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Friday, August 7, 2009

2010 World Cup: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (7 August 2009)

Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa.

Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.

No changes.

Rank in the seeding table - Country - Total - Performance points - FIFA Ranking Points
 1 Germany        59.7 30.3 29.3
2 Brazil 59.7 29.3 30.3
3 Italy 56.3 27.3 29.0
4 Spain 56.0 25.3 30.7
5 England 51.3 26.3 25.0
6 Argentina 49.0 21.0 28.0
7 France 47.7 23.3 24.3
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8 Netherlands 43.0 14.7 28.3
9 Mexico 36.7 19.3 17.3
10 USA 34.7 13.7 21.0
11 Switzerland 32.7 15.3 17.3
12 Paraguay 31.0 11.7 19.3
13 Czech Republic 28.0 6.0 22.0
14 Ghana 27.0 13.3 13.7
15 Russia 26.7 3.0 23.7
16 Australia 25.7 11.3 14.3
17 Japan 25.3 13.3 12.0
18 Korea Republic 25.0 15.7 9.3
19 Denmark 23.3 7.7 15.7
20 Serbia 22.7 5.3 17.3
21 Greece 22.7 0.0 22.7
22 Côte d'Ivoire 21.7 6.0 15.7
23 Tunisia 15.7 8.7 7.0
24 Costa Rica 14.7 8.3 6.3
25 Saudi Arabia 13.0 8.0 5.0
26 Chile 12.7 0.0 12.7
27 Slovakia 8.7 0.0 8.7
28 Honduras 8.3 0.0 8.3
29 Gabon 6.0 0.0 6.0
30 South Africa 5.7 3.0 2.7
31 Algeria 4.0 0.0 4.0
32 Korea DPR 1.0 0.0 1.0
Top 7 + South Africa seeded.

The pots:

Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Czech Republic, Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Honduras, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia
Pot 4: Algeria, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Gabon, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia
Special pot: USA

For an explanation regarding the special pot, see this World Cup seeding post.

Possible draw (using random.org):

Group A: South Africa, Russia, Costa Rica, Chile
Group B: Brazil, Serbia, Mexico, Gabon
Group C: England, Switzerland, Honduras, Tunisia
Group D: Spain, Denmark, Korea DPR, Paraguay
Group E: France, Slovakia, Saudi Arabia, Ghana
Group F: Italy, Greece, Korea Republic, USA
Group G: Germany, Netherlands, Australia, Algeria
Group H: Argentina, Czech Republic, Japan, Côte d'Ivoire

2 comments:

  1. Love the website, top shelf stuff

    I was hoping you could explain to me how the Draw for the world cup works? (the pots etc.)

    As an Australian, the predictions from random.org are looking pretty dire, was just curious to know how it all comes together.

    Thanks

    -Macca

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi Macca!

    This is the 2006 system.

    Pot 1: seeded teams
    Pot 2: the remaining UEFA teams
    Pot 3: AFC + CONCACAF
    Pot 4: CAF + CONMEBOL

    No more than two UEFA teams in a group.

    ReplyDelete