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Friday, June 5, 2015

2018 FIFA World Cup seeding (UEFA): Simulations by team

Because I've received lots of "What are my team's chances if they do this and that and everything else stays the same" questions, I've decided to run 10000 sims for each possible scenario. Lost patience after Serbia and dropped to 1000 sims per scenario.

As usual with competition/pot sims, I used ClubElo's expected goals formula. Games up to and including 3 June 2015.

The usual simulations can be found here.

Some very important matches:

Croatia vs. Italy - both fighting for a pot 1 spot.
Iceland vs. Czech Republic - Iceland need to win to be in pot 2, the Czechs need to win to (almost) be in pot 1.
Wales vs. Belgium - Wales need to win to be in pot 1.
Denmark vs. Serbia - both fighting for a pot 2 spot.
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Israel - both fighting for a pot 2 spot.
Republic of Ireland vs. Scotland - hosts need to win for pot 3, Scotland need to win to be in pot 2.
Albania vs. France - hosts need to win to be sure of a pot 3 spot.
Finland vs. Hungary - pot 4 / pot 3.

Germany

Pot 1: 100%

Belgium

Pot 1: 100%

Netherlands

Pot 1: 100%

Romania

Pot 1: 100%

England

Defeat vs. Republic of Ireland; Defeat vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 94.24%; Pot 2: 5.76%
Defeat vs. Republic of Ireland; Draw vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 97.32%; Pot 2: 2.68%
Defeat vs. Republic of Ireland; Win vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 100%
Draw vs. Republic of Ireland; Defeat vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 94.46%; Pot 2: 5.54%
Draw vs. Republic of Ireland; Draw vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 98.36%; Pot 2: 1.64%
Draw vs. Republic of Ireland; Win vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 100%
Win vs. Republic of Ireland; Defeat vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 96.81%; Pot 2: 3.19%
Win vs. Republic of Ireland; Draw vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 100%
Win vs. Republic of Ireland; Win vs. Slovenia - Pot 1: 100%

Portugal

Defeat vs. Armenia; Defeat vs. Italy - Pot 1: 81%; Pot 2: 19%
Defeat vs. Armenia; Draw vs. Italy - Pot 1: 95.32%; Pot 2: 4.68%
Defeat vs. Armenia; Win vs. Italy - Pot 1: 98.11%; Pot 2: 1.89%
Draw vs. Armenia; Defeat vs. Italy - Pot 1: 95.08%; Pot 2: 4.92%
Draw vs. Armenia; Draw vs. Italy - Pot 1: 97.5%; Pot 2: 2.5%
Draw vs. Armenia; Win vs. Italy - Pot 1: 100%
Win vs. Armenia; Defeat vs. Italy - Pot 1: 100%
Win vs. Armenia; Draw vs. Italy - Pot 1: 100%
Win vs. Armenia; Win vs. Italy - Pot 1: 100%

Spain

Defeat vs. Costa Rica; Defeat vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 4.92%; Pot 2: 95.08%
Defeat vs. Costa Rica; Draw vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 32.68%; Pot 2: 67.32%
Defeat vs. Costa Rica; Win vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 94.66%; Pot 2: 5.34%
Draw vs. Costa Rica; Defeat vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 12.03%; Pot 2: 87.97%
Draw vs. Costa Rica; Draw vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 83.77%; Pot 2: 16.23%
Draw vs. Costa Rica; Win vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 96.88%; Pot 2: 3.12%
Win vs. Costa Rica; Defeat vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 87.3%; Pot 2: 12.7%
Win vs. Costa Rica; Draw vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 94.09%; Pot 2: 5.91%
Win vs. Costa Rica; Win vs. Belarus - Pot 1: 100%

Croatia

Defeat vs. Italy - Pot 1: 0.91%; Pot 2: 99.09%
Draw vs. Italy - Pot 1: 82.54%; Pot 2: 17.46%
Win vs. Italy - Pot 1: 100%

Italy

Defeat vs. Croatia; Defeat vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 0.33%; Pot 2: 99.67%
Defeat vs. Croatia; Draw vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 0.86%; Pot 2: 99.14%
Defeat vs. Croatia; Win vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 11.68%; Pot 2: 88.32%
Draw vs. Croatia; Defeat vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 11.93%; Pot 2: 88.07%
Draw vs. Croatia; Draw vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 53.88%; Pot 2: 46.12%
Draw vs. Croatia; Win vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 96.49%; Pot 2: 3.51%
Win vs. Croatia; Defeat vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 100%
Win vs. Croatia; Draw vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 100%
Win vs. Croatia; Win vs. Portugal - Pot 1: 100%

Slovakia

Defeat vs. FYR Macedonia - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. FYR Macedonia - Pot 1: 0.54%; Pot 2: 99.46%
Win vs. FYR Macedonia - Pot 1: 44.44%; Pot 2: 55.56%

Czech Republic

Defeat vs. Iceland - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Iceland - Pot 1: 1.56%; Pot 2: 98.44%
Win vs. Iceland - Pot 1: 96.18%; Pot 2: 3.82%

Wales

Defeat vs. Belgium - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Belgium - Pot 1: 4.63%; Pot 2: 95.37%
Win vs. Belgium - Pot 1: 100%

Switzerland

Defeat vs. Liechtenstein; Defeat vs. Lithuania - Pot 2: 100%
Defeat vs. Liechtenstein; Draw vs. Lithuania - Pot 2: 100%
Defeat vs. Liechtenstein; Win vs. Lithuania - Pot 1: 1.26%; Pot 2: 98.74%
Draw vs. Liechtenstein; Defeat vs. Lithuania - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Liechtenstein; Draw vs. Lithuania - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Liechtenstein; Win vs. Lithuania - Pot 1: 1.84%; Pot 2: 98.16%
Win vs. Liechtenstein; Defeat vs. Lithuania - Pot 2: 100%
Win vs. Liechtenstein; Draw vs. Lithuania - Pot 2: 100%
Win vs. Liechtenstein; Win vs. Lithuania - Pot 1: 7.59%; Pot 2: 92.41%

Austria

Defeat vs. Russia - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Russia - Pot 2: 100%
Win vs. Russia - Pot 1: 13.72%; Pot 2: 86.28%

France

Defeat vs. Belgium; Defeat vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Defeat vs. Belgium; Draw vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Defeat vs. Belgium; Win vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Belgium; Defeat vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Belgium; Draw vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Draw vs. Belgium; Win vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Win vs. Belgium; Defeat vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Win vs. Belgium; Draw vs. Albania - Pot 2: 100%
Win vs. Belgium; Win vs. Albania - Pot 1: 1.53%; Pot 2: 98.47%

Denmark

Defeat vs. Montenegro; Defeat vs. Serbia - Pot 3: 99.95%; Pot 4: 0.05%
Defeat vs. Montenegro; Draw vs. Serbia - Pot 2: 5.05%; Pot 3: 94.95%
Defeat vs. Montenegro; Win vs. Serbia - Pot 2: 98.61%; Pot 3: 1.39%
Draw vs. Montenegro; Defeat vs. Serbia - Pot 3: 100%
Draw vs. Montenegro; Draw vs. Serbia - Pot 2: 10.54%; Pot 3: 89.46%
Draw vs. Montenegro; Win vs. Serbia - Pot 2: 100%
Win vs. Montenegro; Defeat vs. Serbia - Pot 2: 0.49%; Pot 3: 99.51%
Win vs. Montenegro; Draw vs. Serbia - Pot 2: 67.66%; Pot 3: 32.34%
Win vs. Montenegro; Win vs. Serbia - Pot 2: 100%

Iceland

Defeat vs. Czech Republic - Pot 3: 100%
Draw vs. Czech Republic - Pot 2: 14.99%; Pot 3: 85.01%
Win vs. Czech Republic - Pot 2: 100%

Bosnia-Herzegovina

Defeat vs. Israel - Pot 3: 82.81%; Pot 4: 17.19%
Draw vs. Israel - Pot 3: 100%
Win vs. Israel - Pot 2: 85.27%; Pot 3: 14.73%

Scotland

Defeat vs. Qatar; Defeat vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 3: 99.26%; Pot 4: 0.74%
Defeat vs. Qatar; Draw vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 3: 100%
Defeat vs. Qatar; Win vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 2: 88.61%; Pot 3: 11.39%
Draw vs. Qatar; Defeat vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 3: 98.87%; Pot 4: 1.13%
Draw vs. Qatar; Draw vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 2: 0.31%; Pot 3: 99.69%
Draw vs. Qatar; Win vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 2: 95.24%; Pot 3: 4.76%
Win vs. Qatar; Defeat vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 3: 99.99%; Pot 4: 0.01%
Win vs. Qatar; Draw vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 2: 3.46%; Pot 3: 96.54%
Win vs. Qatar; Win vs. Republic of Ireland - Pot 2: 100%

Poland

Defeat vs. Georgia; Defeat vs. Greece - Pot 3: 91.65%; Pot 4: 8.35%
Defeat vs. Georgia; Draw vs. Greece - Pot 3: 99.73%; Pot 4: 0.27%
Defeat vs. Georgia; Win vs. Greece - Pot 2: 1.17%; Pot 3: 98.83%
Draw vs. Georgia; Defeat vs. Greece - Pot 3: 99.59%; Pot 4: 0.41%
Draw vs. Georgia; Draw vs. Greece - Pot 3: 99.96%; Pot 4: 0.04%
Draw vs. Georgia; Win vs. Greece - Pot 2: 7.12%; Pot 3: 92.88%
Win vs. Georgia; Defeat vs. Greece - Pot 2: 0.29%; Pot 3: 99.71%
Win vs. Georgia; Draw vs. Greece - Pot 2: 3.99%; Pot 3: 96.01%
Win vs. Georgia; Win vs. Greece - Pot 2: 57.63%; Pot 3: 42.37%

Ukraine

Defeat vs. Georgia; Defeat vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 0.05%; Pot 3: 99.91%; Pot 4: 0.04%
Defeat vs. Georgia; Draw vs. Luxembourg - Pot 3: 100%
Defeat vs. Georgia; Win vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 8.44%; Pot 3: 91.56%
Draw vs. Georgia; Defeat vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 0.05%; Pot 3: 99.95%
Draw vs. Georgia; Draw vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 1.25%; Pot 3: 98.75%
Draw vs. Georgia; Win vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 18.4%; Pot 3: 81.6%
Win vs. Georgia; Defeat vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 0.19%; Pot 3: 99.81%
Win vs. Georgia; Draw vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 2.69%; Pot 3: 97.31%
Win vs. Georgia; Win vs. Luxembourg - Pot 2: 22.91%; Pot 3: 77.09%

Northern Ireland

Defeat vs. Romania - Pot 3: 73.4%; Pot 4: 26.6%;
Draw vs. Romania - Pot 3: 99.85%; Pot 4: 0.15%;
Win vs. Romania - Pot 2: 97.27%; Pot 3: 2.73%;

Greece

Defeat vs. Faroe Islands; Defeat vs. Poland - Pot 3: 16.76%; Pot 4: 83.24%;
Defeat vs. Faroe Islands; Draw vs. Poland - Pot 3: 60.95%; Pot 4: 39.05%;
Defeat vs. Faroe Islands; Win vs. Poland - Pot 3: 99.67%; Pot 4: 0.33%;
Draw vs. Faroe Islands; Defeat vs. Poland - Pot 3: 85.97%; Pot 4: 14.03%;
Draw vs. Faroe Islands; Draw vs. Poland - Pot 3: 98.75%; Pot 4: 1.25%;
Draw vs. Faroe Islands; Win vs. Poland - Pot 3: 100%;
Win vs. Faroe Islands; Defeat vs. Poland - Pot 3: 100%;
Win vs. Faroe Islands; Draw vs. Poland - Pot 2: 0.2%; Pot 3: 99.8%;
Win vs. Faroe Islands; Win vs. Poland - Pot 2: 42.67%; Pot 3: 57.33%;

Sweden

Defeat vs. Norway; Defeat vs. Montenegro - Pot 3: 55.16%; Pot 4: 44.84%;
Defeat vs. Norway; Draw vs. Montenegro - Pot 3: 93.62%; Pot 4: 6.38%;
Defeat vs. Norway; Win vs. Montenegro - Pot 3: 100%;
Draw vs. Norway; Defeat vs. Montenegro - Pot 3: 80.29%; Pot 4: 19.71%;
Draw vs. Norway; Draw vs. Montenegro - Pot 3: 99.48%; Pot 4: 0.52%;
Draw vs. Norway; Win vs. Montenegro - Pot 2: 0.33%; Pot 3: 99.67%;
Win vs. Norway; Defeat vs. Montenegro - Pot 3: 97.12%; Pot 4: 2.88%;
Win vs. Norway; Draw vs. Montenegro - Pot 3: 99.87%; Pot 4: 0.13%;
Win vs. Norway; Win vs. Montenegro - Pot 2: 5.16%; Pot 3: 94.84%;

Serbia

Defeat vs. Azerbaijan; Defeat vs. Denmark - Pot 3: 15.9%; Pot 4: 84.1%;
Defeat vs. Azerbaijan; Draw vs. Denmark - Pot 3: 93.01%; Pot 4: 6.99%;
Defeat vs. Azerbaijan; Win vs. Denmark - Pot 2: 31.01%; Pot 3: 68.99%;
Draw vs. Azerbaijan; Defeat vs. Denmark - Pot 3: 41.91%; Pot 4: 58.09%;
Draw vs. Azerbaijan; Draw vs. Denmark - Pot 3: 99.17%; Pot 4: 0.83%;
Draw vs. Azerbaijan; Win vs. Denmark - Pot 2: 67.39%; Pot 3: 32.61%;
Win vs. Azerbaijan; Defeat vs. Denmark - Pot 3: 58.73%; Pot 4: 41.27%;
Win vs. Azerbaijan; Draw vs. Denmark - Pot 3: 99.69%; Pot 4: 0.31%;
Win vs. Azerbaijan; Win vs. Denmark - Pot 2: 93.05%; Pot 3: 6.95%;

Israel

Defeat vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Pot 3: 91.3%; Pot 4: 8.7%;
Win vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina - Pot 2: 91.3%; Pot 3: 8.7%;

Hungary

Defeat vs. Lithuania; Defeat vs. Finland - Pot 4: 100%;
Defeat vs. Lithuania; Draw vs. Finland - Pot 3: 48.9%; Pot 4: 51.1%;
Defeat vs. Lithuania; Win vs. Finland - Pot 3: 100%;
Draw vs. Lithuania; Defeat vs. Finland - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Lithuania; Draw vs. Finland - Pot 3: 52.1%; Pot 4: 47.9%;
Draw vs. Lithuania; Win vs. Finland - Pot 3: 100%;
Win vs. Lithuania; Defeat vs. Finland - Pot 3: 42.6%; Pot 4: 57.4%;
Win vs. Lithuania; Draw vs. Finland - Pot 3: 91.9%; Pot 4: 8.1%;
Win vs. Lithuania; Win vs. Finland - Pot 2: 0.7%; Pot 3: 99.3%;

Slovenia

Defeat vs. England - Pot 3: 3.5%; Pot 4: 96.5%;
Draw vs. England - Pot 3: 89.4%; Pot 4: 10.6%;
Win vs. England - Pot 2: 35.3%; Pot 3: 64.7%;

Republic of Ireland

Defeat vs. England; Defeat vs. Scotland - Pot 4: 100%;
Defeat vs. England; Draw vs. Scotland - Pot 4: 100%;
Defeat vs. England; Win vs. Scotland - Pot 3: 97.1%; Pot 4: 2.9%;
Draw vs. England; Defeat vs. Scotland - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. England; Draw vs. Scotland - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. England; Win vs. Scotland - Pot 3: 99.2%; Pot 4: 0.8%;
Win vs. England; Defeat vs. Scotland - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. England; Draw vs. Scotland - Pot 3: 57.4%; Pot 4: 42.6%;
Win vs. England; Win vs. Scotland - Pot 3: 100%;

Albania

Defeat vs. France - Pot 3: 19.2%; Pot 4: 80.8%;
Draw vs. France - Pot 3: 68.9%; Pot 4: 31.1%;
Win vs. France - Pot 3: 100%;

Turkey

Defeat vs. Bulgaria; Defeat vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Defeat vs. Bulgaria; Draw vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Defeat vs. Bulgaria; Win vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Bulgaria; Defeat vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Bulgaria; Draw vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Bulgaria; Win vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Bulgaria; Defeat vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Bulgaria; Draw vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Bulgaria; Win vs. Kazakhstan - Pot 3: 2%; Pot 4: 98%;

Norway

Defeat vs. Sweden; Defeat vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 99.3%; Pot 5: 0.7%;
Defeat vs. Sweden; Draw vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 99.3%; Pot 5: 0.7%;
Defeat vs. Sweden; Win vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Sweden; Defeat vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 98.5%; Pot 5: 1.5%;
Draw vs. Sweden; Draw vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Sweden; Win vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Sweden; Defeat vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Sweden; Draw vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Sweden; Win vs. Azerbaijan - Pot 4: 100%;

Bulgaria

Defeat vs. Turkey; Defeat vs. Malta - Pot 4: 86.3%; Pot 5: 13.7%;
Defeat vs. Turkey; Draw vs. Malta - Pot 4: 97.2%; Pot 5: 2.8%;
Defeat vs. Turkey; Win vs. Malta - Pot 4: 99.5%; Pot 5: 0.5%;
Draw vs. Turkey; Defeat vs. Malta - Pot 4: 96%; Pot 5: 4%;
Draw vs. Turkey; Draw vs. Malta - Pot 4: 98.4%; Pot 5: 1.6%;
Draw vs. Turkey; Win vs. Malta - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Turkey; Defeat vs. Malta - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Turkey; Draw vs. Malta - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Turkey; Win vs. Malta - Pot 4: 100%;

Montenegro

Defeat vs. Denmark; Defeat vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 75.2%; Pot 5: 24.8%;
Defeat vs. Denmark; Draw vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 98.6%; Pot 5: 1.4%;
Defeat vs. Denmark; Win vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Denmark; Defeat vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 93.2%; Pot 5: 6.8%;
Draw vs. Denmark; Draw vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Denmark; Win vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Denmark; Defeat vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 99.3%; Pot 5: 0.7%;
Win vs. Denmark; Draw vs. Sweden - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Denmark; Win vs. Sweden - Pot 3: 57.3%; Pot 4: 42.7%;

Finland

Defeat vs. Estonia; Defeat vs. Hungary - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Estonia; Draw vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 28.3%; Pot 5: 71.7%;
Defeat vs. Estonia; Win vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 100%;
Draw vs. Estonia; Defeat vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 5.8%; Pot 5: 94.2%;
Draw vs. Estonia; Draw vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 79.5%; Pot 5: 20.5%;
Draw vs. Estonia; Win vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 100%;
Win vs. Estonia; Defeat vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 71.8%; Pot 5: 28.2%;
Win vs. Estonia; Draw vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 98.5%; Pot 5: 1.5%;
Win vs. Estonia; Win vs. Hungary - Pot 4: 100%;

Armenia

Defeat vs. Portugal - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Portugal - Pot 4: 80.7%; Pot 5: 19.3%;
Win vs. Portugal - Pot 4: 100%;

Belarus

Defeat vs. Russia; Defeat vs. Spain - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Russia; Draw vs. Spain - Pot 4: 1.2%; Pot 5: 98.8%;
Defeat vs. Russia; Win vs. Spain - Pot 4: 97.4%; Pot 5: 2.6%;
Draw vs. Russia; Defeat vs. Spain - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Russia; Draw vs. Spain - Pot 4: 30.2%; Pot 5: 69.8%;
Draw vs. Russia; Win vs. Spain - Pot 4: 98%; Pot 5: 2%;
Win vs. Russia; Defeat vs. Spain - Pot 4: 23.5%; Pot 5: 76.5%;
Win vs. Russia; Draw vs. Spain - Pot 4: 73.8%; Pot 5: 26.2%;
Win vs. Russia; Win vs. Spain - Pot 4: 100%;

Estonia

Defeat vs. Finland; Defeat vs. San Marino - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Finland; Draw vs. San Marino - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Finland; Win vs. San Marino - Pot 4: 5.6%; Pot 5: 94.4%;
Draw vs. Finland; Defeat vs. San Marino - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Finland; Draw vs. San Marino - Pot 4: 6.5%; Pot 5: 93.5%;
Draw vs. Finland; Win vs. San Marino - Pot 4: 34.9%; Pot 5: 65.1%;
Win vs. Finland; Defeat vs. San Marino - Pot 4: 12.3%; Pot 5: 87.7%;
Win vs. Finland; Draw vs. San Marino - Pot 4: 39.4%; Pot 5: 60.6%;
Win vs. Finland; Win vs. San Marino - Pot 4: 48.8%; Pot 5: 51.2%;

Latvia

Defeat vs. Netherlands - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Netherlands - Pot 4: 65.6%; Pot 5: 34.4%;
Win vs. Netherlands - Pot 4: 100%;

Lithuania

Defeat vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 80.9%; Pot 5: 19.1%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 82.5%; Pot 5: 17.5%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Defeat vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 86.9%; Pot 5: 13.1%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 91.4%; Pot 5: 8.6%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 92.5%; Pot 5: 7.5%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 0.7%; Pot 5: 99.3%;
Draw vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 90.3%; Pot 5: 9.7%;
Win vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 22%; Pot 5: 78%;
Win vs. Hungary; Defeat vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 97.1%; Pot 5: 2.9%;
Win vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 17.9%; Pot 5: 82.1%;
Win vs. Hungary; Draw vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 98.5%; Pot 5: 1.5%;
Win vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Defeat vs. Switzerland - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Draw vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 29.8%; Pot 5: 70.2%;
Win vs. Hungary; Win vs. Malta; Win vs. Switzerland - Pot 4: 99.3%; Pot 5: 0.7%;

Cyprus

Defeat vs. Andorra - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Andorra - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Andorra - Pot 4: 19.1%; Pot 5: 80.9%;

FYR Macedonia

Defeat vs. Slovakia - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Slovakia - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Slovakia - Pot 4: 99.4%; Pot 5: 0.6%;

Azerbaijan

Defeat vs. Serbia; Defeat vs. Norway - Pot 5: 91.5%; Pot 6: 8.5%;
Defeat vs. Serbia; Draw vs. Norway - Pot 5: 99.3%; Pot 6: 0.7%;
Defeat vs. Serbia; Win vs. Norway - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Serbia; Defeat vs. Norway - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Serbia; Draw vs. Norway - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Serbia; Win vs. Norway - Pot 4: 17.3%; Pot 5: 82.7%;
Win vs. Serbia; Defeat vs. Norway - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Serbia; Draw vs. Norway - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Serbia; Win vs. Norway - Pot 4: 53%; Pot 5: 47%;

Faroe Islands

Defeat vs. Greece - Pot 5: 73.5%; Pot 6: 26.5%;
Draw vs. Greece - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Greece - Pot 4: 85.6%; Pot 5: 14.4%;

Moldova

Defeat vs. Luxembourg; Defeat vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Luxembourg; Draw vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 5: 51.4%; Pot 6: 48.6%;
Defeat vs. Luxembourg; Win vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 5: 95.5%; Pot 6: 4.5%;
Draw vs. Luxembourg; Defeat vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Luxembourg; Draw vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 5: 59.5%; Pot 6: 40.5%;
Draw vs. Luxembourg; Win vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 5: 97.6%; Pot 6: 2.4%;
Win vs. Luxembourg; Defeat vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 5: 49%; Pot 6: 51%;
Win vs. Luxembourg; Draw vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 5: 87.1%; Pot 6: 12.9%;
Win vs. Luxembourg; Win vs. Liechtenstein - Pot 5: 98.6%; Pot 6: 1.4%;

Kazakhstan

Defeat vs. Turkey; Defeat vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Turkey; Draw vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Turkey; Win vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Turkey; Defeat vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Turkey; Draw vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 5: 8.2%; Pot 6: 91.8%;
Draw vs. Turkey; Win vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 5: 83.3%; Pot 6: 16.7%;
Win vs. Turkey; Defeat vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 5: 93.9%; Pot 6: 6.1%;
Win vs. Turkey; Draw vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 5: 95.3%; Pot 6: 4.7%;
Win vs. Turkey; Win vs. Cape Verde Islands - Pot 5: 100%;

Georgia

Defeat vs. Ukraine; Defeat vs. Poland - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Ukraine; Draw vs. Poland - Pot 5: 8.8%; Pot 6: 91.2%;
Defeat vs. Ukraine; Win vs. Poland - Pot 5: 100%;
Draw vs. Ukraine; Defeat vs. Poland - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Ukraine; Draw vs. Poland - Pot 5: 75.1%; Pot 6: 24.9%;
Draw vs. Ukraine; Win vs. Poland - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Ukraine; Defeat vs. Poland - Pot 5: 23.6%; Pot 6: 76.4%;
Win vs. Ukraine; Draw vs. Poland - Pot 5: 99.4%; Pot 6: 0.6%;
Win vs. Ukraine; Win vs. Poland - Pot 4: 29.7%; Pot 5: 70.3%;

Liechtenstein

Defeat vs. Switzerland; Defeat vs. Moldova - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Switzerland; Draw vs. Moldova - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Switzerland; Win vs. Moldova - Pot 5: 20.2%; Pot 6: 79.8%;
Draw vs. Switzerland; Defeat vs. Moldova - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Switzerland; Draw vs. Moldova - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Switzerland; Win vs. Moldova - Pot 5: 83.9%; Pot 6: 16.1%;
Win vs. Switzerland; Defeat vs. Moldova - Pot 6: 100%;
Win vs. Switzerland; Draw vs. Moldova - Pot 5: 67.2%; Pot 6: 32.8%;
Win vs. Switzerland; Win vs. Moldova - Pot 5: 98.6%; Pot 6: 1.4%;

Malta

Defeat vs. Lithuania; Defeat vs. Bulgaria - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Lithuania; Draw vs. Bulgaria - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Lithuania; Win vs. Bulgaria - Pot 5: 24.7%; Pot 6: 75.3%;
Draw vs. Lithuania; Defeat vs. Bulgaria - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Lithuania; Draw vs. Bulgaria - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Lithuania; Win vs. Bulgaria - Pot 5: 64.3%; Pot 6: 35.7%;
Win vs. Lithuania; Defeat vs. Bulgaria - Pot 6: 100%;
Win vs. Lithuania; Draw vs. Bulgaria - Pot 6: 100%;
Win vs. Lithuania; Win vs. Bulgaria - Pot 5: 89.4%; Pot 6: 10.6%;

Luxembourg

Defeat vs. Moldova; Defeat vs. Ukraine - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Moldova; Draw vs. Ukraine - Pot 6: 100%;
Defeat vs. Moldova; Win vs. Ukraine - Pot 5: 99.3%; Pot 6: 0.7%;
Draw vs. Moldova; Defeat vs. Ukraine - Pot 6: 100%;
Draw vs. Moldova; Draw vs. Ukraine - Pot 5: 36.6%; Pot 6: 63.4%;
Draw vs. Moldova; Win vs. Ukraine - Pot 5: 100%;
Win vs. Moldova; Defeat vs. Ukraine - Pot 6: 100%;
Win vs. Moldova; Draw vs. Ukraine - Pot 5: 68.3%; Pot 6: 31.7%;
Win vs. Moldova; Win vs. Ukraine - Pot 5: 100%;

San Marino

Pot 6: 100%;

Andorra

Pot 6: 100%;

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