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Friday, December 19, 2014

FIFA ranking: January 2015 preview and probable ranking

FIFA will publish the ranking on January 8th, forced by the AFC Asian Cup kicking off a day later.

Only 16 matches - all friendlies. Of course, there's the return leg of the AFF Championship, but that's a friendly as far as FIFA are concerned.

The top 44 is already set - and the same as this month.

This is how the points and rankings could change:

Team - Minimum Points - Maximum Points - Worst Rank - Best Rank

Zambia 594 632 50 45
South Africa 559 587 54 51
Iran 550 589 56 51
Korea Republic 471 487 70 69
Uzbekistan 416 477 79 69
Estonia 382 406 84 80
United Arab Emirates 380 411 84 80
Oman 349 367 96 88
Jordan 346 409 96 80
China PR 321 341 103 95
Qatar 319 359 103 89
Saudi Arabia 318 356 103 91
Iraq 252 373 122 86
Palestine 250 296 123 108
Bahrain 237 292 126 110
Kuwait 229 266 127 114
Thailand 182 193 144 142
Malaysia 129 139 157 154

I've used the minimum values in the ranking table below.

Here's the list of probable results. They are generated using the Elo Ratings.

Before posting comments like: "Hey my team actually beat the other team! It's a mistake!" please read the previous paragraph again and look when these results were posted (Yes, before the matches actually took place!) ;)

1 - First team wins
X - Draw
2 - Second team wins

20/Dec Malaysia - Thailand 2 (Friendly)
21/Dec China PR - Palestine 1 (Friendly)
21/Dec Uzbekistan - Jordan 1 (Friendly)
22/Dec Iraq - Kuwait X (Friendly)
25/Dec Uzbekistan - Iraq 1 (Friendly)
27/Dec Qatar - Estonia 1 (Friendly)
28/Dec Iran - Palestine 1 (Friendly)
28/Dec Uzbekistan - Iraq 1 (Friendly)
30/Dec Bahrain - Saudi Arabia X (Friendly)
30/Dec United Arab Emirates - Jordan 1 (Friendly)
31/Dec Qatar - Oman X (Friendly)
03/Jan Kuwait - United Arab Emirates 2 (Friendly)
04/Jan Iran - Iraq 1 (Friendly)
04/Jan Jordan - Bahrain X (Friendly)
04/Jan Korea Republic - Saudi Arabia 1 (Friendly)
04/Jan South Africa - Zambia 1 (Friendly)

Probable January 2015 rank - Team - Probable January 2015 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Germany 1725 0 0
2 Argentina 1538 0 0
3 Colombia 1450 0 0
4 Belgium 1417 0 0
5 Netherlands 1374 0 0
6 Brazil 1316 0 0
7 France 1160 0 0
7 Portugal 1160 0 0
9 Spain 1142 0 0
10 Uruguay 1135 0 0
11 Italy 1103 0 0
12 Switzerland 1091 0 0
13 England 1032 0 0
14 Chile 1016 0 -6
15 Romania 1014 0 0
16 Costa Rica 995 0 -2
17 Czech Republic 987 0 0
18 Algeria 948 0 0
19 Croatia 946 0 0
20 Mexico 913 0 0
21 Slovakia 891 0 0
22 Tunisia 873 0 6
23 Austria 863 0 0
24 Greece 856 0 0
25 Ukraine 854 0 0
26 Ecuador 852 0 0
27 USA 836 0 0
28 Côte d'Ivoire 833 0 0
29 Bosnia-Herzegovina 817 0 0
30 Denmark 804 0 0
31 Russia 789 0 0
32 Israel 788 0 0
33 Iceland 761 0 0
34 Wales 748 0 0
35 Senegal 734 0 0
36 Scotland 729 0 0
37 Ghana 714 0 0
38 Serbia 713 0 0
39 Guinea 706 0 0
40 Cape Verde Islands 693 0 0
41 Poland 680 0 0
42 Cameroon 665 0 0
43 Nigeria 654 0 -2
44 Sweden 646 0 0
45 Hungary 632 0 0
46 Slovenia 622 1 0
47 Northern Ireland 615 1 0
48 Turkey 604 1 0
49 Mali 603 1 0
50 Zambia 594 -4 -31
51 Iran 589 0 9
52 South Africa 587 0 8
53 Peru 565 0 0
54 Japan 563 0 0
55 Trinidad and Tobago 551 0 0
55 Panama 551 2 4
57 Congo DR 548 -1 0
58 Albania 543 0 0
59 Montenegro 537 0 0
60 Egypt 531 0 0
61 Congo 529 0 0
62 Togo 527 0 3
62 Gabon 527 3 16
64 Burkina Faso 523 -1 0
65 Republic of Ireland 519 -1 0
66 Bulgaria 506 0 0
67 Norway 500 0 0
68 Rwanda 494 0 0
69 Korea Republic 487 0 6
70 Uzbekistan 477 4 23
71 Finland 468 -1 0
72 Honduras 460 -1 -1
73 Guatemala 458 -1 0
73 Haiti 458 -1 0
75 Jamaica 449 0 0
76 Paraguay 442 0 4
77 Uganda 441 -1 3
78 Libya 437 0 0
79 Armenia 436 0 0
80 United Arab Emirates 411 1 18
81 Angola 404 -1 9
82 Morocco 393 -1 0
83 Estonia 382 1 -8
84 Bolivia 375 1 0
85 Sierra Leone 374 1 0
86 Cyprus 372 1 0
87 Venezuela 371 1 2
88 Malawi 361 2 3
89 Benin 359 0 -2
90 El Salvador 358 0 0
91 Lithuania 355 1 0
91 Oman 355 2 8
93 Jordan 351 -12 -42
94 Qatar 347 1 5
95 Antigua and Barbuda 344 -1 0
96 China PR 341 1 5
97 Latvia 339 -1 0
98 Mozambique 332 0 0
99 Belarus 331 0 0
100 Australia 329 0 5
101 FYR Macedonia 327 -1 3
102 Saudi Arabia 323 0 0
103 Faroe Islands 317 1 0
104 Tanzania 315 1 1
105 Dominican Republic 310 1 0
106 Botswana 308 1 -1
107 Zimbabwe 301 1 -7
108 Sudan 296 2 2
109 Ethiopia 294 2 4
110 Namibia 291 -1 -4
111 Canada 287 1 0
112 Cuba 271 1 0
113 Liberia 268 2 0
114 Kenya 262 2 1
115 Equatorial Guinea 260 5 9
116 Niger 259 0 -2
117 Iraq 258 -14 -62
117 St. Kitts and Nevis 258 1 0
119 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 256 0 0
120 Bahrain 255 2 6
121 Lebanon 251 5 13
122 Palestine 250 -9 -21
122 Moldova 250 -1 0
124 Lesotho 245 -1 -2
125 Georgia 239 0 0
126 Kuwait 235 -2 -11
127 Luxembourg 230 1 0
128 Burundi 227 -1 -5
129 Aruba 221 0 0
129 Philippines 221 1 1
131 Maldives 220 -1 0
132 Liechtenstein 219 0 0
133 Guinea-Bissau 218 0 0
133 Vietnam 218 4 7
135 New Zealand 216 -1 0
136 Azerbaijan 215 -1 0
136 Tajikistan 215 -1 0
138 Mauritania 213 -1 2
139 Kazakhstan 205 0 0
140 St. Lucia 202 0 0
141 Myanmar 200 0 0
142 Thailand 193 0 -1
143 Afghanistan 190 0 0
144 Barbados 183 0 0
145 Central African Republic 178 0 0
146 Chad 172 0 0
147 Madagascar 166 0 0
147 Malta 166 0 0
147 Turkmenistan 166 0 0
150 Korea DPR 157 0 1
151 Syria 156 0 2
152 Kyrgyzstan 146 0 0
153 New Caledonia 142 0 0
154 Grenada 137 1 0
155 Hong Kong 134 1 0
156 Singapore 133 1 2
157 Malaysia 129 -3 -9
158 Curaçao 125 0 0
159 Indonesia 122 0 -1
160 Laos 121 0 0
161 Guam 119 0 0
161 Puerto Rico 119 0 0
163 Suriname 115 0 0
164 Swaziland 113 0 0
165 Bangladesh 103 0 0
166 Tahiti 100 0 0
167 Guyana 92 0 0
168 Gambia 90 0 0
169 Montserrat 86 0 0
170 Sao Tome e Principe 84 0 0
171 India 79 0 0
172 Sri Lanka 78 0 0
173 Comoros 75 0 0
173 Nicaragua 75 0 0
175 Belize 74 0 0
176 Yemen 67 0 -2
177 Turks and Caicos Islands 66 0 0
178 Seychelles 61 0 0
179 Bermuda 55 0 0
179 Cambodia 55 0 0
179 San Marino 55 0 0
182 Chinese Taipei 54 0 0
183 Solomon Islands 53 0 0
184 Dominica 52 0 0
185 Timor-Leste 51 0 0
186 Macau 49 0 0
186 Nepal 49 0 0
188 Pakistan 45 0 0
189 South Sudan 43 0 0
190 Mauritius 36 0 0
191 Vanuatu 33 0 0
192 Fiji 30 0 0
192 Samoa 30 0 0
194 Mongolia 29 0 0
195 Bahamas 26 0 0
196 Tonga 17 0 0
197 US Virgin Islands 16 0 0
198 Brunei Darussalam 15 0 0
199 Papua New Guinea 13 0 0
200 American Samoa 12 0 0
201 Andorra 9 0 0
202 British Virgin Islands 8 0 0
202 Eritrea 8 0 0
204 Somalia 6 0 0
205 Cayman Islands 5 0 0
206 Cook Islands 4 0 0
206 Djibouti 4 0 0
208 Anguilla 2 0 0
209 Bhutan 0 0 0

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