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Sunday, September 27, 2020

FIFA ranking: October 2020 probable results

Here are the probable results of all currently scheduled matches up to and including October 18th, used to calculate the October 2020 probable ranking. The results are generated using elo ratings.

Also the already played matches since September 14th, (probably) counting for the October ranking, are presented.

The 1 or 0 before each match indicates if the match is included (1) or not (0) according to my inclusion-method. Also the Home Team Win Expectancy (We) according to elo is given for each match in %.


Before posting comments like: "Hey, my team actually beat the other team ! It's a mistake !" please take note that these are calculated predictions of scheduled matches. So no, they don't constitute my personal opinion about the matches. Just mathematics doing the job :)


already played:

0 2020-09-23 Chad - Sudan; Friendly; 2

0 2020-09-25 Chad - Sudan; Friendly; 2


scheduled:

1 2020-09-30 Mexico - Guatemala; Friendly; We (elo): 95; 1
0 2020-10-02 Bahrain - Malaysia; Friendly; We (elo): 92; 1
1 2020-10-06 Nicaragua - Guatemala; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 25; 2
1 2020-10-07 Andorra - Cape Verde Islands; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 23; 2
1 2020-10-07 Armenia - Albania; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 54; X
1 2020-10-07 Austria - Greece; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 76; 1
1 2020-10-07 Cyprus - Czech Republic; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 15; 2
1 2020-10-07 Denmark - Faroe Islands; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 98; 1
1 2020-10-07 Estonia - Lithuania; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 73; 1
1 2020-10-07 France - Ukraine; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 86; 1
1 2020-10-07 Germany - Turkey; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 86; 1
1 2020-10-07 Italy - Moldova; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 99; 1
1 2020-10-07 Luxembourg - Liechtenstein; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 85; 1
1 2020-10-07 Malta - Gibraltar; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 72; 1
1 2020-10-07 Montenegro - Latvia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 92; 1
1 2020-10-07 Netherlands - Mexico; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 75; 1
0 2020-10-07 Panama - Guatemala; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 68; 1
1 2020-10-07 Poland - Finland; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 80; 1
1 2020-10-07 Portugal - Spain; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 62; X
1 2020-10-07 Slovenia - San Marino; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 99; 1
1 2020-10-07 Switzerland - Croatia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 63; X
0 2020-10-07 Zambia - Malawi; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 74; 1
1 2020-10-08 Argentina - Ecuador; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 88; 1
1 2020-10-08 Paraguay - Peru; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 46; X
1 2020-10-08 Uruguay - Chile; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 82; 1
0 2020-10-08 Belgium - Cote d'Ivoire; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 97; 1
0 2020-10-08 Central African Republic - Comoros; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 71; 1
1 2020-10-08 England - Wales; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 82; 1
0 2020-10-08 Libya - Togo; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 70; 1
0 2020-10-08 Mozambique - Guinea-Bissau; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 70; 1
0 2020-10-08 Namibia - South Africa; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 36; 2
1 2020-10-08 Russia - Sweden; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 65; 1
1 2020-10-08 Uzbekistan - Iran; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 40; X
0 2020-10-08 Vietnam - Kyrgyzstan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 80; 1
1 2020-10-08 Bulgaria - Hungary; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 53; Bulgaria pso win
1 2020-10-08 Iceland - Romania; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 57; Iceland pso win
1 2020-10-08 Bosnia-Herzegovina - Northern Ireland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 69; 1
1 2020-10-08 Slovakia - Republic of Ireland; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 64; 1
1 2020-10-08 Norway - Serbia; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 61; 1
1 2020-10-08 Scotland - Israel; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 77; 1
1 2020-10-08 Georgia - Belarus; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 72; 1
1 2020-10-08 North Macedonia - Kosovo; Continental final qualifier; We (elo): 69; 1
1 2020-10-09 Brazil - Bolivia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 97; 1
1 2020-10-09 Colombia - Venezuela; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 81; 1
1 2020-10-09 Burkina Faso - Congo DR; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 53; X
1 2020-10-09 Congo - Gambia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 58; X
1 2020-10-09 Ghana - Mali; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 63; X
1 2020-10-09 Japan - Cameroon; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 72; 1
1 2020-10-09 Mauritania - Sierra Leone; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 70; 1
1 2020-10-09 Morocco - Senegal; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 49; X
1 2020-10-09 Nigeria - Algeria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 45; X
0 2020-10-09 Tunisia - Sudan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 92; 1
1 2020-10-10 Cameroon - South Sudan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 97; 1
1 2020-10-10 Cape Verde Islands - Guinea; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 47; X
1 2020-10-10 Honduras - Nicaragua; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 96; 1
1 2020-10-10 Spain - Switzerland; Nations League group; We (elo): 82; 1
1 2020-10-10 Ukraine - Germany; Nations League group; We (elo): 48; X
1 2020-10-10 Luxembourg - Cyprus; Nations League group; We (elo): 66; 1
1 2020-10-10 Montenegro - Azerbaijan; Nations League group; We (elo): 84; 1
1 2020-10-10 Andorra - Malta; Nations League group; We (elo): 55; X
1 2020-10-10 Faroe Islands - Latvia; Nations League group; We (elo): 66; 1
1 2020-10-10 Liechtenstein - Gibraltar; Nations League group; We (elo): 72; 1
0 2020-10-11 Benin - Gabon; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 65; 1
0 2020-10-11 Libya - Comoros; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 84; 1
0 2020-10-11 Panama - Guatemala; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 70; 1
0 2020-10-11 South Africa - Zambia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 77; 1
1 2020-10-11 Bosnia-Herzegovina - Netherlands; Nations League group; We (elo): 23; 2
1 2020-10-11 Poland - Italy; Nations League group; We (elo): 40; X
1 2020-10-11 England - Belgium; Nations League group; We (elo): 44; X
1 2020-10-11 Iceland - Denmark; Nations League group; We (elo): 36; 2
1 2020-10-11 Croatia - Sweden; Nations League group; We (elo): 73; 1
1 2020-10-11 France - Portugal; Nations League group; We (elo): 70; 1
1 2020-10-11 Northern Ireland - Austria; Nations League group; We (elo): 48; X
1 2020-10-11 Norway - Romania; Nations League group; We (elo): 68; 1
1 2020-10-11 Israel - Czech Republic; Nations League group; We (elo): 36; 2
1 2020-10-11 Scotland - Slovakia; Nations League group; We (elo): 59; X
1 2020-10-11 Russia - Turkey; Nations League group; We (elo): 75; 1
1 2020-10-11 Serbia - Hungary; Nations League group; We (elo): 77; 1
1 2020-10-11 Finland - Bulgaria; Nations League group; We (elo): 76; 1
1 2020-10-11 Republic of Ireland - Wales; Nations League group; We (elo): 47; X
1 2020-10-11 Armenia - Georgia; Nations League group; We (elo): 48; X
1 2020-10-11 Estonia - North Macedonia; Nations League group; We (elo): 40; X
1 2020-10-11 Greece - Moldova; Nations League group; We (elo): 94; 1
1 2020-10-11 Kosovo - Slovenia; Nations League group; We (elo): 54; X
1 2020-10-11 Kazakhstan - Albania; Nations League group; We (elo): 42; X
1 2020-10-11 Lithuania - Belarus; Nations League group; We (elo): 39; X
0 2020-10-12 Kuwait - Syria; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 55; X
0 2020-10-12 Togo - Sudan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 51; X
0 2020-10-12 United Arab Emirates - Uzbekistan; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 47; X
1 2020-10-13 Bolivia - Argentina; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 17; 2
1 2020-10-13 Chile - Colombia; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 37; 2
1 2020-10-13 Ecuador - Uruguay; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 29; 2
1 2020-10-13 Peru - Brazil; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 34; 2
1 2020-10-13 Venezuela - Paraguay; World Cup qualifier; We (elo): 74; 1
0 2020-10-13 Algeria - Cameroon; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 83; 1
0 2020-10-13 Angola - Mozambique; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 63; X
1 2020-10-13 Guinea - Gambia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 64; 1
0 2020-10-13 Iran - Mali; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 76; 1
1 2020-10-13 Japan - Cote d'Ivoire; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 68; 1
0 2020-10-13 Kenya - Zambia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 57; X
1 2020-10-13 Morocco - Congo DR; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 81; 1
1 2020-10-13 Nigeria - Tunisia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 62; X
1 2020-10-13 Senegal - Mauritania; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 94; 1
0 2020-10-13 South Africa - Zambia; Friendly (in IMC-window); We (elo): 78; 1
1 2020-10-13 Germany - Switzerland; Nations League group; We (elo): 75; 1
1 2020-10-13 Ukraine - Spain; Nations League group; We (elo): 36; 2
1 2020-10-13 Azerbaijan - Cyprus; Nations League group; We (elo): 69; 1
1 2020-10-13 Montenegro - Luxembourg; Nations League group; We (elo): 85; 1
1 2020-10-13 Faroe Islands - Andorra; Nations League group; We (elo): 83; 1
1 2020-10-13 Latvia - Malta; Nations League group; We (elo): 72; 1
1 2020-10-13 Liechtenstein - San Marino; Nations League group; We (elo): 93; 1
1 2020-10-14 Italy - Netherlands; Nations League group; We (elo): 60; X
1 2020-10-14 Poland - Bosnia-Herzegovina; Nations League group; We (elo): 79; 1
1 2020-10-14 England - Denmark; Nations League group; We (elo): 75; 1
1 2020-10-14 Iceland - Belgium; Nations League group; We (elo): 12; 2
1 2020-10-14 Croatia - France; Nations League group; We (elo): 38; 2
1 2020-10-14 Portugal - Sweden; Nations League group; We (elo): 86; 1
1 2020-10-14 Norway - Northern Ireland; Nations League group; We (elo): 81; 1
1 2020-10-14 Romania - Austria; Nations League group; We (elo): 60; X
1 2020-10-14 Scotland - Czech Republic; Nations League group; We (elo): 51; X
1 2020-10-14 Slovakia - Israel; Nations League group; We (elo): 84; 1
1 2020-10-14 Russia - Hungary; Nations League group; We (elo): 86; 1
1 2020-10-14 Turkey - Serbia; Nations League group; We (elo): 62; 1
1 2020-10-14 Bulgaria - Wales; Nations League group; We (elo): 29; 2
1 2020-10-14 Finland - Republic of Ireland; Nations League group; We (elo): 62; 1
1 2020-10-14 Estonia - Armenia; Nations League group; We (elo): 56; X
1 2020-10-14 North Macedonia - Georgia; Nations League group; We (elo): 64; 1
1 2020-10-14 Greece - Kosovo; Nations League group; We (elo): 78; 1
1 2020-10-14 Moldova - Slovenia; Nations League group; We (elo): 20; 2
1 2020-10-14 Belarus - Kazakhstan; Nations League group; We (elo): 77; 1
1 2020-10-14 Lithuania - Albania; Nations League group; We (elo): 35; 2


About me:

Software engineer, happily unmarried and non-religious. You won't find me on Twitter or other so called social media. Dutchman, joined the blog in March 2018.

3 comments:

  1. Was the Belgium - Ivory Coast game scheduled too late to be included?

    ReplyDelete
  2. No, not too late, but I only include matches if they are published in both of my resources and that was not yet the case yesterday. The friendly will be included soon, I expect.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Thanks, that CIV would replace ISL in this friendly was only made public a few days ago. Now the weekend is over maybe they'll pick up on it.

      Delete