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Monday, June 29, 2009

FIFA Ranking: July 2009 final preview

Point totals for teams from the top 20 of the October 2007 ranking should be 100% correct. For the others, there's the issue of historical rankings published before July 2006.

Included: matches up to and including June 25th and the FIFA Confederations Cup final and third place match. However, FIFA may include more matches, but no later than Sunday, June 28th.

With the exception of Italy, the teams in the top 10 all changed their position. Brazil will grab the headlines of course, as they are the new leaders in the FIFA Ranking. Spain drop to 2nd. Russia up three places to 6th.

Australia break for the first time into the top 20.

Best movers:

23 - Korea DPR
22 - Moldova
20 - Côte d'Ivoire

Worst movers:

-40 - Sierra Leone
-34 - Gambia
-32 - Bermuda

Best movers in the top 50:

20 - Côte d'Ivoire
19 - Algeria
16 - Gabon

Worst movers in the top 50:

-16 - Turkey
-12 - Bosnia-Herzegovina
-11 - Sweden

Cook Islands move off the bottom of the ranking after taking 4 points from Tonga in two friendly matches.

Côte d'Ivoire - top African team, replacing Cameroon. Egypt drop out of the African top 5, replaced by Gabon - the new third team in Africa.

Costa Rica replace Mexico as CONCACAF's second team. Jamaica up to 5th, replacing Panama.

Uruguay and Paraguay exchange places again, Uruguay taking 3rd place.

Russia into the UEFA top 5, at the expense of England.

Six teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Serbia (14th - 17th in July 2007)
Australia (16th - 27th in February 2009)
Gabon (32nd - 45th in January 1996)
Grenada (88th - 102nd in June 2009)
Montenegro (98th - 110th in June 2009)
Antigua and Barbuda (105th - 109th in October 2006)

Côte d'Ivoire will revisit their highest ever ranking - 18th, first achieved in August 2006. Obviously, same goes for Brazil.

The British Virgin Islands will go back to their worst ever ranking - 193rd, first achieved January 2008.

Thirteen teams will have their worst ever ranking:

Sweden (42nd - 33rd in April 2009)
Congo DR (102nd - 95th in June 2008)
China PR (108th - 104th in January 2009)
Zimbabwe (115th - 106th in April 2009)
United Arab Emirates (123rd - 122nd in April 2009)
Mauritius (176th - 174th in April 2008)
Tahiti (191st - 190th in January 2009)
St. Lucia (191st - 189th in April 2009)
Andorra (197th - 196th in May 2009)
Dominica (198th - 197th in April 2009)
Central African Republic (202nd - 201st in April 2009)
Papua New Guinea (203rd - 202nd in April 2009)
San Marino (203rd - 202nd in April 2009)

July 2009 rank - Team - July 2009 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Brazil 1672 4 384
2 Spain 1590 -1 -171
3 Netherlands 1379 -1 -63
4 Italy 1229 0 -63
5 Germany 1207 -2 -171
6 Russia 1161 3 -6
7 England 1135 -1 -90
8 Argentina 1091 -1 -112
9 France 1082 1 15
10 Croatia 1031 -2 -169
11 Greece 1001 6 79
12 USA 983 2 36
13 Switzerland 930 3 -1
14 Serbia 925 6 55
15 Denmark 909 9 73
16 Australia 886 13 107
17 Portugal 879 -6 -125
18 Côte d'Ivoire 874 20 129
19 Ukraine 869 0 -22
20 Uruguay 860 -3 -62
21 Czech Republic 850 -6 -93
22 Paraguay 846 -9 -115
23 Bulgaria 840 0 2
24 Scotland 837 -2 -3
25 Israel 823 0 -4
26 Romania 814 2 24
27 Chile 811 10 65
28 Turkey 809 -16 -155
29 Cameroon 803 -8 -52
30 Costa Rica 801 11 107
31 Mexico 793 -5 -29
32 Gabon 789 16 173
33 Northern Ireland 785 -6 -35
34 Nigeria 773 -4 3
35 Ghana 772 1 22
36 Ecuador 760 8 74
37 Honduras 758 -2 -3
37 Republic of Ireland 758 -3 -4
39 Egypt 753 1 34
40 Japan 723 -9 -43
41 Poland 706 -2 -16
42 Sweden 702 -11 -64
43 Slovakia 688 -1 -5
44 Hungary 681 -1 -6
45 Bosnia-Herzegovina 680 -12 -83
46 Colombia 675 -1 -3
47 Algeria 659 19 169
48 Korea Republic 634 -2 -20
49 Tunisia 617 2 20
50 Venezuela 610 6 42
51 Norway 606 -4 -32
52 Burkina Faso 598 -2 -10
53 Finland 592 -4 -22
54 FYR Macedonia 590 10 75
55 Morocco 569 0 -2
56 Latvia 562 3 10
57 Guinea 561 -4 -25
58 Iran 559 -6 -28
59 Mali 551 -5 -32
60 Lithuania 544 0 0
61 Saudi Arabia 542 -5 -26
62 Slovenia 539 -1 3
63 Belgium 532 0 14
64 Bolivia 521 -6 -44
65 Jamaica 520 11 64
66 Panama 501 -5 -35
67 Bahrain 496 3 23
68 Austria 493 2 20
68 Wales 493 6 25
70 South Africa 478 2 7
71 Togo 468 -3 -7
72 Trinidad and Tobago 461 0 -10
73 Cyprus 445 6 4
74 Belarus 443 7 11
75 Libya 438 -6 -36
75 Uganda 438 -8 -42
77 Zambia 419 13 15
78 Oman 413 2 -27
79 Uzbekistan 402 -1 -41
80 Benin 399 11 -3
80 Senegal 399 -5 -64
82 Mozambique 394 5 -18
83 Korea DPR 393 23 55
84 Moldova 388 22 50
85 Cuba 383 14 30
86 Qatar 380 8 -5
87 Peru 379 2 -28
88 Congo 378 -2 -41
88 Grenada 378 14 34
90 El Salvador 375 10 23
91 Sudan 367 -3 -41
92 Canada 358 -9 -72
93 Iceland 357 -1 -43
94 Iraq 355 -17 -95
95 Albania 347 -3 -53
96 Syria 345 8 4
97 Tanzania 344 12 12
98 Montenegro 339 12 8
99 Gambia 337 -34 -177
100 New Zealand 336 -18 -95
101 Fiji 333 7 0
102 Angola 330 -5 -44
102 Congo DR 330 -18 -93
104 Georgia 326 1 -13
105 Antigua and Barbuda 325 9 29
105 Kenya 325 -3 -19
107 Barbados 319 13 42
108 China PR 318 -10 -45
109 Guatemala 312 3 1
109 Malawi 312 2 -11
111 Suriname 309 12 43
112 Estonia 307 1 10
113 Rwanda 298 -17 -77
114 Cape Verde Islands 296 -20 -89
115 Zimbabwe 295 -14 -51
116 Namibia 294 12 45
117 Thailand 290 -1 0
118 Kuwait 287 -1 -2
119 Luxembourg 284 1 7
120 Haiti 257 4 -7
121 Guyana 248 6 -7
122 Jordan 244 4 -15
123 Armenia 243 8 4
123 United Arab Emirates 243 -1 -25
125 Sierra Leone 241 -40 -180
126 Chad 233 3 -13
127 Singapore 228 7 2
128 Madagascar 226 2 -15
129 Burundi 220 10 12
130 Equatorial Guinea 219 -5 -42
131 Vietnam 215 4 -9
132 Indonesia 206 6 -3
133 Kazakhstan 204 -1 -26
134 Botswana 203 -16 -75
135 Nicaragua 195 7 0
136 Niger 187 8 16
137 Hong Kong 186 6 0
138 Ethiopia 177 -20 -101
139 Azerbaijan 175 1 -26
140 Netherlands Antilles 169 5 9
141 Vanuatu 163 -1 -38
142 Liberia 161 -6 -60
143 Swaziland 160 -6 -58
144 Yemen 157 2 0
145 St. Kitts and Nevis 151 6 12
146 Bermuda 150 -32 -146
147 India 148 0 -7
148 Tajikistan 147 0 0
149 New Caledonia 142 -16 -87
150 Malta 140 0 0
151 Lebanon 138 6 18
152 Turkmenistan 137 2 7
153 Liechtenstein 134 3 9
154 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 133 -1 -3
155 Myanmar 129 0 0
156 Maldives 117 -7 -25
157 Malaysia 112 2 3
158 Philippines 108 2 0
159 Eritrea 106 -2 -14
159 Lesotho 106 5 6
161 Kyrgyzstan 105 1 0
162 Sri Lanka 101 -1 -6
163 Solomon Islands 100 1 0
164 Mauritania 99 -1 -5
165 Faroe Islands 96 1 0
166 Puerto Rico 87 -15 -52
167 Pakistan 85 0 -3
168 Somalia 82 0 0
169 Bangladesh 80 2 7
170 Seychelles 77 10 16
171 Cayman Islands 76 -2 0
172 Laos 73 -1 0
173 Nepal 71 -3 -4
174 Chinese Taipei 70 -3 -3
175 Palestine 69 0 0
176 Cambodia 64 3 1
176 Mauritius 64 -2 -6
176 Samoa 64 1 0
179 Mongolia 61 -3 -7
180 Belize 57 -3 -7
181 Bahamas 53 0 0
182 Turks and Caicos Islands 51 0 0
183 Brunei Darussalam 46 0 0
184 Dominican Republic 40 2 0
184 Tonga 40 5 8
186 Guinea-Bissau 38 1 0
187 Afghanistan 36 -3 -8
188 Cook Islands 34 14 34
188 Guam 34 0 0
190 Djibouti 33 -5 -8
191 St. Lucia 32 -2 0
191 Tahiti 32 -2 0
193 British Virgin Islands 30 -1 0
194 Macau 28 0 0
195 Aruba 22 0 0
196 Bhutan 17 -4 -13
197 Andorra 16 -1 -1
198 Dominica 12 -1 0
199 Timor-Leste 9 -1 0
200 Comoros 8 -1 0
200 US Virgin Islands 8 -1 0
202 Central African Republic 4 -1 0
203 American Samoa 0 -1 0
203 Anguilla 0 -1 0
203 Montserrat 0 -1 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 -1 0
203 San Marino 0 -1 0

9 comments:

  1. I'm brand new to your site. Great site. I'm very interested in statistics myself. How did you manage to get the right point totals for the Top 20 teams from the October 2007 rankings? I've been trying to run a few scenarios to see where teams will end up based on wins / losses, but haven't figured out how to count for any of the redone rankings prior to the ranking method change. How did you fix that for the top 20 from that ranking? I'd appreciate any insight.

    Thanks.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Order is now restored to the universe. Brasil is #1. That is all.

    ReplyDelete
  3. How is the "Final" June ranking if there is a friendly match today?

    ReplyDelete
  4. The match is listed as firendly between Canada vs. Guatemala.

    Are you not going to include this? :-)

    Anyway,
    Love the site!!

    ReplyDelete
  5. @Anonymous No. 1

    Regarding the top 20: see this post. There's a link to a pdf file there. Good luck!

    @Anonymous No. 2

    The deadline for matches for the July ranking is June 25th. That's why it's the "Final" preview.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Does FIFA have published when the final "deadlines"? (do they have the past published somewhere as well?)

    So that means the Canada match will get the newest rankings?

    ReplyDelete
  7. Ano:

    I heard somewhere that the old ranking calculations stop the thursday before the rankings are released (but that would not make sense since the sunday confed cup games are counted).

    Edgar would better know.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Edgar, got another question for the ranking guru. Does FIFA use Rounddown on all the final rankings? For example I keep getting a point total of 8.5 for the country of US Virgin Islands. If I round up it would make it 9, but FIFA and you have it as 8. I know it's not a huge difference , but I'm trying to get my formulas perfect.

    They had 2 draws during the .5 time period. Their draws totaled 85 points. I took the 85 divided it by 5 then times it by the .5 and get 8.5.

    Any help would be appreciated.

    ReplyDelete
  9. @Anonymous (Canada)

    As you can see from FIFA's ranking schedule, the deadline is Thursday prior to the release date. However, they sometimes include matches up to Sunday if the official match reports arrive in time.

    Canada's win against Guatemala wasn't included this month - it will be included in the August ranking.

    @Watson

    I get the same value as you do. Usually, FIFA rounds up values >= x.5 and rounds down values < x.5. However, the only explanation I could think of is that they round up values > x.5 and down for values <= x.5.

    ReplyDelete