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Wednesday, June 9, 2010

2014 FIFA World Cup seeding for CAF (9 June 2010)

The preliminary draw will take place in July or August 2011, not in November 2011 as I assumed, but that doesn't change much, because CAF used the July 2007 ranking for the draw.

Assumptions:

- CAF will again have 5 spots
- CAF will keep the current qualifying system
- FIFA will use the FIFA ranking to seed the teams
- CAF will choose the July 2011 ranking for seeding

The July 2011 FIFA ranking will include matches played between July 2007 and July 2011. We already have the "0.2" part (matches played between July 2007 and July 2008) and the "0.3" part (matches played between July 2008 and July 2009) - that's 25% of the formula. A lot can and will change before July 2011 as there are many matches to be played involving African teams: 2010 FIFA World Cup, CAN 2012 qualifiers and plenty of friendlies.
is the July 2011 ranking (for CAF only) using matches played up to and including June 8th, 2010 and matches scheduled up to July 2010 (only those on fifa.com).

The "0.5" part is computed this way: points gained / (number of matches played + scheduled).

Uganda replace Malawi in the first pot.

Rank - Previous rank - Team - Total points
 1  1 Egypt                    542
2 2 Gabon 408
3 3 Nigeria 379
4 5 Côte d'Ivoire 376
5 5 Algeria 367
6 4 Cameroon 349
7 8 Ghana 341
8 7 Burkina Faso 338
9 9 Mali 266
10 11 Benin 257
11 10 Tunisia 252
12 14 Uganda 232
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13 15 Zambia 221
14 12 Malawi 212
15 13 Togo 198
16 23 South Africa 183
17 16 Mozambique 176
18 17 Angola 171
19 18 Morocco 170
20 19 Libya 166
21 20 Senegal 159
22 21 Gambia 147
23 22 Guinea 144
24 24 Congo 132
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25 25 Zimbabwe 126
25 26 Rwanda 126
27 27 Kenya 120
28 32 Cape Verde Islands 115
29 28 Tanzania 108
30 29 Sudan 104
31 30 Namibia 97
32 33 Congo DR 88
33 30 Botswana 86
34 34 Swaziland 76
35 35 Sierra Leone 74
36 36 Madagascar 73
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37 37 Chad 67
38 38 Burundi 52
39 39 Equatorial Guinea 51
40 40 Lesotho 47
40 40 Niger 47
42 42 Ethiopia 42
43 43 Liberia 39
44 44 Eritrea 29
45 45 Somalia 23
45 45 Mauritania 23
47 47 Comoros 19
48 48 Mauritius 15
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49 49 Guinea-Bissau 12
49 49 Djibouti 12
51 51 Seychelles 11
52 52 Central African Republic 0
52 52 Sao Tome e Principe 0

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