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Monday, September 14, 2009

FIFA Ranking: October 2009 preview (III)

Point totals for teams from the top 20 of the October 2007 ranking should be 100% correct. For the others, there's the issue of historical rankings published before July 2006.

Next update: October 2nd, 2009.

Only four matches left before the deadline, all friendlies:

South Africa - Madagascar
St. Kitts and Nevis - St. Vincent / Grenadines
Mexico - Colombia
China PR - Botswana

This is how these teams' totals could change:

South Africa (W: 432, D: 425, L: 421)
Madagascar (W: 179, D: 136, L: 115)
St. Kitts and Nevis (W: 118, D: 105, L: 99)
St. Vincent / Grenadines (W: 157, D: 140, L: 132)
Mexico (W: 905, D: 892, L: 886)
Colombia (W: 747, D: 722, L: 710)
China PR (W: 312, D: 304, L: 300)
Botswana (W: 246, D: 219, L: 206)

In the ranking table, the value displayed for these teams is the minimum possible value. This means that even if they lose, their total can't drop.

A lot of movement in the top 10. Switzerland replacing France.

Best movers:

44 - Faroe Islands
32 - Armenia
22 - Malawi

Worst movers:

-44 - Libya
-32 - Sierra Leone
-27 - Congo

Best movers in the top 50:

13 - Cameroon
10 - Slovakia
9 - Paraguay and Republic of Ireland

Worst movers in the top 50:

-14 - Gabon
-11 - Denmark
-10 - Greece

Ghana leave Egypt behind and claim third place for themselves. Last month they were're tied for 3rd in CAF. Algeria replace Nigeria as Africa's 5th team.

Honduras overtake Costa Rica and are now 3rd in CONCACAF. Canada to 5th, replacing Trinidad and Tobago.

Paraguay reclaim the 3rd spot in CONMEBOL from Chile.

Italy are now alone in UEFA's 3rd place, dropping from last month's tie with Germany. England replace Russia as Europe's 5th team.

Four teams will improve their best ever ranking:

Côte d'Ivoire (15th - 18th in August 2006)
Latvia (50th - 51st in December 2003)
Philippines (156th - 157th in November 2008)
Mongolia (172nd - 173rd in July 2007)

Two teams will return to their best ever ranking:

Venezuela (48th - first achieved in April 2004)
Barbados (93rd - first achieved in June 2000)

Two teams will return to their worst ever ranking:

Mauritius (183rd - first achieved in August 2009)
British Virgin Islands (193rd - first achieved in January 2008)

Five teams will have their worst ever ranking:

Belgium (80th - 71st in June 2007)
Zambia (99th - 92nd in February 2009)
Zimbabwe (129th - 120th in August 2009)
Tahiti (194th - 191st in July 2009)
Andorra (202nd - 196th in May 2009)

October 2009 rank - Team - October 2009 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points

1 Brazil 1684 0 80
2 Spain 1624 0 36
3 Netherlands 1427 0 51
4 Italy 1212 0 26
5 Germany 1186 -1 0
6 England 1138 1 11
7 Croatia 1133 2 32
8 Russia 1113 -2 -16
9 Argentina 1054 -1 -59
10 Switzerland 1036 5 138
11 USA 1004 0 30
12 France 1002 -2 -38
13 Portugal 966 4 86
14 Paraguay 949 9 107
15 Côte d'Ivoire 944 5 92
16 Cameroon 938 13 119
17 Serbia 923 -4 7
18 Bulgaria 893 1 33
19 Mexico 886 5 51
20 Australia 866 -6 -41
21 Czech Republic 862 -3 -8
22 Greece 852 -10 -119
23 Chile 824 -2 -22
24 Romania 818 2 -9
25 Ghana 806 7 20
26 Uruguay 803 2 -17
27 Denmark 801 -11 -91
28 Turkey 800 -1 -26
29 Republic of Ireland 799 9 56
30 Israel 789 -8 -55
31 Ukraine 778 -6 -51
32 Egypt 774 0 -12
33 Scotland 769 -3 -35
34 Ecuador 762 2 13
35 Slovakia 752 10 65
36 Norway 747 7 38
37 Honduras 745 5 33
38 Algeria 742 6 35
39 Nigeria 737 -5 -36
40 Northern Ireland 733 -9 -62
41 Sweden 731 0 8
42 Colombia 710 6 53
43 Japan 708 -3 -26
44 Poland 706 -8 -43
45 Bosnia-Herzegovina 704 1 22
46 Costa Rica 692 -7 -43
47 Korea Republic 667 2 26
48 Venezuela 661 3 57
49 Gabon 648 -14 -111
50 Latvia 644 8 89
51 Tunisia 607 -1 -7
52 Hungary 601 -5 -68
53 Mali 594 0 1
54 Slovenia 584 0 8
55 Canada 562 11 58
56 Morocco 550 1 -10
57 Burkina Faso 541 -5 -61
57 Guinea 541 -2 -33
59 Iran 524 1 -17
60 Finland 523 1 -12
61 Bahrain 520 3 14
62 Trinidad and Tobago 505 1 -12
63 Bolivia 502 -4 -45
64 Jamaica 494 5 17
65 Saudi Arabia 493 0 -12
66 FYR Macedonia 475 -10 -95
67 Uganda 467 5 19
68 Togo 466 3 12
69 Wales 457 -2 -24
70 Lithuania 451 -8 -80
71 Austria 449 -1 -24
72 Panama 447 3 16
73 Belarus 442 4 22
74 Cuba 438 13 45
75 Oman 427 -1 -5
76 Mozambique 423 8 24
77 South Africa 421 -4 -24
78 El Salvador 420 7 22
79 Senegal 418 1 8
80 Belgium 416 -12 -63
81 Cyprus 412 -5 -17
82 Uzbekistan 405 3 7
83 Malawi 394 22 82
84 Moldova 393 4 3
85 Iceland 387 11 42
86 Peru 386 5 23
87 Benin 376 -9 -37
88 Albania 371 5 11
89 Haiti 362 20 58
90 New Zealand 360 10 24
91 Montenegro 359 -2 -21
92 Qatar 358 -9 -42
93 Armenia 355 32 124
93 Barbados 355 10 30
93 Korea DPR 355 -3 -24
96 Tanzania 354 -2 -4
97 Angola 352 -5 -9
98 Namibia 351 3 20
99 Zambia 350 -18 -59
100 Iraq 345 -2 5
101 Syria 344 -6 -6
102 Cape Verde Islands 326 10 30
103 Sudan 317 -7 -28
104 Grenada 306 4 1
105 Kenya 304 -1 -13
106 Antigua and Barbuda 300 0 -11
106 China PR 300 1 -7
106 Congo 300 -27 -112
109 Kuwait 294 1 -5
110 Fiji 291 -8 -39
111 Thailand 287 4 1
112 Georgia 281 0 -15
113 Gambia 276 -14 -61
114 Estonia 261 0 -26
115 Congo DR 254 3 -19
116 Guatemala 251 -5 -46
117 Rwanda 247 0 -32
117 Suriname 247 2 -25
119 Faroe Islands 244 44 148
119 United Arab Emirates 244 4 6
121 Kazakhstan 241 15 60
122 Guyana 234 0 -6
122 Luxembourg 234 -6 -48
124 Singapore 227 3 4
125 Hong Kong 216 3 -5
126 Jordan 215 3 -4
126 Libya 215 -44 -192
128 Botswana 206 4 4
129 Burundi 203 -4 -28
129 Zimbabwe 203 -9 -56
131 Indonesia 201 2 0
132 Ethiopia 182 4 1
133 Equatorial Guinea 168 -4 -51
134 Nicaragua 165 7 0
135 Vietnam 164 11 15
136 Yemen 163 6 0
137 Kyrgyzstan 161 6 0
137 Liberia 161 6 0
139 Azerbaijan 158 0 -15
139 India 158 10 24
141 Myanmar 157 4 7
142 New Caledonia 148 -8 -51
143 Malta 146 -3 -20
144 Liechtenstein 143 7 18
145 Chad 140 -21 -93
146 Lebanon 133 4 1
146 Turkmenistan 133 1 -13
148 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 132 0 -7
149 Swaziland 129 7 14
150 Bermuda 128 4 9
151 Maldives 122 4 5
152 Malaysia 121 0 -2
153 Sierra Leone 117 -32 -124
154 Eritrea 115 3 1
154 Madagascar 115 -23 -93
156 Philippines 108 2 0
157 Sri Lanka 103 2 0
158 Lesotho 100 2 -1
159 St. Kitts and Nevis 99 -7 -24
159 Vanuatu 99 -21 -78
161 Niger 97 -26 -93
162 Mauritania 96 -1 -3
163 Puerto Rico 87 2 0
164 Chinese Taipei 86 2 0
165 Netherlands Antilles 85 -1 -3
166 Bangladesh 84 1 -1
167 Pakistan 83 1 -1
168 Somalia 82 1 0
169 Tajikistan 70 3 5
170 Laos 69 0 0
171 Cambodia 67 0 0
172 Mongolia 61 2 0
173 Nepal 60 2 0
173 Solomon Islands 60 -11 -37
175 Belize 57 1 0
176 Palestine 49 -3 -13
177 Bahamas 47 0 -6
178 Brunei Darussalam 46 2 0
179 Seychelles 45 -1 -7
179 Turks and Caicos Islands 45 0 -6
181 Cayman Islands 44 0 0
182 Dominican Republic 41 1 1
183 Mauritius 39 -1 -4
184 Guinea-Bissau 38 0 0
184 Samoa 38 0 0
186 Cook Islands 34 0 0
186 Guam 34 0 0
188 Djibouti 33 0 0
189 St. Lucia 32 0 0
190 Afghanistan 30 1 0
191 Macau 28 2 0
191 Tonga 28 2 0
193 British Virgin Islands 25 -2 -5
194 Tahiti 19 -5 -13
195 Bhutan 17 0 0
196 Dominica 12 1 0
197 Aruba 11 1 0
198 Timor-Leste 9 1 0
199 Comoros 8 1 0
199 US Virgin Islands 8 1 0
201 Central African Republic 4 1 0
202 Andorra 1 -7 -16
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Anguilla 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 Papua New Guinea 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 0

10 comments:

  1. FIFA changed date of October's FIFA ranking release from October 7th to October 16th! So October WC qualifying games will be included!

    ReplyDelete
  2. Twenty European teams in the top 32, but at least 7 will be eliminated from the World Cup, while one between Barhain (#61) and New Zealand (#90) will be in South Africa ...

    ReplyDelete
  3. Thanks Drooler. I kind of expected this.

    See this post from February 2009.

    ReplyDelete
  4. There was an additional match
    Argentina 2:0 (2:0) Ghana 30/09/2009 Cordoba Friendly

    Would you please calculate the changed Points for Argentina and Ghana?

    Argentina (W:?)
    Ghana (L:?)

    ReplyDelete
  5. stevan, check the updates at the top of the page. FIFA postponed the October ranking, so I had to update the preview and probable ranking.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Okay Edgar, but these probable ranking-points include the preview of the matches of October 10th and 14th and for Ghana October 11th.

    But I am interested in a Fifa-Ranking of October 1st (or October 7th) and here I can see all the ranking-points of all countries of October 1st except Argentina and Ghana.

    Maybe I could conclude them myself, but I just don't see them.

    So would you please help?

    ReplyDelete
  7. Thanks Edgar!

    And special thanks for the speedy reaction!!

    Anything new about the exact mode of seeding the by fifa?

    Will Fifa seed two pots of four teams, as I presume?

    ReplyDelete
  8. oops, I missed out an important word:
    Anything new about the exact mode of seeding the playoffs (UEFA Second Round) by fifa?
    On Wikipedia
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_FIFA_World_Cup_qualification_-_UEFA_Second_Round
    the presumption is also:
    The top four teams will be seeded into one pot, with the bottom four teams seeded into a second. A separate draw will be conducted to decide who will host the second leg.[1]
    But the source given, the source I have seen here on
    http://www.football-rankings.info/
    for the first time,
    does not explicitly name two pots.

    ReplyDelete
  9. The press conference on that fifa.com article I referenced has all the explanations: 2 pots, 2 separate draws.

    ReplyDelete