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Friday, December 6, 2013

2018 FIFA World Cup qualifying draw seeding for CAF (6 December 2013)

Assumptions:

- CAF will keep the current qualifying system
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- CAF will choose the July 2015 ranking for seeding




The July 2015 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2011 and July 2015. This means we're currently in the 0.5 time frame and things will start to get interesting.

This the July 2015 ranking (for CAF only) using matches played up to and including December 5th, 2013 and matches scheduled up to July 2014 (only those on fifa.com).

The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).

Looking to improve your FIFA ranking before the draw? Use the e-mail address from my profile to contact me.

Changes since the last update:

Senegal replace Libya in pot 1.
Uganda replace Gabon in pot 2.
Kenya replace Zimbabwe in pot 3.
Sudan replace Malawi in pot 4.

First round

Pot 1: Botswana, Zimbabwe, Benin, Tanzania, Mozambique, Equatorial Guinea, Namibia, Rwanda, Central African Republic, Sudan, Burundi, Liberia, Mauritania, Lesotho
Pot 2: Malawi, Gambia, Sao Tome e Principe, Chad, Seychelles, Mauritius, Swaziland, Madagascar, Eritrea, Guinea-Bissau, Somalia, Comoros, Djibouti, South Sudan

Second round (group stage)

Pot 1: Côte d'Ivoire, Algeria, Egypt, Cameroon, Ghana, Tunisia, Nigeria, Burkina Faso, Senegal, Mali
Pot 2: Libya, South Africa, Togo, Cape Verde Islands, Zambia, Guinea, Sierra Leone, Angola, Uganda, Morocco
Pot 3: Congo DR, Congo, Ethiopia, Gabon, Niger, Kenya

Pot 3 and Pot 4 will be completed with the 14 winners of the first round.

Rank - Team - Points

 1  1 Côte d'Ivoire             430
 2  4 Algeria                   412
 3  8 Egypt                     350
 4  6 Cameroon                  336
 5  2 Ghana                     327
 6  3 Tunisia                   320
 7  5 Nigeria                   308
 8  7 Burkina Faso              245
 9 15 Senegal                   227
10  9 Mali                      226
-----------------------------------
11 10 Libya                     210
12 17 South Africa              203
13 11 Togo                      202
14 12 Cape Verde Islands        201
15 16 Zambia                    197
16 13 Guinea                    193
17 14 Sierra Leone              191
18 18 Angola                    174
19 23 Uganda                    163
19 19 Morocco                   163
-----------------------------------
21 20 Congo DR                  161
22 22 Congo                     159
23 24 Ethiopia                  153
23 20 Gabon                     153
25 25 Niger                     149
26 28 Kenya                     139
-----------------------------------
27 27 Botswana                  125
28 26 Zimbabwe                  122
29 29 Benin                     116
29 40 Tanzania                  116
31 30 Mozambique                112
32 31 Equatorial Guinea         110
33 33 Namibia                   105
34 34 Rwanda                    102
35 32 Central African Republic  100
36 42 Sudan                      93
37 36 Burundi                    92
38 35 Liberia                    88
39 36 Mauritania                 86
40 38 Lesotho                    84
-----------------------------------
41 39 Malawi                     75
42 41 Gambia                     67
43 43 Sao Tome e Principe        48
44 44 Chad                       46
45 48 Seychelles                 34
46 45 Mauritius                  33
47 46 Swaziland                  13
48 47 Madagascar                 11
49 48 Eritrea                     8
49 48 Guinea-Bissau               8
51 51 Somalia                     6
52 52 Comoros                     5
53 53 Djibouti                    4
53 53 South Sudan                 4

3 comments:

  1. When we can know the qualification system for 2018 world cup?
    CAF or FIFA will determine the qulaification system??

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Not entirely sure, but I think CAF will pick the format.

      Delete
  2. I was trying to think up a handy format. This is my best idea:

    Round 1: (2 gamedays)
    28 weakest teams from CAF play a two legged play-off to qualify for next round in AFCON and FIFA qualifying
    The winner of each tie qualifies.

    Round 2: (6-8 gamedays (6 FIFA/6-8 AFCON)
    10 groups of 4 teams.
    Top team of each group qualifies to AFCON 2017 and next round of FIFA qualifying.
    5 best second placed team qualify to AFCON 2017
    or
    Second placed teams play a two-legged playoff to qualify for AFCON 2017

    Round 3: (8 gamedays)
    Two groups of 5 teams. Played after AFCON 2017.
    Top two qualify for FIFA world Cup. Two legged playoffs between third placed teams.

    Round 4:
    Two-legged playoff between 3rd placed teams of Round 3.


    Examples for possible Round 3 groups (according to current ELO):
    Ivory Coast
    Ghana
    Cameroon
    Senegal
    Mali

    Nigeria
    Egypt
    Algeria
    South Africa
    Guinea

    ReplyDelete