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Friday, September 13, 2013

2016 UEFA EURO 2016 qualifying draw pots simulations (13 September 2013)

More about the simulations in the second and third paragraphs of the first 'Road to Brazil' post.

I know the EURO 2016 qualifying format will most likely change, but since I already had the code in place, here are the updated simulations.

Pot 6:

100% - Andorra
100% - San Marino
100% - Malta
100% - Faroe Islands
99.99% - Liechtenstein
82.74% - Luxembourg
73.57% - Kazakhstan
43.16% - Cyprus
0.54% - Azerbaijan




Pot 5:

100% - Moldova
100% - Georgia
99.46% - Azerbaijan
96.82% - FYR Macedonia
90.39% - Lithuania
85.23% - Iceland
66.36% - Northern Ireland
57.69% - Albania
56.84% - Cyprus
55.56% - Belarus
43.6% - Wales
26.43% - Kazakhstan
17.26% - Luxembourg
4.28% - Estonia
0.05% - Latvia
0.02% - Bulgaria
0.01% - Liechtenstein

Pot 4:

100% - Scotland
99.95% - Latvia
99.44% - Armenia
99.27% - Bulgaria
97.09% - Finland
95.72% - Estonia
88.99% - Poland
56.4% - Wales
44.44% - Belarus
42.31% - Albania
33.64% - Northern Ireland
14.77% - Iceland
9.61% - Lithuania
8.9% - Montenegro
5.54% - Austria
3.18% - FYR Macedonia
0.74% - Romania
0.01% - Turkey

Pot 3:

99.5% - Serbia
96.6% - Romania
94.93% - Slovenia
94.1% - Austria
93.36% - Slovakia
92.79% - Israel
91.07% - Montenegro
90.71% - Turkey
72.08% - Norway
38.78% - Republic of Ireland
19.52% - Czech Republic
11.01% - Poland
2.91% - Finland
0.71% - Bulgaria
0.64% - Belgium
0.56% - Armenia
0.41% - Hungary
0.32% - Switzerland

Pot 2:

99.68% - Switzerland
99.59% - Hungary
99.36% - Belgium
99% - Denmark
97.52% - Ukraine
89.04% - Bosnia-Herzegovina
80.48% - Czech Republic
61.22% - Republic of Ireland
57.43% - Sweden
46.36% - Croatia
27.92% - Norway
9.28% - Turkey
7.21% - Israel
6.64% - Slovakia
5.23% - Greece
5.07% - Slovenia
4.87% - Russia
2.66% - Romania
0.5% - Serbia
0.43% - Portugal
0.36% - Austria
0.12% - England
0.03% - Montenegro

Pot 1:

100% - Italy
100% - Netherlands
100% - Germany
100% - Spain
99.88% - England
99.57% - Portugal
95.13% - Russia
94.77% - Greece
53.64% - Croatia
42.57% - Sweden
10.96% - Bosnia-Herzegovina
2.48% - Ukraine
1% - Denmark


4 comments:

  1. I was searching for France till I remembered they are the hosts of the UEFA Euro 2016, so they are qualified :P

    ReplyDelete
  2. Did you consider that Gibraltar will probably be the 9th team in the pot 6? (If they keep this format, which i hope they will)

    ReplyDelete
  3. Potential group draw:
    A - ESP / SWE / AUT / EST / NIR / SMA
    B - GRE / BOS / ROM / SCO / AZB / LIE
    C - NED / UKR / SRB / WAL / CYP / FAR
    D - GER / HUN / NOR / BLR / ALB / GIB
    E - RUS / SUI / SVK / BUL / ICE / MLT
    F - ITA / BEL / MNE / LAT / GEO / AND
    G - POR / IRL / TUR / FIN / MAC / KAZ
    H - ENG / CZE / SLO / ARM / LIT / LUX
    I - CRO / DEN / ISR / POL / MLD / -

    ReplyDelete