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Wednesday, June 9, 2010

2014 FIFA World Cup seeding for AFC (9 June 2010)

The preliminary draw will take place in July or August 2011, not in November 2011 as I assumed, but that doesn't change much, because I was already using the July 2011 ranking.

AFC used previous World Cup performance to seed the teams for the 2006 FIFA World Cup qualifiers.

More details on the seeding in this post:

2014 FIFA World Cup seeding for AFC

Assumptions:

- AFC will again have 4.5 spots
- AFC will keep the current qualifying system
- AFC will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- AFC will choose the July 2011 ranking for seeding

The July 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2007 and July 2011. We already have almost 50% of the final ranking: the "0.2" and "0.3" parts (matches played between July 2007 and July 2009) and almost all the "0.5" part (matches played between July 2009 and July 2010). A lot can and will change before July 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving Asian teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup, 2011 Asian Cup and plenty of friendlies.

This is the July 2011 ranking (for AFC only) using matches played up to and including June 8th, 2010 and matches scheduled up to July 2010 (only those on fifa.com).

The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).

Rank - Team - Total points
 1  1 Australia            373
2 2 Japan 286
3 3 Korea Republic 281
4 4 Iran 254
5 6 Bahrain 241
6 5 Saudi Arabia 234
------------------------------
7 9 China PR 194
8 7 Oman 185
9 8 Kuwait 176
10 10 Syria 173
11 11 Uzbekistan 170
12 12 United Arab Emirates 167
13 13 Qatar 156
14 14 Korea DPR 155
15 15 Jordan 144
16 17 Iraq 137
17 16 Thailand 135
18 18 Yemen 126
19 19 Singapore 104
20 20 India 89
21 21 Tajikistan 86
22 22 Turkmenistan 85
23 23 Vietnam 76
24 24 Hong Kong 71
25 25 Indonesia 67
26 26 Maldives 66
------------------------------
27 27 Malaysia 64
28 28 Myanmar 60
29 29 Bangladesh 56
30 30 Lebanon 55
31 31 Nepal 51
31 31 Sri Lanka 51
33 33 Kyrgyzstan 44
34 34 Pakistan 43
35 35 Philippines 34
36 36 Chinese Taipei 33
37 40 Palestine 20
38 37 Laos 16
39 38 Mongolia 15
39 38 Cambodia 15
41 41 Afghanistan 11
42 42 Guam 10
43 43 Brunei Darussalam 9
44 44 Macau 6
44 44 Bhutan 6
46 46 Timor-Leste 3

7 comments:

  1. Hi..Is the AFC ranking slots confirmed or should we wait till maybe June next year??

    ReplyDelete
  2. No, it's not official. You should wait for an official AFC announcement.

    ReplyDelete
  3. i do hope, this time bangladesh will not be forced by afc to play pre qualifying match of world cup 2014. because we have improved a lot. now we are 29 th position in afc. we are the south asian games (saf 2010) football champoin. fifa shopuld consider us for qualifying match directly. other wise we shall try to join to oceania jone with newzealand. where only newzealand is seeded team with 103 ranking, fiji and haiti are above bangladesh. fiji 132, haiti .133. so bangladesh can easily join 6to that join, only 11 teams qualify there for world cup final. if australia can join afc, we have the wright to join oceania jone. fifa should allow us to join there. i hope by 2018 we shall be able to play play off with other like newzealand for world cup final. dr.ashad, from dhaka. drashad689@hotmail.com

    ReplyDelete
  4. AUSTRALI SHOULD LEAVE AFC OR BANGLADESH SHOULD ALLOW TO JOIN OFC FOR BETTERMENT OF OUR FOOTBALL FUTURE. I BEG TO FIFA. PLEASE ALOOW US TO JOIN, OFC. DR ASHAD. DHAKA

    ReplyDelete
  5. When does the draw for World Cup 2014 asia???
    please answer

    ReplyDelete
  6. Most likely, the preliminary draw will be on 31 July 2011.

    ReplyDelete