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Friday, October 5, 2012

FIFA Ranking: November 2012 preview

Next update: 19 October 2012.

FIFA will publish the ranking on 7 November.

Two second round groups of the Caribbean Championship qualifiers will also take place in October, but I don't have the exact dates. However, they are scheduled after 19 October (my next update).

Spain still safe in first place. Even if they lose to Belarus and France, Germany would still be three points behind them even with wins against the Republic of Ireland and Sweden.

Thailand will fall to its worst ever raking, dropping to at least 144th - at worst 155th. Their previous worst ever ranking was 141st in April 2012.


Most points dropped (best case scenario):

-68 - Grenada
-56 - Gambia
-42 - Bermuda
-29 - Thailand
-20 - US Virgin Islands
-19 - Netherlands
-18 - Namibia
-18 - Slovenia
-14 - Cayman Islands
-10 - Yemen

Most points gained (worst case scenario):

29 - Haiti
23 - Burundi
23 - Nicaragua
22 - Dominican Republic
22 - Botswana
22 - Suriname
21 - Puerto Rico
16 - Chad
15 - Congo DR
12 - Equatorial Guinea

October 2012 rank - Country - October 2012 points - Minimum points - Maximum points
1 Spain 1611 1486 1619
2 Germany 1459 1305 1481
3 Portugal 1259 1164 1300
4 Argentina 1208 1093 1349
5 England 1196 1115 1220
6 Netherlands 1141 1019 1128
7 Uruguay 1140 1047 1268
8 Italy 1106 1010 1169
9 Colombia 1102 935 1110
10 Greece 1029 892 1065
11 Croatia 1023 940 1078
12 Russia 1014 905 1084
13 France 1011 907 1060
14 Brazil 1001 931 994
15 Switzerland 983 845 1053
16 Côte d'Ivoire 951 918 974
17 Chile 948 853 1070
18 Denmark 944 821 1032
19 Mexico 925 883 984
20 Ecuador 902 774 1032
21 Sweden 859 764 897
22 Czech Republic 837 753 858
23 Japan 818 770 850
24 Algeria 802 788 907
25 Korea Republic 776 728 819
26 Norway 764 662 871
27 Mali 759 725 772
28 Republic of Ireland 757 651 806
29 Bosnia-Herzegovina 740 641 832
30 Belgium 723 647 881
31 Ghana 722 714 762
32 USA 720 682 776
33 Serbia 706 643 824
34 Australia 702 642 719
35 Slovenia 694 506 702
36 Turkey 689 639 830
37 Peru 681 584 766
38 Paraguay 665 596 800
39 Venezuela 635 565 669
40 Egypt 634 613 648
41 Zambia 631 633 674
42 Ukraine 630 564 686
43 Panama 625 578 673
44 Montenegro 623 543 691
45 Tunisia 620 562 647
46 Romania 619 557 801
47 Gabon 610 581 630
48 Slovakia 608 542 797
49 Central African Republic 593 581 698
49 Hungary 593 507 753
51 Cape Verde Islands 587 511 650
52 Jamaica 583 542 642
53 Libya 578 551 677
54 Poland 573 523 644
55 Bulgaria 565 514 852
56 Scotland 556 488 782
57 Wales 551 362 675
58 Iran 549 508 611
59 Austria 528 426 526
60 Haiti 524 553 553
61 Canada 516 487 612
62 Guinea 515 485 522
63 Nigeria 511 498 553
64 Armenia 503 444 624
65 Georgia 501 464 675
66 Honduras 500 457 635
67 Sierra Leone 499 479 604
68 Senegal 492 471 579
69 Estonia 485 399 536
70 Uzbekistan 479 440 501
71 Cameroon 475 433 569
72 Bolivia 465 379 675
72 Costa Rica 465 427 509
74 Benin 453 457 457
75 Morocco 451 439 482
76 South Africa 448 413 467
77 Trinidad and Tobago 442 349 490
78 El Salvador 441 402 547
78 Jordan 441 413 485
80 Iraq 439 390 484
81 Guatemala 431 402 541
82 Israel 423 343 452
83 Angola 419 395 446
84 Albania 414 372 573
85 China PR 413 424 424
86 Korea DPR 411 392 421
87 Belarus 410 352 666
88 Finland 407 352 496
89 Zimbabwe 396 383 437
90 Uganda 394 364 428
91 Burkina Faso 392 342 423
92 New Zealand 390 358 404
93 Togo 377 370 479
94 Congo 374 309 388
95 Oman 370 357 427
96 Malawi 365 337 421
97 Iceland 362 314 597
98 Liberia 357 333 432
99 Mozambique 352 318 386
100 Sudan 351 341 365
101 Qatar 350 312 413
102 Dominican Republic 346 368 368
103 Congo DR 345 360 416
104 FYR Macedonia 334 292 588
105 Equatorial Guinea 328 340 397
106 Antigua and Barbuda 324 281 455
107 Cyprus 321 258 622
108 Namibia 318 281 299
109 Lebanon 314 321 321
110 Lithuania 311 271 547
111 Azerbaijan 309 277 434
112 Kuwait 308 306 318
113 New Caledonia 303 246 297
113 Saudi Arabia 303 283 313
115 Bahrain 291 266 293
116 United Arab Emirates 288 283 344
117 Northern Ireland 287 274 520
118 Ethiopia 284 274 333
118 Latvia 284 228 444
120 Bermuda 277 235 235
120 Botswana 277 299 361
122 Guyana 276 264 456
122 St. Kitts and Nevis 276 261 489
124 Rwanda 272 268 286
125 Chad 266 282 282
125 Turkmenistan 266 219 275
127 Tahiti 265 215 317
128 Kenya 262 248 274
129 Puerto Rico 244 265 265
130 Suriname 243 265 265
131 Gambia 242 186 186
132 Sao Tome e Principe 240 240 240
132 Tanzania 240 237 237
134 Grenada 234 166 166
135 Burundi 232 255 255
136 Tajikistan 220 225 225
137 Niger 218 223 312
138 Nicaragua 210 233 233
139 Thailand 206 177 177
140 Vietnam 203 183 266
141 Solomon Islands 202 202 289
142 Luxembourg 191 179 400
143 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 190 179 296
144 Belize 188 179 179
145 Moldova 187 156 329
146 Cuba 179 163 358
147 Kazakhstan 178 150 452
147 Philippines 178 179 209
149 Palestine 170 154 170
150 Syria 169 172 172
151 Curacao 166 134 308
152 Barbados 158 158 158
153 Malta 156 166 389
154 Aruba 154 154 154
155 Liechtenstein 150 147 331
156 Dominica 146 151 151
157 Yemen 141 131 131
158 Faroe Islands 135 138 665
158 Lesotho 135 129 151
160 Hong Kong 133 108 134
160 Maldives 133 135 135
162 Malaysia 126 114 142
162 Singapore 126 115 127
164 Samoa 124 124 124
165 Nepal 123 116 116
166 Afghanistan 122 121 121
167 Fiji 121 121 121
168 India 114 116 123
169 Bangladesh 112 114 114
170 Indonesia 111 103 125
171 Madagascar 106 106 106
172 Vanuatu 99 99 99
173 Guinea-Bissau 98 98 98
174 Tonga 87 87 87
175 American Samoa 85 85 85
176 Chinese Taipei 80 90 90
177 Pakistan 72 72 124
178 Guam 71 71 71
179 US Virgin Islands 70 50 50
180 Sri Lanka 68 68 68
181 Bahamas 66 66 66
181 Montserrat 66 66 66
183 Cayman Islands 65 51 51
184 Myanmar 60 63 166
185 Mongolia 55 55 55
185 St. Lucia 55 33 278
187 Eritrea 45 45 45
188 Somalia 43 43 43
189 Cambodia 42 49 153
190 Comoros 39 36 36
190 Seychelles 39 39 39
190 Swaziland 39 30 82
193 Laos 38 37 141
193 Papua New Guinea 38 38 38
195 British Virgin Islands 34 34 34
196 Cook Islands 28 28 28
197 Djibouti 25 17 17
198 Kyrgyzstan 20 20 20
198 Macau 20 22 22
198 South Sudan 20 20 20
201 Andorra 13 13 361
201 Mauritius 13 13 13
203 Brunei Darussalam 5 0 103
204 Anguilla 4 4 270
205 Mauritania 3 3 3
206 Timor-Leste 2 0 103
207 Bhutan 0 0 0
207 San Marino 0 0 375
207 Turks and Caicos Islands 0 0 0

5 comments:

  1. Hi Edgar. There is at least one error in your preview limits for Algeria. A win of Algeria over Libya will give Algeria a total of 907 instead of 920 (I use my own feeling in the probable results rather than the Elo ratings formula). I also confirmed this using the Fifa prediction tool. I am not sure about the other countries, I have to check those later tonight or tomorrow.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks Brahim!

      You're right. I changed something in my program a couple of days ago - I was trying to compute the probable 2014 WC seeds. It's fixed now.

      Delete
  2. I think that Algeria will win the match against Libya and gathered up 920 points and thus would make a lot in the standings next month

    ReplyDelete
  3. I just realized this - Haiti will be dropping to four matches in the last year (from six) and STILL be gaining points!

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. A good time to play against Haiti.

      Delete