In the end only the first 2 match days in the UEFA Nations League 2020 group stage and one AFC-friendly for a total of 55 matches were played this window. But not to complain, I'm glad there's some NT-football again.
The prospects for the October and November window are still uncertain. UEFA will continue their schedule, but CONCACAF and AFC have again postponed all NT-activity, now until March next year. Further adaptations to their WC-qualifying formats seems inevitable or they have to revert to 3 matches in a FIFA-window, like UEFA does partially already.
Still no word from CONMEBOL. However, if they want to complete their qualifying format (requiring 18 MD's) in time, they should start no later than October. CAF has scheduled their first competitive matches for CAF Nations Cup qualification in November. No NT-activity in OFC this year.
Thursday, September 10, 2020
Sunday, August 16, 2020
FIFA ranking: September 2020 preview results
Here are the scheduled matches counting for the FIFA September 2020 ranking with FIFA's Expected Home Win Probability (We) in % and the points exchanged in case of Win, Draw or Loss of the home team. In cases where matches can go to PSO, also the points exchanged when the home team wins (PSO-W) or loses (PSO-L) the penalty shoot-out are given.
The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method.
The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method.
FIFA ranking: September 2020 preview
Here are the minimum and maximum points for each team in the September 2020 ranking. FIFA will publish the ranking on September 17th.
Minimum and maximum points per team are determined with a small piece of software which calculates per match the minimum and maximum possible points for each participating team, given the minimum and maximum starting values of both teams before the match.
Minimum and maximum points per team are determined with a small piece of software which calculates per match the minimum and maximum possible points for each participating team, given the minimum and maximum starting values of both teams before the match.
FIFA ranking: September 2020 probable results
Here are the probable results of all currently scheduled matches up to and including September 13th, used to calculate the September 2020 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings.
The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method. Also the Expected Home Win Probability (We) according to elo is given for each match in %.
The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method. Also the Expected Home Win Probability (We) according to elo is given for each match in %.
FIFA ranking: September 2020 probable ranking
After a 9 months absence of competitive international football (and a half year of any NT football) it seems that the upcoming September FIFA-window will finally see the cautious return of international football: UEFA will start with the UEFA Nations League 2020/21 group matches as scheduled.
CONCACAF published three weeks ago a new format for their World Cup qualification scheduled to start in the October window. Coming wednesday the draw will be performed in Zurich.
AFC on the other hand last week decided to postpone their already rescheduled WC-qualifiers (from March and June to October and November) again to March 2021. A reformatting of their current qualification process seems inevitable with these delays.
OFC published last month a proposal for their WC qualifying format, scheduled to start in March 2021, but not a word about the postponed OFC Nations Cup 2020.
CONMEBOL and CAF were until now also very silent about the start of their WC qualifying campaigns. If they start this year, it will not be earlier than October though.
CONCACAF published three weeks ago a new format for their World Cup qualification scheduled to start in the October window. Coming wednesday the draw will be performed in Zurich.
AFC on the other hand last week decided to postpone their already rescheduled WC-qualifiers (from March and June to October and November) again to March 2021. A reformatting of their current qualification process seems inevitable with these delays.
OFC published last month a proposal for their WC qualifying format, scheduled to start in March 2021, but not a word about the postponed OFC Nations Cup 2020.
CONMEBOL and CAF were until now also very silent about the start of their WC qualifying campaigns. If they start this year, it will not be earlier than October though.
Tuesday, June 30, 2020
UEFA Nations League 2020 simulations (July 2020)
UEFA is the first confederation to draw up a schedule of matches for National Teams in coming Autumn. After the postponement of the EURO 2020 to 2021 they still had to find room in the calendar for the one-off semi-finals and finals in the four paths to decide the last 4 berths in the EUROs. They found that room by stretching both October and November windows by one day to accommodate 3 match days in each window. In that way they could also maintain the already scheduled group matches for the UEFA Nations League 2020-2021 this Autumn. There's even room now for some of the postponed friendlies from the March and/or June window.
Saturday, June 6, 2020
FIFA ranking: June 2020 final preview
FIFA postponed/canceled all NT-matches for the June window. The UEFA EURO 2020 and the Copa America 2020 were earlier already postponed to June next year.
Already looking forward to the Autumn: there's no confirmed information about the UEFA Nations League and the schedule for the World Cup qualifiers. I guess NT football is at the very end of the line when it comes to reinstating football matches, behind closed doors or not.
FIFA will publish the (completely unchanged) June ranking next Thursday June 11th.
Stay safe and healthy everybody !
Already looking forward to the Autumn: there's no confirmed information about the UEFA Nations League and the schedule for the World Cup qualifiers. I guess NT football is at the very end of the line when it comes to reinstating football matches, behind closed doors or not.
FIFA will publish the (completely unchanged) June ranking next Thursday June 11th.
Stay safe and healthy everybody !
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