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Saturday, September 5, 2009

2010 World Cup: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (4 September 2009)

Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa.

Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances.

Croatia replace the Czech Republic.

Rank in the seeding table - Country - Total - Performance points - FIFA Ranking Points
 1 Brazil         59.7 29.3 30.3
2 Germany 59.3 30.3 29.0
3 Italy 56.7 27.3 29.3
4 Spain 56.0 25.3 30.7
5 England 51.0 26.3 24.7
6 Argentina 49.0 21.0 28.0
7 France 47.7 23.3 24.3
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8 Netherlands 43.3 14.7 28.7
9 Mexico 36.7 19.3 17.3
10 USA 34.7 13.7 21.0
11 Croatia 34.0 9.0 25.0
12 Switzerland 31.7 15.3 16.3
13 Paraguay 30.3 11.7 18.7
14 Ghana 27.7 13.3 14.3
15 Russia 26.3 3.0 23.3
16 Australia 26.0 11.3 14.7
17 Japan 25.7 13.3 12.3
18 Korea Republic 25.0 15.7 9.3
19 Denmark 22.7 7.7 15.0
20 Serbia 22.7 5.3 17.3
21 Greece 22.0 0.0 22.0
22 Côte d'Ivoire 21.3 6.0 15.3
23 Tunisia 15.7 8.7 7.0
24 Costa Rica 15.0 8.3 6.7
25 Saudi Arabia 13.0 8.0 5.0
26 Chile 13.0 0.0 13.0
27 Honduras 8.7 0.0 8.7
28 Slovakia 7.0 0.0 7.0
29 South Africa 5.7 3.0 2.7
30 Gabon 5.7 0.0 5.7
31 Algeria 4.3 0.0 4.3
32 Korea DPR 1.0 0.0 1.0
Top 7 + South Africa seeded.

The pots:

Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, France, Germany, Italy, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Croatia, Denmark, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovakia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Costa Rica, Honduras, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, Saudi Arabia
Pot 4: Algeria, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Gabon, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia
Special pot: USA

For an explanation regarding the special pot, see this World Cup seeding post.

Possible draw (using random.org):

Group A: South Africa, Croatia, Korea Republic, Paraguay
Group B: France, Greece, Honduras, Ghana
Group C: Argentina, Russia, Japan, Gabon
Group D: Brazil, Denmark, Mexico, Côte d'Ivoire
Group E: England, Slovakia, Saudi Arabia, USA
Group F: Italy, Serbia, Australia, Chile
Group G: Spain, Netherlands, Costa Rica, Tunisia
Group H: Germany, Switzerland, Korea DPR, Algeria

5 comments:

  1. Mulţumesc România!

    Thanks to Romanian brothers!

    I watched the match on national broadcast (because of huge interest in Serbia) and was so nervous whole match. I think this match was more important to me than to you guys :)

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hello Edgar!

    For 2010 WC seeding are Performance points calculated for latest 2 World Cups (2006, 2002) or 3 (+1998)?
    If a country did not participate in the Final does she receive 0 points for that part of Performance column?

    Thanks.

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  3. I think for the latest 3 because of 0.3 and 0.7 ending?

    ReplyDelete
  4. Latest 2 but with 1:2 ratio I suppose...

    ReplyDelete
  5. Yes Osiris, you are right. The last two with a 2:1 ratio.

    ReplyDelete