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Friday, October 2, 2015

FIFA Ranking: November 2015 probable ranking

FIFA will publish the ranking on 5 November.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking. For minimum/maximum points see the preview.

First spot up for grabs - Argentina, Germany, Belgium and Portugal could claim it, but only Germany don't have to watch the other teams' results. With wins vs. Republic of Ireland and Georgia they will return to the top.


Probable November 2015 rank - Team - Probable November 2015 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Germany 1524 1 123
2 Argentina 1514 -1 95
3 Belgium 1440 0 53
4 Portugal 1364 0 129
5 Colombia 1270 0 42
6 Brazil 1242 1 38
7 Spain 1199 -1 -24
8 England 1179 2 18
9 Chile 1174 0 -3
10 Austria 1130 1 30
11 Romania 1123 2 81
12 Netherlands 1113 2 109
13 Switzerland 1073 -1 29
14 Italy 1040 3 78
15 Wales 1032 -7 -163
16 Uruguay 969 4 50
17 Czech Republic 953 -2 -30
18 Slovakia 942 0 6
19 Croatia 924 -3 -41
20 Bosnia-Herzegovina 923 10 136
21 Algeria 903 -2 -24
22 Russia 885 4 40
23 France 881 -1 -18
24 Côte d'Ivoire 877 -3 -39
25 Ukraine 854 -1 -20
26 Mexico 843 1 1
27 Iceland 836 -4 -46
28 Turkey 804 9 87
29 Hungary 802 4 61
29 USA 802 0 -5
31 Ghana 786 -6 -63
32 Ecuador 771 -1 6
33 Cape Verde Islands 762 8 61
34 Denmark 743 -6 -92
35 Poland 712 8 32
36 Tunisia 704 0 -18
37 Iran 702 2 -1
38 Albania 698 -6 -57
39 Senegal 687 -1 -26
40 Northern Ireland 674 -5 -50
41 Greece 671 3 -5
42 Costa Rica 663 0 -28
43 Scotland 649 -3 -53
44 Sweden 647 1 -25
45 Israel 639 2 -20
46 Norway 637 -12 -102
47 Finland 625 17 91
48 Australia 623 10 56
49 Peru 617 1 -6
50 Nigeria 610 2 10
51 Cameroon 606 -3 -34
51 Korea Republic 606 2 16
53 Japan 595 2 13
54 Congo 593 -5 -43
54 Slovenia 593 -8 -69
56 Egypt 583 -5 -37
57 Trinidad and Tobago 574 2 10
58 Mali 565 4 19
59 Jamaica 559 -2 -17
60 Panama 536 5 7
61 Congo DR 532 -1 -31
62 Guinea 529 -7 -53
63 Paraguay 528 -2 -24
64 Serbia 513 -1 -25
65 United Arab Emirates 509 5 18
66 Bulgaria 497 12 83
67 Equatorial Guinea 487 0 -23
68 Zambia 485 3 -2
69 Gabon 476 -4 -53
69 Republic of Ireland 476 -15 -111
71 Uganda 473 4 18
72 Uzbekistan 455 2 -9
73 Haiti 453 4 35
74 South Africa 443 -1 -22
75 Bolivia 442 -8 -68
76 Venezuela 435 -7 -66
77 Montenegro 426 -5 -44
78 China PR 418 3 13
79 Antigua and Barbuda 417 4 17
80 Togo 411 -1 0
81 Iraq 407 4 11
82 Liberia 394 13 34
83 Honduras 387 6 8
84 Faroe Islands 385 1 -11
85 Morocco 383 -5 -24
86 Belarus 378 12 28
87 Qatar 372 5 7
88 Estonia 370 -1 -18
89 Saudi Arabia 369 -1 -15
90 Central African Republic 366 36 95
91 Guatemala 357 -9 -44
92 Rwanda 356 1 -8
93 Burkina Faso 354 -17 -73
94 El Salvador 352 0 -11
95 Jordan 346 4 -2
95 Malawi 346 6 7
97 Latvia 341 6 6
98 Oman 340 4 2
98 St. Kitts and Nevis 340 14 37
100 Benin 333 0 -8
101 Armenia 330 -10 -47
102 Botswana 327 9 22
103 Nicaragua 326 -8 -34
104 Ethiopia 324 4 9
105 Angola 323 -8 -30
105 Canada 323 -1 -10
107 Mauritania 316 -18 -63
108 Cuba 312 9 18
108 Libya 312 -3 -16
110 Bahrain 310 13 27
111 Korea DPR 305 18 53
111 Zimbabwe 305 -2 -8
113 Burundi 303 0 1
114 Georgia 301 -4 -7
115 Aruba 299 0 0
115 Niger 299 5 12
117 Kenya 298 14 53
118 Azerbaijan 293 -13 -35
119 Belize 292 -1 0
120 Sudan 285 -36 -114
121 Cyprus 282 -7 -18
122 Turkmenistan 281 33 109
123 Kyrgyzstan 277 23 82
124 Kuwait 270 4 10
125 Sierra Leone 268 -4 -18
126 Mozambique 265 -19 -62
127 Namibia 263 -2 -11
128 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 262 -6 -22
129 Palestine 261 1 15
130 Syria 260 -7 -23
131 Swaziland 258 4 34
132 South Sudan 246 12 48
133 Madagascar 243 -6 -19
134 Lithuania 241 -18 -57
135 Philippines 225 -1 -13
136 Lesotho 220 4 19
137 Guinea-Bissau 216 10 23
138 Lebanon 213 2 12
139 Tanzania 210 -3 -8
140 Barbados 206 14 31
141 St. Lucia 204 -2 -4
142 Hong Kong 199 11 19
143 FYR Macedonia 198 -11 -41
144 Luxembourg 197 -2 -2
145 Gambia 195 16 41
146 Thailand 191 -1 -5
147 Dominican Republic 187 -28 -103
148 Kazakhstan 184 -6 -15
149 Curaçao 182 3 1
149 Vietnam 182 0 -5
151 Bermuda 181 -13 -28
152 Guyana 179 -15 -31
152 Singapore 179 5 15
154 Moldova 177 -22 -62
155 Guam 170 -5 -13
156 Afghanistan 168 -6 -15
157 Malta 164 0 0
158 New Zealand 163 -10 -25
159 Tajikistan 159 1 3
160 Myanmar 157 3 10
161 Chad 155 14 55
162 Liechtenstein 154 -6 -16
163 Samoa 152 -1 0
164 American Samoa 144 0 0
165 Maldives 141 11 45
166 Grenada 137 -7 -22
167 Timor-Leste 134 3 16
168 Cook Islands 132 -2 0
169 Malaysia 131 2 20
170 Puerto Rico 129 -5 -5
171 India 122 -4 -6
172 Indonesia 108 -1 -3
173 Dominica 104 1 2
173 Mauritius 104 -5 -19
175 Laos 90 4 5
176 US Virgin Islands 88 2 0
177 Yemen 81 3 -1
178 Bangladesh 80 4 3
178 Bhutan 80 -5 -26
178 New Caledonia 80 -9 -40
181 Cambodia 78 5 12
182 Suriname 77 -1 -2
183 Pakistan 76 -6 -13
184 Brunei Darussalam 74 3 13
185 Chinese Taipei 71 -2 2
186 Montserrat 67 -2 0
187 Fiji 60 2 0
187 Seychelles 60 -3 -7
189 Tahiti 56 -1 -4
190 Nepal 51 0 0
191 Cayman Islands 49 0 0
192 São Tomé e Príncipe 48 1 0
193 Comoros 46 0 -2
194 Sri Lanka 45 -3 -4
195 Macau 44 -2 -4
196 San Marino 35 0 0
197 Turks and Caicos Islands 33 0 0
198 British Virgin Islands 27 1 0
199 Solomon Islands 26 -2 -7
200 Tonga 17 0 0
201 Vanuatu 13 0 0
202 Eritrea 8 0 0
203 Mongolia 6 0 0
203 Somalia 6 0 0
205 Andorra 5 0 0
206 Papua New Guinea 4 0 0
207 Anguilla 0 1 0
207 Bahamas 0 1 0
207 Djibouti 0 -1 -4

10 comments:

  1. Huge chance for Belgium now to take the #1. I hope they know this and don't send out the reserves vs Israel.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Rep Ireland beat No.1 ranked team and only move up 6 or 7 places in rankings..... seems harsh

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ger, these ratings are not worth looking at they are only projections based on guessed results, if you look at the set of results these rankings are based on you will see the Rep Ireland were down as losing to Germany, N.Ireland drawing with Greece etc etc

      Delete
    2. Exactly, the ranking above is based on predicted match results, using elo ratings to produce a probable result. Who could have foreseen Ireland winning against Germany?
      As it turns out, Ireland gets a whopping 133 points for the win, resulting in an (intermediate) 17 spots climb. Let's see what the do-or-die match tonight against the Poles delivers for Ireland. Good luck !

      Delete
  3. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  4. I have a question. Ecuador beat Argentina 2-0, so opponent strength factor for ARG is 199 or 200??? in fifa.com they use 199

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. For this match the October ranking is used and Argentina is still number 1 there, so an opponent strength factor of 200 should be used for Ecuador.
      That FIFA prediction tool has never been flawless, but this is just plain stupid, once again.

      Delete
  5. What is the Decembre ranking for Egypt after 2 wins against Chad in WQ2018 next month?

    ReplyDelete