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Friday, September 18, 2009

2010 World Cup: Seeding formula based on current standings (18 September 2009)

Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa using the 2006 FIFA World Cup seeding formula (see Wikipedia).

Qualified teams determined using the current standings and the FIFA rankings (the November 2009 ranking - computed as if no more matches would be played between today and November 20th).

Ecuador/Cameroon replace Costa Rica/Gabon.

Sweden miss the UEFA playoffs as worst runner-ups (see Wikipedia).

Rank in the seeding table - Country - Total - Performance points - FIFA Ranking Points
 1 Brazil         59.7 29.3 30.3
2 Germany 58.3 30.3 28.0
3 Italy 56.7 27.3 29.3
4 Spain 56.0 25.3 30.7
5 England 51.7 26.3 25.3
6 France 48.0 23.3 24.7
7 Argentina 48.0 21.0 27.0
--------------------------------
8 Netherlands 43.3 14.7 28.7
9 Mexico 38.0 19.3 18.7
10 Croatia 35.0 9.0 26.0
11 USA 34.7 13.7 21.0
12 Switzerland 31.7 15.3 16.3
13 Paraguay 30.0 11.7 18.3
14 Ghana 28.3 13.3 15.0
15 Russia 26.0 3.0 23.0
16 Ecuador 25.7 17.0 8.7
17 Korea Republic 24.0 15.7 8.3
18 Japan 24.0 13.3 10.7
19 Cameroon 23.3 3.0 20.3
20 Australia 22.0 11.3 10.7
21 Côte d'Ivoire 21.7 6.0 15.7
22 Denmark 21.0 7.7 13.3
23 Serbia 21.0 5.3 15.7
24 Greece 18.7 0.0 18.7
25 Tunisia 14.7 8.7 6.0
26 Chile 10.7 0.0 10.7
27 Honduras 7.7 0.0 7.7
28 Algeria 6.7 0.0 6.7
29 Slovakia 6.3 0.0 6.3
30 South Africa 5.7 3.0 2.7
31 Bahrain 2.3 0.0 2.3
32 Korea DPR 1.3 0.0 1.3
Top 7 + South Africa seeded.

Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Croatia, Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Bahrain, Honduras, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, USA
Pot 4: Algeria, Cameroon, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Ecuador, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia

Possible draw (using random.org):

Group A: South Africa, Denmark, Mexico, Ecuador
Group B: Brazil, Netherlands, Japan, Ghana
Group C: France, Russia, Bahrain, Algeria
Group D: Spain, Croatia, Honduras, Tunisia
Group E: England, Switzerland, Korea DPR, Paraguay
Group F: Italy, Greece, Australia, Côte d'Ivoire
Group G: Argentina, Serbia, Korea Republic, Cameroon
Group H: Germany, Slovakia, USA, Chile

2 comments:

  1. Where are Sweden? They seem to be missing?

    ReplyDelete
  2. I have them losing the play-off because of their low FIFA ranking.

    ReplyDelete