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Friday, July 25, 2014

July 2014: Recommended friendly impact

The best opponent to play against is determined using a combination of Elo ratings and FIFA rankings. Let's look at the July FIFA ranking and we'll see the impact of one extra friendly. The difference in ranking is computed assuming all things remain equal, except the points of the given team.

The most popular opponent for the month of June were Sierra Leone - best opponent for 87 teams.


Of the top 20 teams, only 5 would have gained points: Spain, Italy, Croatia, Bosnia-Herzegovina and England, but none of them would have climbed in the rankings.

Teams from the top 100 that would have gained the most (ranking-wise):

20 - Benin
19 - Equatorial Guinea
18 - Haiti

The recommended team for all three - Sierra Leone.

Teams from the top 50 that would have gained the most (ranking-wise):

4 - Guinea
3 - Venezuela, Hungary, Japan, Montenegro
2 - Russia, Sweden, Serbia, Slovenia, Wales, Paraguay

Sierra Leone were the recommended opponent for Guinea, Hungary, Montenegro, Slovenia and Wales.
Slovenia were the recommended opponent for Japan, Russia, Sweden and Serbia.
Armenia were the recommended opponent for Venezuela, Paraguay and Romania.

July Ranking - Team - Recommended opponent - Point difference - Rank difference


1 Germany Switzerland -28 0
2 Argentina Slovenia -30 0
3 Netherlands Slovenia -23 -1
4 Colombia Slovenia -22 0
5 Belgium Slovenia -22 0
6 Uruguay Slovenia -20 0
7 Brazil Switzerland -9 0
8 Spain Switzerland 4 0
9 Switzerland Armenia -18 -1
10 France Slovenia -14 0
11 Portugal Slovenia -5 0
12 Chile Slovenia -10 -1
13 Greece Slovenia -3 0
14 Italy Slovenia 4 0
15 USA Slovenia -3 0
16 Costa Rica Armenia -24 0
17 Croatia Slovenia 9 0
18 Mexico Slovenia 0 0
19 Bosnia-Herzegovina Slovenia 10 0
20 England Armenia 5 0
21 Ecuador Slovenia 9 0
22 Ukraine Slovenia -1 0
23 Russia Slovenia 8 2
24 Algeria Sierra Leone -12 0
25 Côte d'Ivoire Slovenia 11 0
26 Denmark Slovenia 13 0
27 Scotland Armenia 7 0
28 Romania Armenia 11 1
29 Sweden Slovenia 15 2
30 Venezuela Armenia 18 3
31 Serbia Slovenia 11 2
32 Turkey Armenia 5 1
33 Panama Armenia 11 0
34 Nigeria Armenia 5 0
35 Czech Republic Armenia 25 1
36 Egypt Armenia 5 1
37 Slovenia Sierra Leone 5 2
38 Ghana Armenia 0 0
38 Hungary Sierra Leone 17 3
40 Honduras Armenia -6 -1
41 Armenia Sierra Leone 6 1
42 Tunisia Sierra Leone 8 0
43 Austria Sierra Leone 8 1
44 Wales Sierra Leone 15 2
45 Japan Slovenia 13 3
46 Slovakia Sierra Leone 7 0
47 Iceland Sierra Leone 6 0
48 Paraguay Armenia 23 2
49 Iran Armenia -1 0
50 Montenegro Sierra Leone 27 3
51 Guinea Sierra Leone 17 4
52 Uzbekistan Sierra Leone 16 0
53 Cameroon Sierra Leone -2 -1
53 Norway Sierra Leone 21 1
55 Finland Sierra Leone 15 3
56 Korea Republic Armenia 14 1
57 Jordan Sierra Leone 7 1
58 Burkina Faso Sierra Leone 13 3
59 Peru Armenia 52 7
60 Mali Sierra Leone 22 4
61 Poland Sierra Leone 14 2
62 Senegal Sierra Leone -3 0
63 Libya Sierra Leone 0 0
64 Sierra Leone Aruba 42 9
65 United Arab Emirates Sierra Leone -7 0
66 South Africa Sierra Leone 12 0
67 Albania Sierra Leone 28 4
67 Israel Sierra Leone 25 3
69 Oman Sierra Leone 10 3
70 Republic of Ireland Armenia 28 5
71 Bolivia Sierra Leone 3 0
72 Bulgaria Sierra Leone 34 6
73 Azerbaijan Sierra Leone 16 1
74 FYR Macedonia Sierra Leone 19 2
75 Cape Verde Islands Sierra Leone 75 13
76 Australia Armenia 12 2
77 Zambia Sierra Leone 4 1
78 Saudi Arabia Sierra Leone -4 0
79 Angola Sierra Leone 24 4
79 Morocco Sierra Leone 22 3
81 Belarus Sierra Leone 26 6
82 Congo Sierra Leone 22 6
83 Jamaica Sierra Leone 6 4
84 Trinidad and Tobago Sierra Leone 27 7
85 Palestine Sierra Leone 15 6
86 Qatar Sierra Leone 15 5
87 Uganda Sierra Leone 3 1
88 Togo Sierra Leone 76 17
89 Iraq Sierra Leone 22 10
89 Northern Ireland Sierra Leone 21 10
91 Benin Sierra Leone 76 20
92 Estonia Sierra Leone 23 7
93 Gabon Sierra Leone 22 8
94 China PR Sierra Leone 1 0
95 Kenya Sierra Leone 19 8
96 Congo DR Sierra Leone 30 11
96 Georgia Sierra Leone 34 12
98 Zimbabwe Sierra Leone 11 6
99 Botswana Sierra Leone 24 10
99 Niger Sierra Leone 36 14
101 New Zealand Sierra Leone 15 9
102 Moldova Sierra Leone 16 7
103 Latvia Sierra Leone 22 5
104 Lithuania Sierra Leone 22 6
105 Bahrain Sierra Leone 20 0
106 Tanzania Sierra Leone 17 1
107 Kuwait Sierra Leone 4 0
108 Luxembourg Aruba 7 1
109 Rwanda Sierra Leone 18 4
110 Ethiopia Sierra Leone 24 5
111 Equatorial Guinea Sierra Leone 75 19
112 Namibia Sierra Leone 27 7
113 Haiti Sierra Leone 77 18
114 Mozambique Sierra Leone 18 4
115 Liberia Sierra Leone 75 14
115 Sudan Sierra Leone 28 8
117 Central African Republic Sierra Leone 75 15
118 Canada Sierra Leone 19 6
119 Lebanon Sierra Leone 22 8
120 Cuba Sierra Leone 76 17
121 El Salvador Sierra Leone 37 10
121 Malawi Sierra Leone 46 13
123 Aruba Bhutan -6 -2
124 Tajikistan Aruba 41 14
125 Dominican Republic Aruba 42 14
126 Burundi Sierra Leone 24 6
127 Kazakhstan Sierra Leone 34 10
128 Philippines Aruba 7 3
129 Afghanistan Aruba 7 4
129 Vietnam Aruba 12 4
131 Lesotho Aruba 9 6
131 Suriname Aruba 42 14
133 Mauritania Aruba 3 1
134 Guatemala Sierra Leone 76 26
135 St. Vincent and the Grenadines Aruba 42 15
136 Guinea-Bissau Aruba 42 15
136 New Caledonia Sierra Leone 75 26
138 St. Lucia Aruba 20 8
139 Cyprus Sierra Leone 46 18
140 Chad Aruba 42 15
140 Turkmenistan Aruba 42 15
142 Grenada Aruba 42 17
143 Madagascar Aruba 41 17
144 Kyrgyzstan Aruba 14 4
145 Maldives Aruba 10 2
146 Syria Sierra Leone 36 12
147 Korea DPR Sierra Leone 38 11
148 Gambia Sierra Leone 75 27
149 Antigua and Barbuda Aruba 42 10
150 Malta Aruba 25 5
151 India Aruba 15 2
151 Malaysia Aruba 15 2
153 Indonesia Aruba 14 4
154 Singapore Aruba 14 5
155 Guyana Sierra Leone 76 22
156 Puerto Rico Aruba 43 12
157 Thailand Sierra Leone 60 17
158 St. Kitts and Nevis Aruba 42 11
159 Swaziland Aruba 19 6
160 Myanmar Aruba 42 13
161 Belize Aruba 42 12
162 Hong Kong Aruba 30 11
163 Bangladesh Aruba 42 12
164 Nepal Aruba 20 4
165 Pakistan Aruba 21 4
166 Montserrat American Samoa 26 8
167 Dominica Aruba 24 6
167 Liechtenstein Aruba 25 6
169 Barbados Aruba 42 13
170 Laos Bhutan 14 5
171 Tahiti Aruba 42 13
172 Comoros Aruba 42 14
173 Bermuda Aruba 42 15
174 Guam American Samoa 26 11
175 Nicaragua Aruba 43 14
175 Solomon Islands Aruba 41 14
177 Sao Tome e Principe Aruba 42 15
178 Chinese Taipei Bhutan 26 11
178 Sri Lanka American Samoa 26 11
180 Yemen Aruba 26 13
181 Turks and Caicos Islands American Samoa 26 12
182 Seychelles Aruba 42 19
183 Curacao Aruba 42 20
184 Faroe Islands Aruba 29 14
185 Mauritius Aruba 32 15
186 South Sudan Aruba 29 9
187 Vanuatu Aruba 41 13
188 Fiji Sierra Leone 74 25
189 Mongolia American Samoa 25 3
190 Samoa American Samoa 25 4
190 US Virgin Islands American Samoa 26 4
192 Bahamas Aruba 43 11
192 Brunei Darussalam American Samoa 25 6
192 Timor-Leste American Samoa 25 6
192 Tonga American Samoa 25 6
196 Cayman Islands Aruba 42 13
197 American Samoa Bhutan 26 11
198 Andorra Aruba 26 11
199 Papua New Guinea Aruba 41 13
200 British Virgin Islands American Samoa 26 13
200 Cambodia American Samoa 26 13
202 Eritrea Aruba 42 16
203 Somalia Bhutan 26 15
204 Macau American Samoa 25 16
205 Djibouti American Samoa 26 17
206 Cook Islands American Samoa 26 18
207 Anguilla American Samoa 26 15
208 Bhutan American Samoa 26 16
208 San Marino American Samoa 23 12

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.

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