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Friday, July 11, 2014

FIFA Ranking: July 2014 final preview

FIFA will publish the ranking on 17 July.

4 matches left. Two African friendlies and the last two matches of the World Cup.

Uganda - Seychelles
Rwanda - Gabon
Brazil - Netherlands
Germany - Argentina

This is how the points and ranking could change for these 8 teams:



Team - Minimum points - Maximum points - Minimum rank - Maximum rank


Germany 1594 1724 2 1
Argentina 1575 1734 2 1
Netherlands 1368 1507 6 3
Brazil 1241 1371 7 5
Uganda 350 358 92 87
Gabon 332 352 98 91
Rwanda 263 287 112 106
Seychelles 64 123 182 159

In the table below, I've used the minimum points for these 8 teams.

Also take a look at how the confederation weightings could change depending on the outcome of the final and the 3rd place final.

The winner of the World Cup final will also be the new leader of the FIFA ranking.

Best movers:

25 - Turks and Caicos Islands
15 - Iraq
14 - Angola, Qatar and Swaziland

Worst movers:

-53 - El Salvador
-40 - Haiti
-36 - Cape Verde Islands

Best movers in the top 50:

12 - Costa Rica
10 - Venezuela and Nigeria
9 - Hungary and Netherlands

Worst movers in the top 50:

-36 - Cape Verde Islands
-14 - Peru
-12 - Slovenia

Four teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Costa Rica (16 - 17 in May 2003)
Venezuela (30 - 35 in November 2013)
Azerbaijan (73 - 83 in June 2014)
Palestine (85 - 94 in June 2014)

Two teams will return to their worst ever ranking:

British Virgin Islands (200 - 200 in June 2012)
Macau (204 - 204 in October 2013)

Ten teams will drop to new lows:

Canada (118 - 114 in November 2013)
Thailand (157 - 152 in November 2012)
Liechtenstein (167 - 165 in May 1998)
Cambodia (200 - 199 in August 2013)
Eritrea (202 - 201 in June 2014)
Djibouti (205 - 204 in February 2013)
Cook Islands (206 - 205 in November 2013)
Anguilla (207 - 206 in February 2013)
Bhutan (208 - 207 in October 2012)
San Marino (208 - 207 in October 2012)

Four teams will experience their worst drop ever:

-53 - El Salvador (dropped 37 places in October 1995)
-40 - Haiti (dropped 39 in July 2010)
-14 - Australia (dropped 13 in September 1993)
-10 - England (dropped 6 in July 2008)

Some teams will reach their best ranking in the last couple of years:

Lesotho (131 - 130 in September 2004) - 9 years and 10 months
Jordan (57 - 57 in July 2005) - 9 years
Oman (69 - 69 in November 2006) - 7 years and 8 months
Uzbekistan (52 - 50 in February 2007) - 7 years and 5 months
Mauritania (133 - 123 in May 2008) - 6 years and 2 months
Kenya (at least 95 - 84 in January 2009) - 5 years and 6 months
France (10 - 9 in May 2010) - 4 years and 2 months
Romania (28 - 28 in May 2010) - 4 years and 2 months
Turks and Caicos Islands (at least 182 - 180 in August 2010) - 3 years and 11 months
Tanzania (106 - 106 in December 2009) - 4 years and 7 months
Maldives (145 - 143 in April 2011) - 3 years and 3 months
Madagascar (143 - 138 in June 2011) - 3 years and 1 month
Swaziland (159 - 157 in June 2011) - 3 years and 1 month
Comoros (at least 173 - 164 in June 2011) - 3 years and 1 month
Qatar (86 - 84 in May 2012) - 2 years and 2 months
Rwanda (at least 112 - 105 in May 2012) - 2 years and 2 months

Others will drop to their worst ever ranking in the last couple of years:

Guatemala (134 - 145 in December 1995) - 18 years and 7 months
England (20 - 24 in May 1996) - 18 years and 2 months
Korea DPR (147 - 151 in July 2001) - 13 years
Australia (76 - 89 in May 2004) - 10 years and 2 months
Spain (8 - 8 in August 2007) - 6 years and 11 months
El Salvador (121 - 131 in September 2008) - 5 years and 10 months
Faroe Islands (184 - 185 in March 2009) - 5 years and 4 months
Mongolia (189 - 193 in March 2009) - 5 years and 4 months
Chinese Taipei (at most 178 - 180 in April 2009) - 5 years and 3 months
Jamaica (83 - 83 in July 2010) - 4 years
Russia (23 - 25 in September 2010) - 3 years and 10 months
Italy (14 - 14 in January 2011) - 3 years and 6 months
Côte d'Ivoire (25 - 25 in March 2011) - 3 years and 4 months
Peru (59 - 59 in March 2011) - 3 years and 4 months
Bahamas (192 - 197 in June 2011) - 3 years and 1 month
Papua New Guinea (199 - 203 in June 2011) - 3 years and 1 month
Haiti (113 - 116 in August 2011) - 2 years and 11 months
Samoa (190 - 204 in November 2011) - 2 years and 8 months
Mali (60 - 69 in January 2012) - 2 years and 6 months
Gabon (at most 91 - 91 in January 2012) - 2 years and 6 months
Sao Tome e Principe (at most 177 - 196 in January 2012) - 2 years and 6 months
Central African Republic (117 - 123 in May 2012) - 2 years and 2 months
Tahiti (at most 171 - 179 in June 2012) - 2 years and 1 month
British Virgin Islands (200 - 200 in June 2012) - 2 years and 1 month

Belgium and Uruguay will be ranked above Spain for the first time ever.
Costa Rica will be ranked above England for the first time ever.
Spain will be ranked below Colombia for the first time in the last 12 years and 2 months, Germany (6 years 9 months), Argentina (6 years 1 month).
France will be ranked above Italy for the first time in the last 7 years and 10 months.
Mexico will be ranked above England for the first time in the last 6 years and 11 months.
Costa Rica will be ranked above Mexico for the first time in the last 5 years.

July 2014 rank - Team - July 2014 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Germany 1594 1 294
2 Argentina 1575 3 400
3 Colombia 1492 5 355
4 Belgium 1401 7 327
5 Netherlands 1368 10 387
6 Uruguay 1330 1 183
7 Brazil 1241 -4 -1
8 Spain 1229 -7 -256
9 Switzerland 1216 -3 67
10 France 1202 7 289
11 Portugal 1148 -7 -41
12 Chile 1098 2 72
13 Greece 1091 -1 27
14 Italy 1056 -5 -48
15 USA 989 -2 -46
16 Costa Rica 986 12 224
17 Croatia 955 1 52
18 Mexico 930 2 48
19 Bosnia-Herzegovina 917 2 44
20 England 911 -10 -179
21 Ecuador 901 5 110
22 Ukraine 898 -6 -17
23 Russia 897 -4 4
24 Algeria 872 -2 14
25 Côte d'Ivoire 850 -2 41
26 Denmark 807 -3 -2
27 Scotland 734 0 -52
28 Romania 733 1 -28
29 Sweden 724 3 -17
30 Venezuela 720 10 48
31 Serbia 717 -1 -28
32 Turkey 714 3 -8
33 Panama 684 -2 -59
34 Nigeria 664 10 24
35 Czech Republic 646 -1 -78
36 Egypt 645 0 -70
37 Slovenia 644 -12 -156
38 Ghana 642 -1 -62
38 Hungary 642 9 18
40 Honduras 637 -7 -94
41 Armenia 635 -3 -47
42 Tunisia 621 6 9
43 Austria 614 -1 -29
44 Wales 606 -3 -38
45 Japan 604 1 -22
46 Slovakia 588 3 -3
47 Iceland 570 5 4
48 Paraguay 566 2 -9
49 Iran 563 -6 -78
50 Montenegro 559 1 -15
51 Guinea 555 1 -11
52 Uzbekistan 523 7 -16
53 Cameroon 520 3 -38
53 Norway 520 2 -42
55 Finland 508 6 -24
56 Korea Republic 501 1 -46
57 Jordan 500 6 -10
58 Burkina Faso 495 2 -43
59 Peru 487 -14 -140
60 Mali 483 -3 -64
61 Poland 478 8 4
62 Senegal 476 12 25
63 Libya 471 1 -27
64 Sierra Leone 469 -10 -96
65 United Arab Emirates 466 7 6
66 South Africa 450 -1 -46
67 Albania 444 -1 -51
67 Israel 444 8 0
69 Oman 443 10 23
70 Republic of Ireland 440 0 -33
71 Bolivia 429 -4 -54
72 Bulgaria 425 6 0
73 Azerbaijan 410 10 14
74 FYR Macedonia 406 6 -13
75 Cape Verde Islands 401 -36 -273
76 Australia 397 -14 -129
77 Zambia 396 -1 -45
78 Saudi Arabia 384 12 3
79 Angola 377 14 13
79 Morocco 377 -2 -62
81 Belarus 376 1 -21
82 Congo 375 3 -18
83 Jamaica 373 -2 -38
83 Trinidad and Tobago 369 -13 -101
85 Palestine 362 9 4
86 Qatar 361 14 22
87 Togo 357 1 -26
88 Iraq 356 16 27
89 Northern Ireland 356 2 -25
90 Benin 354 -3 -32
90 Uganda 350 -5 -40
92 Estonia 345 6 2
93 China PR 342 10 11
94 Kenya 339 14 43
95 Congo DR 338 -11 -57
96 Georgia 338 1 -11
96 Zimbabwe 334 2 -6
98 Botswana 332 -6 -43
99 Gabon 332 -9 -50
100 Niger 332 14 48
101 New Zealand 330 -4 -17
102 Moldova 325 -1 -9
103 Latvia 314 6 21
104 Lithuania 312 2 -7
105 Bahrain 288 5 -1
106 Tanzania 287 7 4
107 Kuwait 281 8 5
108 Luxembourg 278 11 11
109 Ethiopia 273 -2 -44
110 Equatorial Guinea 270 -8 -63
111 Namibia 264 3 -13
112 Rwanda 263 4 -8
113 Haiti 262 -40 -190
114 Mozambique 257 4 -12
114 Liberia 256 1 -15
116 Sudan 256 5 2
117 Central African Republic 253 -12 -68
118 Canada 250 -8 -39
119 Lebanon 249 6 16
120 Cuba 245 -25 -109
121 El Salvador 234 -53 -247
122 Malawi 234 1 -13
123 Aruba 233 -3 -21
124 Tajikistan 232 2 3
125 Dominican Republic 230 6 18
126 Burundi 222 2 1
127 Kazakhstan 220 -3 -21
128 Philippines 218 1 1
129 Afghanistan 217 1 2
129 Vietnam 217 -6 -25
131 Lesotho 213 8 19
132 Suriname 213 5 16
133 Mauritania 208 4 12
134 Guatemala 204 -7 -22
135 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 203 -2 0
135 Guinea-Bissau 199 -2 -2
137 New Caledonia 199 4 9
138 St. Lucia 195 -1 -1
139 Cyprus 193 3 4
139 Chad 183 -6 -18
141 Turkmenistan 183 3 0
141 Grenada 182 2 0
143 Madagascar 179 1 -3
144 Kyrgyzstan 176 5 13
145 Maldives 171 2 0
146 Syria 169 -6 -21
147 Korea DPR 163 -1 -12
148 Gambia 161 0 -5
149 Antigua and Barbuda 152 2 -6
150 Malta 146 -18 -58
151 India 144 3 0
151 Malaysia 144 2 -5
153 Indonesia 141 4 6
154 Singapore 140 1 -1
155 Guyana 136 1 -1
156 Puerto Rico 134 2 0
157 Thailand 128 -8 -35
158 St. Kitts and Nevis 124 2 0
159 Swaziland 123 14 38
160 Myanmar 122 -1 -11
161 Belize 117 -9 -35
162 Hong Kong 114 1 2
163 Bangladesh 103 4 5
164 Nepal 102 0 0
165 Pakistan 100 -1 -2
166 Montserrat 99 0 0
167 Dominica 93 2 0
167 Liechtenstein 93 -5 -25
169 Barbados 92 1 0
170 Laos 87 -2 -10
171 Tahiti 85 -10 -37
172 Comoros 84 2 0
173 Bermuda 83 2 0
174 Guam 79 4 2
175 Nicaragua 78 1 0
175 Solomon Islands 78 5 8
177 Sao Tome e Principe 72 -5 -14
178 Chinese Taipei 71 -2 -7
178 Sri Lanka 71 1 -2
180 Yemen 70 3 9
181 Turks and Caicos Islands 66 26 66
182 Seychelles 64 -1 -2
183 Curacao 63 -1 -2
184 Faroe Islands 61 -13 -28
185 Mauritius 56 -1 -1
186 South Sudan 43 -1 -4
187 Vanuatu 38 3 10
188 Fiji 31 0 -3
189 Mongolia 29 -2 -6
190 Samoa 28 -1 -4
190 US Virgin Islands 28 5 5
192 Bahamas 26 -6 -14
192 Brunei Darussalam 26 0 0
192 Timor-Leste 26 0 0
192 Tonga 26 0 0
196 Cayman Islands 21 0 0
197 American Samoa 18 1 0
198 Andorra 16 2 0
199 Papua New Guinea 14 -3 -7
200 British Virgin Islands 13 -2 -5
200 Cambodia 13 -10 -15
202 Eritrea 11 -1 0
203 Somalia 8 -1 0
204 Macau 7 -2 -1
205 Djibouti 6 -1 0
206 Cook Islands 5 -1 0
207 Anguilla 1 -1 -2
208 Bhutan 0 -1 0
208 San Marino 0 -1 0

5 comments:

  1. Could you update the UEFA Nations League post with the Brazil2014 results ... the magic word = please?

    http://www.football-rankings.info/2014/04/a-look-uefa-nations-league.html

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. There's really only one change: France replacing England in Division 1.

      Delete
  2. Correction:

    1 Germany 1724
    2 Argentina 1606
    3 Netherlands 1496
    ...
    7 Brazil 1241

    P.S. The FIFA prognosis tool is not very good!

    ReplyDelete
  3. Did El Salvador drop because they played and lost to Spain?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Jaime,

      To answer this for yourself please visit the page:

      http://www.fifa.com/worldranking/rankingtable/index.html

      Find El Salvador (page 5) and click on it. You'll then see that El Salvador lost two matches in this period, and that no matches "dropped out" of the ranking. You'll appreciate that if you study http://www.fifa.com/mm/document/fifafacts/r&a-wr/52/00/97/fs-590%5f10e%5fwrpoints.pdf, that taking an average of more matches without gaining any points from those played matches during the most recent period, that El Salvador's ranking points will severely be reduced. Hope this makes sense.

      Delete