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Friday, July 6, 2012

EURO 2016 qualifying draw seeding (6 July 2012)

Next update: 21 September 2012.

The coefficients for the EURO 2016 qualifying draw will take into account results from:

2010 World Cup (qualifiers and final tournament) - 20% of total weighting
EURO 2012 (qualifiers and final tournament) - 40% of total weighting
2014 World Cup (qualifiers) - 40% of total weighting

Click here for more info on the coefficient system.



The qualifying format is already known (but things might change): 9 groups (2 x 5, 7 x 6)

Top two from each group and the best team in third place advance. The other eight play-off for the final four spots.

Portugal replace Sweden in the first pot.

Best movers:

5 - Portugal and Czech Republic
3 - Poland
1 - Germany

Worst movers:

-2 - Sweden and Ireland
-1 - Netherlands, Russia, Greece, Croatia, Hungary, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Norway, Montenegro, Wales and Northern Ireland
 

Rank - Previous Rank - Team - Points

 1  1 Spain               27882
 2  3 Germany             25644
 3  2 Netherlands         22760
 4  4 Italy               22342
 5  5 England             21544
 6 11 Portugal            20830
 7  6 Russia              19845
 8  7 Greece              19440
 9  8 Croatia             19301
-------------------------------
10 10 Denmark             19159
11  9 Sweden              19128
12 17 Czech Republic      18154
13 13 Ukraine             17851
14 12 Republic of Ireland 17152
15 14 Hungary             16981
16 15 Bosnia-Herzegovina  16934
17 16 Norway              16601
18 18 Serbia              16244
-------------------------------
19 19 Slovakia            16112
20 20 Slovenia            15774
21 21 Switzerland         15751
22 22 Israel              15741
23 23 Turkey              15414
24 24 Belgium             14051
25 25 Romania             14021
26 26 Scotland            13913
27 27 Belarus             13871
-------------------------------
28 28 Latvia              13771
29 29 Armenia             13681
30 30 Finland             13601
31 31 Austria             13571
32 32 Estonia             13467
33 36 Poland              13143
34 33 Montenegro          12970
35 34 Wales               12770
36 35 Northern Ireland    12561
-------------------------------
37 37 Bulgaria            11090
38 38 Albania             10790
39 39 Macedonia           10755
40 40 Lithuania           10665
41 41 Georgia             10440
42 42 Moldova             10001
43 43 Azerbaijan           9380
44 44 Iceland              8975
45 45 Cyprus               8456
-------------------------------
46 46 Kazakhstan           8260
47 47 Luxembourg           8030
48 48 Faroe Islands        7850
49 49 Liechtenstein        7840
50 50 Malta                6000
51 51 Andorra              5160
52 52 San Marino           4480

12 comments:

  1. mmmhh.. values too low? Or there is something that I have not undertand?
    [url]http://www.footballwr.altervista.org/UEFA_national_team_coefficients2016.htm[/url]

    ReplyDelete
  2. I already include the 2014 points (well, as zero).

    I compared my Spain points with yours for 2008 and 2010 - they are the same.

    You use (I think) (WC10 + 2*EC12)/3. I use (WC10 + 2*EC12 + 2*0) / 5.

    ReplyDelete
  3. So group E in WCQ has none of the 16 best teams in European competitions over the past 4 years.

    God I hate the FIFA ranking.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Good point Haakon :)

      That was true even at the time of the EURO 2012 final draw.

      Delete
    2. Switzerland is a force, they have a golden generation coming. I'm very glad they got a qualifying group where they are the favourites, they've deserved it after unlucky euro qualifiers.

      Delete
  4. to me, pot 3 looks of higher quality than pot 2 %-)

    ReplyDelete
  5. Where would France be?

    ReplyDelete
  6. Last night I had a dream the UEFA changed their decision and:

    Group A:
    ENGLAND 24, Serbia 20, Israel 16, Georgia 13, Albania 11, San Marino 0

    Group B:
    PORTUGAL 22, Ukraine 21, Belgium 18, Wales 13, Azerbaijan 8 Andorra 0

    Group C:
    RUSSIA 19, Czech Rep. 15, Austria 11, Finland 10, Cyprus 2

    Group D:
    SPAIN 20, Romania 13, Montenegro 11, Slovakia 11, Faroe Islands 1

    Group E:
    SWEDEN 17, Denmark 16, Scotland 13, Northern Ireland 9, Luxembourg 1

    Group F:
    GREECE 15, Switzerland 15, Hungary 12, Macedonia 7, Kazakhstan 3

    Group G:
    GERMANY 22, Slovenia 13, Bulgaria 12, Latvia 10, Moldova 1

    Group H:
    CROATIA 16, Turkey 14, Bosnia&Herzegovina 13, Lithuania 7, Iceland 4

    Group I:
    NETHERLANDS 20, Rep.of Ireland 13, Estonia 10, Belarus 8, Liechtenstein 1

    Group J:
    ITALY 20, Poland 14, Norway 13, Armenia 8, Malta 0

    Play-offs
    ----------
    Switzerland vs DENMARK 1-0, 1-3
    CZECH REP. vs Slovenia 2-0, 0-1
    Ukraine vs TURKEY 2-2, 2-3
    Rep.of Ireland vs ROMANIA 0-0, 1-2
    Serbia vs POLAND 1-1, 1-2

    EURO 2016
    16 qualified teams: FRANCE (host), CROATIA, CZECH REP., DENMARK, ENGLAND, GERMANY, GREECE, IRELAND, ITALY, NETHERLANDS, POLAND, PORTUGAL, ROMANIA, RUSSIA, SPAIN, SWEDEN, TURKEY

    Maybe, it will come true :)

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. How can you remember such groups and numbers? Surely you just made them up.

      Delete
    2. Oh, on a sidenote, this is the system I've wished for a long time they would use for the U21 European Championship. Expand the tournament to 16 teams and have 10 groups, like they do now, 10 winners, 5 playoff winners, 1 host.

      Delete