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Wednesday, September 9, 2009

2014 FIFA World Cup seeding for CAF (8 September 2009)

The preliminary draw for the 2010 FIFA World Cup took place on November 25th, 2007 and used the July 2007 FIFA ranking.

Assumptions:

- CAF will again have 5 spots
- CAF will keep the current qualifying system
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- CAF will choose the July 2011 ranking for seeding

The July 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2007 and July 2011. We already have the "0.2" part (matches played between July 2007 and July 2008) and the "0.3" part (matches played between July 2008 and July 2009) - that's 25% of the formula. A lot can and will change before July 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving African teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup qualifiers, 2010 FIFA World Cup, CAN 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.

This is the July 2011 ranking (for CAF only) using matches played up to and including September 8th, 2009 and matches scheduled up to July 2010 (only those on fifa.com).

The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).

Lesotho avoid the preliminary stage at the expense of Somalia.

Malawi and Mozambique replace Burkina Faso and Guinea in the 1st pot.
Senegal and Tanzania replace Libya and Zambia in the 2nd pot.

Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
 1  3 Côte d'Ivoire            328
1 5 Cameroon 328
3 4 Algeria 305
4 2 Ghana 301
5 6 Egypt 268
6 1 Gabon 243
7 7 Nigeria 211
8 10 Tunisia 201
9 8 Mali 200
10 27 Malawi 179
11 12 Morocco 170
12 21 Mozambique 168
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13 9 Burkina Faso 164
14 13 Togo 157
15 11 Guinea 144
16 19 Benin 139
17 18 Senegal 121
17 14 Libya 121
19 15 Congo 117
19 19 Angola 117
21 16 Uganda 116
21 16 South Africa 116
23 21 Kenya 110
24 23 Zambia 103
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25 24 Tanzania 102
26 25 Gambia 101
27 26 Sudan 100
28 34 Cape Verde Islands 87
29 28 Rwanda 86
30 30 Zimbabwe 81
31 31 Namibia 80
32 29 Congo DR 78
33 32 Sierra Leone 74
34 33 Madagascar 73
35 35 Chad 67
36 36 Burundi 52
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37 37 Equatorial Guinea 51
37 40 Swaziland 51
39 38 Botswana 49
40 39 Niger 47
41 41 Liberia 39
42 42 Ethiopia 29
42 45 Lesotho 29
44 43 Somalia 23
44 43 Mauritania 23
46 46 Eritrea 16
47 47 Mauritius 15
48 48 Guinea-Bissau 12
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48 48 Djibouti 12
50 50 Seychelles 11
51 51 Central African Republic 0
51 51 Comoros 0
51 51 Sao Tome e Principe 0

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