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Friday, July 18, 2014

FIFA Ranking: August 2014 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the August 2014 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

19/Jul Botswana - Guinea-Bissau 1 (Continental Qualifier)
19/Jul Sierra Leone - Seychelles 1 (Continental Qualifier)
19/Jul Uganda - Mauritania 1 (Continental Qualifier)
20/Jul Benin - Malawi 1 (Continental Qualifier)
20/Jul Congo - Rwanda 1 (Continental Qualifier)
20/Jul Lesotho - Kenya 2 (Continental Qualifier)
20/Jul Tanzania - Mozambique 1 (Continental Qualifier)
21/Jul Guam - Macau 1 (Friendly)
23/Jul Guam - Mongolia X (Friendly)
24/Jul Gabon - Rwanda 1 (Friendly)
25/Jul Macau - Mongolia 2 (Friendly)
02/Aug Guinea-Bissau - Botswana X (Continental Qualifier)
02/Aug Malawi - Benin X (Continental Qualifier)
02/Aug Mauritania - Uganda 2 (Continental Qualifier)
02/Aug Rwanda - Congo X (Continental Qualifier)
02/Aug Seychelles - Sierra Leone 2 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Aug Kenya - Lesotho 1 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Aug Mozambique - Tanzania X (Continental Qualifier)
06/Aug Oman - Chad 1 (Friendly)
06/Aug Peru - Panama 1 (Friendly)
08/Aug Tajikistan - Malaysia 1 (Friendly)
09/Aug Oman - Chad 1 (Friendly)

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer, Romanian. Started the blog in March 2007. Quit in April 2018. You can find me on LinkedIn.


  1. In the RWA - CGO game, does Rwanda only get a 2 multiplyer because they won in pso instead of 3, like CGO got in the first match?

    1. This is also in the Malawi - Benin tie. Benin get more points than Malawi because they won the first match. Malawi beat a stronger opponent, but because the second match (which they won) went to penalties, they get fewer points. At least according to the FIFA Calculator. Doesnt make sense to me.

    2. Thorsteinn,

      as far as I know the rule "PSO-win counts for 2 points" is only applied when a match ends in a draw in regular time (or after extra time) and a decision is needed. There are 2 cases: in case it's the second match of a two-legged tie then at this point both matches have ended in a draw. The other case is when it's one knock-out match. There is jurisprudence for the adaptation of this rule: the CAF Nations Cup 2013 qualification-tie between Zambia and Uganda (October 13th 2012).
      So in both cases you mention the PSO-winner (Rwanda and Malawi) should get the 3 points for the second match as they won that match in regular time.
      If the FIFA-prognosis tool tells you otherwise, it's another proof that the tool is flawed.