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Sunday, September 29, 2019

FIFA ranking: October 2019 probable results

Here are the probable results of all currently scheduled matches up to and including October 20th, used to calculate the October 2019 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings. 
Also the already played matches since September 16th, (probably) counting for the October ranking, are presented.

The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method. Also the Expected Home Win Probability (We) according to elo is given for each match in %.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team ! It's a mistake !" please take note that these are calculated predictions of scheduled matches. So no, they don't constitute my personal opinion about the matches. Just mathematics doing the job :)

already played:
0 2019-09-18 Congo DR - Rwanda; Friendly; 2
1 2019-09-21 Burundi - Uganda; Friendly; 2
1 2019-09-21 Algeria - Morocco; Friendly; X
1 2019-09-21 Tunisia - Libya; Friendly; 1
1 2019-09-21 Mauritania - Mali; Friendly; X
1 2019-09-21 Senegal - Guinea; Friendly; 1
1 2019-09-22 Ethiopia - Rwanda; Friendly; 2
1 2019-09-22 Tanzania - Sudan; Friendly; 2
1 2019-09-22 Central African Republic - Congo DR; Friendly; 2
1 2019-09-22 Equatorial Guinea - Congo; Friendly; X
1 2019-09-22 Eswatini - Zambia; Friendly; 2
1 2019-09-22 Madagascar - Namibia; Friendly; 1
1 2019-09-22 Zimbabwe - Lesotho; Friendly; 1
1 2019-09-22 Ghana - Burkina Faso; Friendly; 2
1 2019-09-22 Niger - Cote d'Ivoire; Friendly; 1
1 2019-09-22 Togo - Nigeria; Friendly; 1

scheduled:
0 2019-09-29 Bangladesh - Bhutan; Friendly; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-09-30 Botswana - Liberia; Friendly; We (elo): 57; X
1 2019-10-01 Mexico - Trinidad and Tobago; Friendly; We (elo): 97; 1
0 2019-10-03 Bangladesh - Bhutan; Friendly; We (elo): 88; 1
1 2019-10-05 Jordan - Singapore; Friendly; We (elo): 93; 1
0 2019-10-05 Malaysia - Sri Lanka; Friendly; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2019-10-07 Mauritius - Sao Tomé e Príncipe; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 67; 1
1 2019-10-07 South Sudan - Seychelles; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 62; 1
1 2019-10-09 Djibouti - Gambia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 11; 2
1 2019-10-09 Liberia - Chad; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 78; 1
1 2019-10-09 Bahrain - Azerbaijan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 78; 1
1 2019-10-09 Germany - Argentina; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 65; 1
1 2019-10-10 Trinidad and Tobago - Honduras; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 33; 2
1 2019-10-10 Haiti - Costa Rica; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 46; X
1 2019-10-10 Belize - St. Kitts and Nevis; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 48; X
0 2019-10-10 French Guyana - Grenada; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 84; 1
1 2019-10-10 British Virgin Islands - Bahamas; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 19; 2
0 2019-10-10 St. Maarten - Turks and Caicos Islands; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 60; X
1 2019-10-10 China PR - Guam; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2019-10-10 Syria - Maldives; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2019-10-10 Australia - Nepal; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2019-10-10 Jordan - Kuwait; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 74; 1
1 2019-10-10 Iran - Cambodia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 100; 1
1 2019-10-10 Iraq - Hong Kong; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2019-10-10 Saudi Arabia - Singapore; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 93; 1
1 2019-10-10 Uzbekistan - Yemen; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 94; 1
1 2019-10-10 Bangladesh - Qatar; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 1; 2
1 2019-10-10 Oman - Afghanistan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 94; 1
1 2019-10-10 Japan - Mongolia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 100; 1
1 2019-10-10 Kyrgyzstan - Myanmar; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 89; 1
1 2019-10-10 United Arab Emirates - Indonesia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 93; 1
1 2019-10-10 Vietnam - Malaysia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-10-10 Korea Republic - Sri Lanka; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 100; 1
1 2019-10-10 Lebanon - Turkmenistan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 82; 1
1 2019-10-10 Algeria - Congo DR; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 85; 1
1 2019-10-10 Brazil - Senegal; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 89; 1
0 2019-10-10 Burkina Faso - Gabon; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 68; 1
1 2019-10-10 Kosovo - Gibraltar; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 96; 1
1 2019-10-10 Panama - Curacao; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 77; 1
1 2019-10-10 Serbia - Paraguay; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 70; 1
1 2019-10-10 Thailand - Congo; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 61; X
0 2019-10-10 Togo - Cape Verde Islands; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 58; X
1 2019-10-10 Venezuela - Bolivia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 86; 1
1 2019-10-10 Belarus - Estonia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 75; 1
1 2019-10-10 Netherlands - Northern Ireland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 93; 1
1 2019-10-10 Croatia - Hungary; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 89; 1
1 2019-10-10 Slovakia - Wales; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 64; 1
1 2019-10-10 Austria - Israel; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 83; 1
1 2019-10-10 Latvia - Poland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 8; 2
1 2019-10-10 North Macedonia - Slovenia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 50; X
1 2019-10-10 Belgium - San Marino; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 100; 1
1 2019-10-10 Kazakhstan - Cyprus; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 62; 1
1 2019-10-10 Russia - Scotland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 81; 1
1 2019-10-11 USA - Cuba; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 96; 1
1 2019-10-11 Bermuda - Mexico; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 6; 2
1 2019-10-11 Antigua and Barbuda - Guyana; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 64; 1
1 2019-10-11 Nicaragua - Dominica; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 83; 1
1 2019-10-11 St. Vincent and the Grenadines - Suriname; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 40; X
1 2019-10-11 Morocco - Libya; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-10-11 Uruguay - Peru; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 74; 1
1 2019-10-11 Czech Republic - England; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 35; 2
1 2019-10-11 Montenegro - Bulgaria; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 60; X
1 2019-10-11 Portugal - Luxembourg; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2019-10-11 Ukraine - Lithuania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2019-10-11 Andorra - Moldova; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 32; 2
1 2019-10-11 Iceland - France; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 16; 2
1 2019-10-11 Turkey - Albania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-10-12 Dominican Republic - St. Lucia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 79; 1
1 2019-10-12 Montserrat - El Salvador; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 4; 2
1 2019-10-12 Jamaica - Aruba; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2019-10-12 Barbados - US Virgin Islands; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 94; 1
0 2019-10-12 St. Martin - Cayman Islands; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 24; 2
1 2019-10-12 Anguilla - Guatemala; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 1; 2
1 2019-10-12 Colombia - Chile; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 77; 1
0 2019-10-12 Guinea - Comoros; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 91; 1
1 2019-10-12 Tunisia - Cameroon; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 67; 1
1 2019-10-12 Denmark - Switzerland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 62; 1
1 2019-10-12 Georgia - Republic of Ireland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 37; 2
1 2019-10-12 Faroe Islands - Romania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 8; 2
1 2019-10-12 Malta - Sweden; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 4; 2
1 2019-10-12 Norway - Spain; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 20; 2
1 2019-10-12 Bosnia-Herzegovina - Finland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 67; 1
1 2019-10-12 Italy - Greece; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2019-10-12 Liechtenstein - Armenia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 18; 2
1 2019-10-13 Gambia - Djibouti; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1
0 2019-10-13 Honduras - Martinique; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 82; 1
1 2019-10-13 Costa Rica - Curacao; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 89; 1
0 2019-10-13 Grenada - French Guyana; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 36; 2
1 2019-10-13 St. Kitts and Nevis - Belize; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 77; 1
0 2019-10-13 British Virgin Islands - Bonaire; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 14; 2
1 2019-10-13 Argentina - Ecuador; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 76; 1
0 2019-10-13 Benin - Guinea-Bissau; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 82; 1
1 2019-10-13 Brazil - Nigeria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 92; 1
1 2019-10-13 Slovakia - Paraguay; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 68; 1
1 2019-10-13 South Africa - Mali; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 62; X
1 2019-10-13 Belarus - Netherlands; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 9; 2
1 2019-10-13 Estonia - Germany; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 8; 2
1 2019-10-13 Hungary - Azerbaijan; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 89; 1
1 2019-10-13 Wales - Croatia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 40; X
1 2019-10-13 Poland - North Macedonia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 87; 1
1 2019-10-13 Slovenia - Austria; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 46; X
1 2019-10-13 Cyprus - Russia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 15; 2
1 2019-10-13 Kazakhstan - Belgium; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 4; 2
1 2019-10-13 Scotland - San Marino; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 99; 1
1 2019-10-14 Guyana - Antigua and Barbuda; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 60; X
1 2019-10-14 Dominica - Nicaragua; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 38; 2
1 2019-10-14 Suriname - St. Vincent and the Grenadines; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 82; 1
0 2019-10-14 St. Maarten - Guadeloupe; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 10; 2
0 2019-10-14 Cote d'Ivoire - Congo DR; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 69; 1
1 2019-10-14 Czech Republic - Northern Ireland; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 73; 1
0 2019-10-14 Egypt - Botswana; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 92; 1
0 2019-10-14 Venezuela - Trinidad and Tobago; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 96; 1
1 2019-10-14 Bulgaria - England; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 16; 2
1 2019-10-14 Kosovo - Montenegro; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 68; 1
1 2019-10-14 Lithuania - Serbia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 10; 2
1 2019-10-14 Ukraine - Portugal; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 39; 2
1 2019-10-14 France - Turkey; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 90; 1
1 2019-10-14 Iceland - Andorra; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-10-14 Moldova - Albania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 32; 2
1 2019-10-15 Chad - Liberia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 45; X
1 2019-10-15 Sao Tomé e Príncipe - Mauritius; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 57; X
1 2019-10-15 Seychelles - South Sudan; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 48; X
1 2019-10-15 Canada - USA; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 44; X
1 2019-10-15 Mexico - Panama; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 93; 1
1 2019-10-15 Dominican Republic - Montserrat; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2019-10-15 St. Lucia - El Salvador; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 15; 2
1 2019-10-15 Aruba - Jamaica; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 2; 2
0 2019-10-15 Cayman Islands - St. Martin; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 86; 1
1 2019-10-15 US Virgin Islands - Barbados; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 16; 2
1 2019-10-15 Anguilla - Puerto Rico; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 14; 2
1 2019-10-15 Philippines - China PR; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 18; 2
1 2019-10-15 Syria - Guam; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-10-15 Chinese Taipei - Australia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 2; 2
1 2019-10-15 Jordan - Nepal; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 98; 1
1 2019-10-15 Bahrain - Iran; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 25; 2
1 2019-10-15 Cambodia - Iraq; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 3; 2
1 2019-10-15 Palestine - Saudi Arabia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 56; X
1 2019-10-15 Singapore - Uzbekistan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 12; 2
1 2019-10-15 India - Bangladesh; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 95; 1
1 2019-10-15 Qatar - Oman; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 85; 1
1 2019-10-15 Mongolia - Kyrgyzstan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 7; 2
1 2019-10-15 Tajikistan - Japan; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 10; 2
1 2019-10-15 Indonesia - Vietnam; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 33; 2
1 2019-10-15 Thailand - United Arab Emirates; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 43; X
1 2019-10-15 Korea DPR - Korea Republic; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 16; 2
1 2019-10-15 Sri Lanka - Lebanon; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 3; 2
0 2019-10-15 Chile - Guinea; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 89; 1
1 2019-10-15 Colombia - Algeria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 85; 1
1 2019-10-15 Denmark - Luxembourg; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 98; 1
0 2019-10-15 Hong Kong - Malaysia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 67; 1
0 2019-10-15 Kuwait - Turkmenistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 84; 1
0 2019-10-15 Malaysia - Congo; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 31; 2
1 2019-10-15 Morocco - Gabon; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 91; 1
1 2019-10-15 Peru - Uruguay; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 51; X
1 2019-10-15 Gibraltar - Georgia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 12; 2
1 2019-10-15 Switzerland - Republic of Ireland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 79; 1
1 2019-10-15 Faroe Islands - Malta; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 68; 1
1 2019-10-15 Romania - Norway; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 71; 1
1 2019-10-15 Sweden - Spain; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 33; 2
1 2019-10-15 Israel - Latvia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 93; 1
1 2019-10-15 Finland - Armenia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 81; 1
1 2019-10-15 Greece - Bosnia-Herzegovina; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 40; X
1 2019-10-15 Liechtenstein - Italy; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 2; 2
1 2019-10-18 Rwanda - Ethiopia; Friendly; We (elo): 69; 1
1 2019-10-18 Sudan - Tanzania; Friendly; We (elo): 57; Sudan pso win
1 2019-10-18 Uganda - Burundi; Friendly; We (elo): 82; 1
1 2019-10-18 Congo - Equatorial Guinea; Friendly; We (elo): 72; 1
1 2019-10-18 Congo DR - Central African Republic; Friendly; We (elo): 82; 1
1 2019-10-18 Libya - Tunisia; Friendly; We (elo): 43; Tunisia pso win
1 2019-10-18 Morocco - Algeria; Friendly; We (elo): 63; 1
1 2019-10-18 Lesotho - Zimbabwe; Friendly; We (elo): 51; Lesotho pso win
1 2019-10-18 Namibia - Madagascar; Friendly; We (elo): 61; Namibia pso win
1 2019-10-18 Zambia - Eswatini; Friendly; We (elo): 91; 1
1 2019-10-18 Guinea - Senegal; Friendly; We (elo): 21; 2
1 2019-10-18 Mali - Mauritania; Friendly; We (elo): 85; 1
1 2019-10-18 Burkina Faso - Ghana; Friendly; We (elo): 55; Burkina Faso pso win
1 2019-10-18 Cote d'Ivoire - Niger; Friendly; We (elo): 92; 1
1 2019-10-18 Nigeria - Togo; Friendly; We (elo): 93; 1

About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

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