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Friday, March 3, 2017

AFC MA Ranking update (3 March 2017)

Weighting for the FIFA ranking part of the formula dropped from 30% to 10%. The MA ranking at the end of the club season (November 2017) will be used to determine the slot allocations for the 2019 and 2020 seasons.


FIFA ranking points computed for November 2017, considering scheduled matches as defeats.

West

Qatar moved from 4th to 2nd and are almost certain of going from 2+2 to 3+1. Iran stand to lose one direct spot.

Rank - Association - Total - NT Points - Club Points

1 United Arab Emirates 96.616 6.616 90.000
2 Qatar 82.049 5.522 76.527
3 Saudi Arabia 76.374 8.397 67.977
4 Iran 63.280 10.000 53.280
5 Uzbekistan 46.843 7.201 39.642
6 Iraq 33.469 3.791 29.678
7 Kuwait 28.881 1.323 27.558
8 Syria 24.442 4.656 19.786
9 Jordan 23.858 4.402 19.456
10 India 23.727 2.646 21.081
11 Bahrain 22.499 3.232 19.267
12 Lebanon 20.058 2.392 17.666
13 Tajikistan 16.362 2.748 13.614
14 Oman 12.255 3.257 8.998
15 Palestine 8.913 2.977 5.936
16 Turkmenistan 8.588 2.723 5.865
17 Maldives 8.164 2.087 6.077
18 Kyrgyzstan 4.446 3.410 1.036
19 Yemen 2.519 2.519 0.000
20 Afghanistan 2.426 2.214 0.212
21 Bangladesh 2.380 0.967 1.413
22 Bhutan 1.611 1.399 0.212
23 Nepal 1.069 1.069 0.000
24 Sri Lanka 0.548 0.407 0.141
25 Pakistan 0.382 0.382 0.000

Using the same conditions as those in the 2017 AFC CL (i.e. Kuwait suspended; Iraq, Syria and Lebanon with no licensed clubs), these would be the allocations:

United Arab Emirates 3+1
Qatar                3+1
Saudi Arabia         3+1
Iran                 2+2
Uzbekistan           1+2
Jordan               0+1
India                0+1
Bahrain              0+1

Matches:

UAE 4 vs. (JOR 1 vs. IND 1)
QAT 4 vs. (UZB 3 vs. BHR 1)
KSA 4 vs. IRN 4
IRN 3 vs. UZB 2

East

China climb from 3rd to 2nd and take a direct spot from Japan. Will Japanese clubs (and the NT to a lesser extent) be able to fight their way back?

Rank - Association - Total - NT Points - Club Points

1 Korea Republic 90.250 9.059 81.191
2 China PR 71.703 6.718 64.985
3 Japan 69.686 8.422 61.264
4 Australia 64.793 8.168 56.625
5 Thailand 35.691 4.529 31.162
6 Hong Kong 33.359 2.621 30.738
7 Malaysia 29.498 2.010 27.488
8 Vietnam 28.208 3.995 24.213
9 Indonesia 21.343 4.148 17.195
10 Myanmar 16.006 2.392 13.614
11 Philippines 14.252 3.511 10.741
12 Singapore 14.120 1.730 12.390
13 Laos 4.616 1.578 3.038
14 Korea DPR 3.588 3.588 0.000
15 Cambodia 2.251 1.756 0.495
16 Chinese Taipei 1.908 1.908 0.000
17 Brunei Darussalam 1.145 1.145 0.000
18 Macau 1.120 1.120 0.000
19 Guam 1.094 1.094 0.000
20 Timor-Leste 0.814 0.814 0.000
21 Mongolia 0.433 0.433 0.000

I assume Indonesian clubs will participate.

Korea Republic 3+1
China PR       3+1
Japan          2+2
Australia      2+1
Thailand       1+2
Hong Kong      1+1
Malaysia       0+1
Vietnam        0+1
Indonesia      0+1
Myanmar        0+1
Philippines    0+1
Singapore      0+1

Matches:

KOR 4 vs. (HKG 2 vs. MAS 1)
CHN 4 vs. (THA 3 vs. VIE 1)
JPN 3 vs. [THA 2 vs. (IDN 1 vs. SIN 1)]
JPN 4 vs. [AUS 3 vs. (MYA 1 vs. PHI 1)]

AFC Cup: Indonesia's return will mean bad news for Laos, Philippines and Singapore.

Without Indonesia:

Philippines and Singapore: 2+0, Laos: 1+1

With Indonesia:

Indonesia would get 2+0, Philippines and Singapore 1+1, Laos 0+1.

About me:

Christian, husband, father x 3, programmer (with CodeSoftware.Net since 2013) and Covenant Eyes user. You can find me on Twitter (@FootballRanks) and/or LinkedIn. More info in the Contact / Questions page.

11 comments:

  1. Hi, I don't know how UAE got 9.4(2.35 per each) points for 2017. i thought 4 teams of UAE earned 7(2 wins 1 draw 5 loses - group stage) and 0.6(0.3+0.3 - play off) so far.

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    1. This comment has been removed by the author.

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    2. I think there are 0.6 points per team which gets direct GS spot so UAE got 1.8 more bonus points

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    3. South Korea also got 3 direct GS spots but they earned only 1.35 more points.. i think difference between UAE and SK is that Al-Wahda of UAE won within 90 mins and Ulsan of SK didn't, but this can't explain how Qatar and Uzbekistan got additional 0.9 and 1.05 points respectively.

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    4. yeah I see, that's a ridiculous ranking from AFC, still don't know how they calculated the points. there are so many different ways to calculate for a certain MA

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    5. UAE got 0.6 (0.3 + 0.3)
      Korea got 0.3 (entry) + 0.15 (PSO win).
      Qatar got 0.6 (2 entries) + 0.3 (that is 0.15 * 2 for the 2 PSO losses).
      Uzbekistan got 0.6 (2 entries) + 0.3 (Nasaf's win in R2) + 0.15 (Bunyodkor's PSO win).

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  2. Thanks for the reply.

    But I already included the points you wrote above.
    what I mean is UAE still needs 1.8 points(9.4 - 7.6)

    based on points from afc(12th of march)
    UAE got 2.35(2.35 x 4teams = 9.4)
    PO Round: 0.6(Al Wahda - 0.3+0.3)
    GS :7(2W 1D 5L)
    ----------------------------------
    TOTAL:7.6 points

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    Replies
    1. It's like this: GS points / No. of teams + Bonus points. So it's 7 / 4 + 0.6 = 1.75 + 0.6 = 2.35

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    2. Got it. Thanks Ed!

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  3. Palestine on course for automatic spot in the AFC Cup?

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    Replies
    1. Not quite Bassil. Only if Iraqi teams get the ACL license and Kuwait remains suspended. Palestine still trail Oman by 3.258 points (all from the club competition). They are equal of NT points.

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