let you know that the Finnish media reported today that Baltic Cup 2012 results have now been accepted by FIFA and they should be included in the next (November) rankings. At least the two matches by Finland, that is.

    Estonia 1:2 Finland
    Finland 1:1 Latvia

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. They are not yet included in the FIFA results list, but thanks for the info.
      Something to keep an eye on for the coming month.....

      Delete
  8. Hi Ed.

    Can you post detailed games and points for Italy and Morocco for October 2012?

    I also have a few questions:

    * How do you deal with awarded games (few games against SLV, PLE, ETH and SYR). Also ITA-SRB this year.
    * I know that Curacao (CUW) got independence and started playing games just a short time ago after being part of the Netherlands Antilles. Did you use the results for ANT to expand results for CUW? Same for MNE being independence from SRB.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Hi Brahim,

    match points for awarded games are generally calculated with the ranking of the month in which the decision was taken (which is a bit odd if you think about it).
    The abandoned match ITA-SRB (12/10/2010) for instance should have been calculated with the september 2010 ranking but was based on the October 2010 ranking.
    Same goes for the SYR-TJK WC-Qualifiers in 2011: match points were based on the August 2011 ranking but should have been based on June (1st leg) and July (2nd leg) in my opinion.

    Indeed, all the matches that the Netherlands Antilles played in and before October 2010 count for Curacao now.

    Montenegro is a different story. They started playing as an independent nation in June 2007. They did not 'inherit' any points from Serbia because Serbia itself didn't ceased to exist as was the case with the Antilles.

    October 2012 ITA:
    timeframe - date - opponent - type - pts
    1 11-9-2012 MLT 2 457,500
    1 7-9-2012 BUL 2 277,500
    1 15-8-2012 ENG 1 0,000
    1 1-7-2012 ESP 3 0,000
    1 28-6-2012 GER 3 1773,000
    1 24-6-2012 ENG 3 1164,000
    1 18-6-2012 IRL 3 1638,000
    1 14-6-2012 CRO 3 576,000
    1 10-6-2012 ESP 3 600,000
    1 1-6-2012 RUS 1 0,000
    1 29-2-2012 USA 1 0,000
    1 15-11-2011 URU 1 0,000
    1 11-11-2011 POL 1 408,000
    1 11-10-2011 NIR 2 975,000
    1 7-10-2011 SRB 2 447,500
    2 6-9-2011 SVN 2 1327,500
    2 2-9-2011 FRO 2 667,500
    2 10-8-2011 ESP 1 600,000
    2 7-6-2011 IRL 1 0,000
    2 3-6-2011 EST 2 937,500
    2 29-3-2011 UKR 1 501,000
    2 25-3-2011 SVN 2 1372,500
    2 9-2-2011 GER 1 197,000
    2 17-11-2010 ROU 1 148,000
    2 12-10-2010 SRB 2 1335,000
    2 8-10-2010 NIR 2 387,500
    3 7-9-2010 FRO 2 615,000
    3 3-9-2010 EST 2 795,000
    3 10-8-2010 CIV 1 0,000
    3 24-6-2010 SVK 4 0,000
    3 20-6-2010 NZL 4 451,400
    3 14-6-2010 PAR 4 669,240
    3 5-6-2010 SUI 1 176,000
    3 3-6-2010 MEX 1 0,000
    3 3-3-2010 CMR 1 166,500
    3 18-11-2009 SWE 1 477,000
    3 14-11-2009 NED 1 197,000
    3 14-10-2009 CYP 2 930,000
    3 10-10-2009 IRL 2 405,000
    4 9-9-2009 BUL 2 1357,500
    4 5-9-2009 GEO 2 660,000
    4 12-8-2009 SUI 1 187,000
    4 21-6-2009 BRA 3 0,000
    4 18-6-2009 EGY 3 0,000
    4 15-6-2009 USA 3 1548,450
    4 10-6-2009 NZL 1 327,450
    4 6-6-2009 NIR 1 519,000
    4 1-4-2009 IRL 2 435,000
    4 28-3-2009 MNE 2 660,000
    4 10-2-2009 BRA 1 0,000
    4 19-11-2008 GRE 1 182,000
    4 15-10-2008 MNE 2 622,500
    4 11-10-2008 BUL 2 462,500

    timeframe - sum - MP - avg - weight - wt_avg
    1 8316,500 15 554,433 1,0 554,433
    2 7473,500 11 679,409 0,5 339,705
    3 4882,140 13 375,549 0,3 112,665
    4 6961,400 14 497,243 0,2 99,449
    ITA 1106,25

    October 2012 MAR:
    timeframe - date - opponent - type - pts
    1 9-9-2012 MOZ 2 0,000
    1 15-8-2012 GUI 1 0,000
    1 3-7-2012 IRQ 1 307,020
    1 29-6-2012 YEM 1 129,000
    1 23-6-2012 BHR 1 270,900
    1 9-6-2012 CIV 2 395,600
    1 2-6-2012 GAM 2 187,050
    1 25-5-2012 SEN 1 0,000
    1 29-2-2012 BFA 1 322,500
    1 31-1-2012 NIG 3 789,480
    1 27-1-2012 GAB 3 0,000
    1 23-1-2012 TUN 3 0,000
    1 13-11-2011 CMR 1 131,580
    1 11-11-2011 UGA 1 0,000
    1 9-10-2011 TAN 2 470,850
    2 4-9-2011 CTA 2 206,400
    2 10-8-2011 SEN 1 397,320
    2 4-6-2011 ALG 2 1025,550
    2 27-3-2011 ALG 2 0,000
    2 9-2-2011 NIG 1 268,320
    2 17-11-2010 NIR 1 146,940
    2 9-10-2010 TAN 2 574,050
    3 4-9-2010 CTA 2 107,500
    3 11-8-2010 EQG 1 141,900
    3 14-11-2009 CMR 2 0,000
    3 10-10-2009 GAB 2 0,000
    4 6-9-2009 TOG 2 274,125
    4 12-8-2009 CGO 1 94,350
    4 20-6-2009 TOG 2 280,500
    4 7-6-2009 CMR 2 380,375
    4 31-3-2009 ANG 1 311,100
    4 28-3-2009 GAB 2 0,000
    4 11-2-2009 CZE 1 173,900
    4 19-11-2008 ZAM 1 328,950
    4 11-10-2008 MTN 2 350,625

    timeframe - sum - MP - avg - weight - wt_avg
    1 3003,980 15 200,265 1 200,265
    2 2618,580 7 374,083 0,5 187,041
    3 249,400 4 49,880 0,3 14,964
    4 2193,925 9 243,769 0,2 48,754
    MAR 451,02

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Ed.

      Don't work too late! Thanks a lot for the detailed listing.

      I have issues with 7-8 teams in the October 2012 ranking. I will get back to you later.

      Delete
  10. @Ed

    Thanks for the help - as usual! :)

    @Anonymous (Finland)

    Thanks for the info!

    ReplyDelete
  11. Algeria beat Libya and the loss of Ivory Coast against Senegal means that Algeria First Africa

    I think that Algeria will win over Bosnia in November because the game will take place on July 5 Stadium in Algiers in front of more than 120 thousand fans at the 50th anniversary of independence

    ReplyDelete