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Wednesday, October 14, 2009

2010 World Cup: Seeding formula based on qualification chances (12 October 2009)

Seeded teams for the 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa using the 2006 FIFA World Cup seeding formula (see Wikipedia). The November 2009 ranking is computed as if no more matches would be played between today and November 20th.

Qualified teams determined using Voros' qualification chances (as of October 12th).

Uruguay/Costa Rica/Slovenia replace Ecuador/Honduras/Slovakia.

Portugal replace France as seed.

Rank in the seeding table - Country - Total - Performance points - FIFA Ranking Points
 1 Brazil         59.7 29.3 30.3
2 Germany 59.3 30.3 29.0
3 Italy 56.7 27.3 29.3
4 Spain 56.0 25.3 30.7
5 England 51.7 26.3 25.3
6 Argentina 49.3 21.0 28.3
7 Portugal 47.3 22.3 25.0
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8 France 47.0 23.3 23.7
9 Netherlands 43.0 14.7 28.3
10 Mexico 37.7 19.3 18.3
11 USA 35.0 13.7 21.3
12 Switzerland 31.0 15.3 15.7
13 Paraguay 31.0 11.7 19.3
14 Ghana 25.3 13.3 12.0
15 Russia 25.3 3.0 22.3
16 Korea Republic 24.3 15.7 8.7
17 Japan 24.0 13.3 10.7
18 Cameroon 23.7 3.0 20.7
19 Australia 22.0 11.3 10.7
20 Serbia 21.3 5.3 16.0
21 Denmark 20.3 7.7 12.7
22 Greece 20.0 0.0 20.0
23 Côte d'Ivoire 19.7 6.0 13.7
24 Uruguay 18.3 2.7 15.7
25 Tunisia 15.0 8.7 6.3
26 Costa Rica 14.7 8.3 6.3
27 Chile 10.7 0.0 10.7
28 Slovenia 7.0 2.7 4.3
29 South Africa 6.0 3.0 3.0
30 Algeria 6.0 0.0 6.0
31 Bahrain 2.3 0.0 2.3
32 Korea DPR 1.3 0.0 1.3
Top 7 + South Africa seeded.

The pots:

Pot 1: Argentina, Brazil, England, Germany, Italy, Portugal, South Africa, Spain
Pot 2: Denmark, France, Greece, Netherlands, Russia, Serbia, Slovenia, Switzerland
Pot 3: Australia, Bahrain, Costa Rica, Japan, Korea DPR, Korea Republic, Mexico, USA
Pot 4: Algeria, Cameroon, Chile, Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Paraguay, Tunisia, Uruguay

Possible draw (using random.org):

Group A: South Africa, Denmark, Australia, Chile
Group B: England, Netherlands, Bahrain, Algeria
Group C: Portugal, Greece, USA, Ghana
Group D: Spain, Slovenia, Costa Rica, Uruguay
Group E: Argentina, Serbia, Korea DPR, Côte d'Ivoire
Group F: Italy, France, Mexico, Cameroon
Group G: Germany, Russia, Korea Republic, Paraguay
Group H: Brazil, Switzerland, Japan, Tunisia

1 comment:

  1. hey when are you going to post the next one counting yesterday's result (Oct. 14) everyone here in Honduras is excited because of the qualification. I want to see in which pot we'll end up (probably the last one)

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