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Friday, December 5, 2014

November 2014: Recommended friendly impact

The best opponent to play against is determined using a combination of Elo ratings and FIFA rankings. Let's look at the November 2014 FIFA ranking and we'll see the impact of one extra friendly. The difference in ranking is computed assuming all things remain equal, except the points of the given team and their recommended opponent.

The most popular opponent were again a team from the UK - this time Northern Ireland (64), followed by Dominican Republic (42) and Antigua and Barbuda (36).



Of the top 20 teams, 4 would have gained points: Spain, Chile, Croatia and Mexico, but none of them would have climbed in the rankings.

Teams from the top 100 that would have gained the most (ranking-wise):

19 - Faroe Islands
14 - Venezuela
11 - Iraq

Dominican Republic would have been the recommended opponent for Faroe Islands, while Venezuela and Iraq would have benefited from a friendly against Northern Ireland.

6 - Panama
4 - Japan
3 - Ecuador, Turkey, Peru

Northern Ireland would have been the choice opponent for all these teams except Ecuador. They should have played Wales.

Looking to improve your FIFA ranking? Use the e-mail address from my profile to contact me.

November Ranking - Team - Recommended opponent - Point difference - Rank difference


1 Germany Switzerland -31 0
2 Argentina Switzerland -23 0
3 Colombia Greece -19 0
4 Belgium Greece -22 0
5 Netherlands Switzerland -18 0
6 Brazil Switzerland -14 0
7 France Greece -10 -1
7 Portugal Wales -6 -1
9 Spain Greece 9 0
10 Uruguay Wales -6 0
11 Italy Wales -2 0
12 Switzerland Northern Ireland -5 0
13 England Wales -3 0
14 Chile Greece 1 0
15 Romania Wales -15 0
16 Costa Rica Wales -9 -1
17 Czech Republic Northern Ireland -14 0
18 Algeria Northern Ireland -7 -1
19 Croatia Northern Ireland 1 0
20 Mexico Wales 1 0
21 Slovakia Northern Ireland -17 0
22 Tunisia Northern Ireland -12 -3
23 Austria Northern Ireland -9 -2
24 Côte d'Ivoire Northern Ireland 3 1
25 Greece Cape Verde Islands 10 2
26 Ukraine Northern Ireland 7 2
27 Ecuador Wales 9 3
28 USA Wales 8 0
29 Bosnia-Herzegovina Northern Ireland 10 0
30 Denmark Northern Ireland 8 1
31 Russia Northern Ireland 8 0
32 Israel Northern Ireland -5 0
33 Iceland Northern Ireland 3 0
34 Wales Northern Ireland 4 0
35 Senegal Northern Ireland -3 0
36 Scotland Northern Ireland 12 1
37 Ghana Northern Ireland 7 0
38 Guinea Northern Ireland -1 0
39 Cape Verde Islands Northern Ireland 11 1
40 Poland Northern Ireland 3 0
41 Cameroon Northern Ireland 5 0
42 Nigeria Northern Ireland 6 0
43 Sweden Northern Ireland 19 2
44 Hungary Cape Verde Islands 17 1
45 Slovenia Northern Ireland 22 1
46 Serbia Northern Ireland 24 2
47 Northern Ireland Antigua and Barbuda -10 0
48 Turkey Northern Ireland 18 3
49 Mali Northern Ireland 13 2
50 Albania Northern Ireland 18 1
51 South Africa Northern Ireland 10 2
52 Peru Northern Ireland 26 3
53 Japan Northern Ireland 14 4
54 Trinidad and Tobago Northern Ireland 12 3
55 Congo DR Antigua and Barbuda 1 0
56 Iran Northern Ireland 20 5
56 Panama Northern Ireland 23 6
58 Montenegro Northern Ireland 25 5
59 Congo Antigua and Barbuda 2 0
60 Egypt Northern Ireland 21 5
61 Republic of Ireland Northern Ireland 20 3
62 Togo Antigua and Barbuda 10 1
62 Zambia Antigua and Barbuda 5 1
64 Gabon Northern Ireland 11 3
65 Burkina Faso Northern Ireland 16 4
66 Bulgaria Northern Ireland 31 8
67 Norway Northern Ireland 17 5
68 Haiti Dominican Republic 12 0
69 Korea Republic Northern Ireland 15 1
70 Finland Cape Verde Islands 25 2
71 Jamaica Northern Ireland 17 3
72 Honduras Northern Ireland 20 3
73 Guatemala Northern Ireland 17 3
74 Uzbekistan Northern Ireland 27 4
75 Paraguay Northern Ireland 36 5
76 Libya Antigua and Barbuda 19 2
77 Armenia Northern Ireland 38 7
78 Uganda Antigua and Barbuda 5 0
79 Cuba Antigua and Barbuda 28 5
80 Antigua and Barbuda Dominican Republic 5 0
81 Angola Antigua and Barbuda 13 1
82 Morocco Northern Ireland 21 2
83 Estonia Antigua and Barbuda 12 3
84 Sierra Leone Antigua and Barbuda 21 4
85 United Arab Emirates Northern Ireland 21 4
86 Jordan Northern Ireland 21 5
87 Bolivia Northern Ireland 54 9
88 Cyprus Antigua and Barbuda 12 2
89 Venezuela Northern Ireland 78 14
90 Rwanda Antigua and Barbuda 8 3
91 Benin Antigua and Barbuda 20 4
91 Dominican Republic Antigua and Barbuda 22 5
93 El Salvador Northern Ireland 23 6
94 Malawi Dominican Republic 5 3
95 Lithuania Antigua and Barbuda 14 6
96 Oman Northern Ireland 19 7
97 Latvia Antigua and Barbuda 18 3
98 Qatar Northern Ireland 15 2
99 China PR Northern Ireland 26 8
100 Mozambique Antigua and Barbuda 9 3
101 Belarus Northern Ireland 33 10
102 Australia Northern Ireland 32 9
103 FYR Macedonia Antigua and Barbuda 27 7
104 Iraq Northern Ireland 38 11
105 Faroe Islands Dominican Republic 66 19
106 Saudi Arabia Antigua and Barbuda 16 4
106 Zimbabwe Antigua and Barbuda 13 4
108 Botswana Dominican Republic 11 3
109 Namibia Dominican Republic 24 4
110 Canada Antigua and Barbuda 34 6
110 Ethiopia Antigua and Barbuda 16 1
112 Tanzania Antigua and Barbuda 11 3
113 Palestine Dominican Republic 9 1
114 Kenya Antigua and Barbuda 17 4
115 Sudan Antigua and Barbuda 13 2
116 Niger Dominican Republic 19 3
117 St. Kitts and Nevis Dominican Republic 20 4
118 St. Vincent and the Grenadines Dominican Republic 13 3
119 Equatorial Guinea Dominican Republic 61 11
120 Moldova Antigua and Barbuda 21 6
121 Liberia Dominican Republic 61 13
122 Lesotho Dominican Republic 12 5
123 Kuwait Northern Ireland 18 7
124 Burundi Dominican Republic 17 8
125 Bahrain Antigua and Barbuda 18 9
126 Georgia Antigua and Barbuda 39 13
127 Lebanon Antigua and Barbuda 29 12
128 Philippines Dominican Republic 10 2
129 Luxembourg Dominican Republic 32 13
130 Liechtenstein Dominican Republic 23 4
131 Aruba American Samoa 25 6
131 Guinea-Bissau Dominican Republic 61 18
133 Afghanistan Aruba 8 3
133 New Zealand Northern Ireland 66 20
135 Azerbaijan Antigua and Barbuda 35 15
135 Tajikistan Dominican Republic 40 16
137 Korea DPR Northern Ireland 47 20
138 Vietnam Dominican Republic 25 10
139 Kazakhstan Antigua and Barbuda 30 11
140 Myanmar Aruba 5 2
141 Mauritania Dominican Republic 16 4
142 Maldives Aruba 8 0
143 Barbados Dominican Republic 61 18
144 Thailand Dominican Republic 31 7
145 St. Lucia Aruba 6 3
146 Central African Republic Dominican Republic 61 20
147 Chad Dominican Republic 61 19
148 Madagascar Dominican Republic 61 18
148 Malta Dominican Republic 39 9
148 Turkmenistan Dominican Republic 61 18
151 Syria Antigua and Barbuda 67 16
152 Grenada Dominican Republic 41 10
153 Kyrgyzstan Aruba 13 2
154 New Caledonia Antigua and Barbuda 67 16
155 Malaysia Dominican Republic 23 4
156 Curaçao Aruba -1 0
157 Indonesia Dominican Republic 25 6
158 Singapore Dominican Republic 24 6
159 Hong Kong Dominican Republic 30 8
159 Laos American Samoa 7 3
161 Puerto Rico Aruba 35 10
162 Swaziland Dominican Republic 27 7
163 Bangladesh American Samoa 26 8
164 Suriname Dominican Republic 61 16
165 Guam American Samoa 9 3
166 Tahiti Dominican Republic 61 15
167 Gambia Antigua and Barbuda 67 16
168 Montserrat American Samoa 25 5
169 Sri Lanka American Samoa 25 5
170 Guyana Dominican Republic 61 16
170 India Aruba 35 9
170 Sao Tome e Principe Aruba 34 8
173 Comoros American Samoa 26 7
174 Nicaragua Aruba 29 8
174 Seychelles Aruba 15 7
174 Yemen Dominican Republic 26 8
177 Belize Aruba 34 12
178 Turks and Caicos Islands American Samoa 26 11
179 Nepal American Samoa 26 9
180 Bermuda Dominican Republic 62 18
180 Cambodia American Samoa 9 1
180 San Marino American Samoa 14 2
183 Pakistan American Samoa 25 10
184 Solomon Islands Dominican Republic 62 22
185 Timor-Leste American Samoa 25 11
186 Macau American Samoa 25 9
187 Dominica American Samoa 9 7
188 Chinese Taipei American Samoa 17 9
189 South Sudan Dominican Republic 45 21
190 Vanuatu Dominican Republic 61 23
191 Mauritius Aruba 35 13
192 Fiji Antigua and Barbuda 66 25
192 Samoa American Samoa 25 12
194 Mongolia American Samoa 25 11
195 Bahamas American Samoa 26 10
196 Tonga American Samoa 26 7
197 US Virgin Islands American Samoa 25 7
198 Brunei Darussalam American Samoa 26 8
199 Papua New Guinea Aruba 35 12
200 American Samoa Bhutan 26 10
201 Andorra American Samoa 20 7
202 British Virgin Islands American Samoa 25 12
202 Eritrea Aruba 34 12
204 Cayman Islands American Samoa 26 12
204 Djibouti American Samoa 26 12
206 Cook Islands American Samoa 25 12
206 Somalia American Samoa 25 12
208 Anguilla American Samoa 25 13
209 Bhutan American Samoa 26 14

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