|Trinidad and Tobago||79.24|
|St. Kitts and Nevis||1.89|
|St. Vincent and the Grenadines||4.71|
|Antigua and Barbuda||21.01|
|US Virgin Islands||0.01|
Panama seem to have a clear path - moving to the next round in 99.07% of the 10000 simulations.
Haiti have the lowest percentage of all the group leaders (77.06), but still way ahead (56.05) of Antigua and Barbuda.
Puerto Rico might be underrated by Elo (at least looking at the Islanders). We'll see.