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Friday, July 18, 2014

FIFA Ranking: August 2014 probable results

Here are the probable results used for the August 2014 probable ranking. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins



19/Jul Botswana - Guinea-Bissau 1 (Continental Qualifier)
19/Jul Sierra Leone - Seychelles 1 (Continental Qualifier)
19/Jul Uganda - Mauritania 1 (Continental Qualifier)
20/Jul Benin - Malawi 1 (Continental Qualifier)
20/Jul Congo - Rwanda 1 (Continental Qualifier)
20/Jul Lesotho - Kenya 2 (Continental Qualifier)
20/Jul Tanzania - Mozambique 1 (Continental Qualifier)
21/Jul Guam - Macau 1 (Friendly)
23/Jul Guam - Mongolia X (Friendly)
24/Jul Gabon - Rwanda 1 (Friendly)
25/Jul Macau - Mongolia 2 (Friendly)
02/Aug Guinea-Bissau - Botswana X (Continental Qualifier)
02/Aug Malawi - Benin X (Continental Qualifier)
02/Aug Mauritania - Uganda 2 (Continental Qualifier)
02/Aug Rwanda - Congo X (Continental Qualifier)
02/Aug Seychelles - Sierra Leone 2 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Aug Kenya - Lesotho 1 (Continental Qualifier)
03/Aug Mozambique - Tanzania X (Continental Qualifier)
06/Aug Oman - Chad 1 (Friendly)
06/Aug Peru - Panama 1 (Friendly)
08/Aug Tajikistan - Malaysia 1 (Friendly)
09/Aug Oman - Chad 1 (Friendly)

4 comments:

  1. In the RWA - CGO game, does Rwanda only get a 2 multiplyer because they won in pso instead of 3, like CGO got in the first match?

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    Replies
    1. This is also in the Malawi - Benin tie. Benin get more points than Malawi because they won the first match. Malawi beat a stronger opponent, but because the second match (which they won) went to penalties, they get fewer points. At least according to the FIFA Calculator. Doesnt make sense to me.

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    2. Thorsteinn,

      as far as I know the rule "PSO-win counts for 2 points" is only applied when a match ends in a draw in regular time (or after extra time) and a decision is needed. There are 2 cases: in case it's the second match of a two-legged tie then at this point both matches have ended in a draw. The other case is when it's one knock-out match. There is jurisprudence for the adaptation of this rule: the CAF Nations Cup 2013 qualification-tie between Zambia and Uganda (October 13th 2012).
      So in both cases you mention the PSO-winner (Rwanda and Malawi) should get the 3 points for the second match as they won that match in regular time.
      If the FIFA-prognosis tool tells you otherwise, it's another proof that the tool is flawed.

      Delete