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Thursday, October 25, 2007

Croatia's fight for the first pot

At the request of a Croatia fan, here's an analysis of Croatia's chances to remain in the first pot for the WCQ draw (top 9 in UEFA zone of the FIFA Rankings):

Czech Republic

Czech Republic - Slovakia 1
Cyprus - Czech Republic 2

Czech Republic 1306.2726025641

Romania

Bulgaria - Romania
Romania - Albania

1 1 1070.18728030303
1 X 1016.02061363636
1 2 988.93728030303
X 1 1104.77061363636
X X 1050.6039469697
X 2 1023.52061363636
2 1 1173.93728030303
2 X 1119.77061363636
2 2 1092.68728030303

Scotland

Scotland - Italy 1

Scotland 1149.54735714286

Scotland - Italy X

Scotland 1074.54735714286

Scotland - Italy 2

Scotland 999.547357142857

England

Austria - England
England - Croatia

1 1 1180.20128571429
1 X 1101.03461904762
1 2 1061.45128571429
X 1 1189.53461904762
X X 1110.36795238095
X 2 1070.78461904762
2 1 1208.20128571429
2 X 1129.03461904762
2 2 1089.45128571429

Croatia

Macedonia - Croatia
England - Croatia

1 1 1013.87661038961
1 X 1056.83115584416
1 2 1142.74024675325
X 1 1042.2857012987
X X 1085.24024675325
X 2 1171.14933766234
2 1 1099.10388311688
2 X 1142.05842857143
2 2 1227.96751948052

If Czechia, Romania and Scotland win their matches and England wins the friendly against Austria, Croatia needs to win both matches (against Macedonia and England).

P.S.: Remember - these are my calculations - nothing official.

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