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Wednesday, October 21, 2009

2010 World Cup seeding: Portugal or France? (III)

There's a mistake in my previous Portugal vs. France post:

"there will be 5 teams between France and Portugal: Russia, Argentina, England, Greece and Croatia." Croatia can no longer qualify, so it can't affect the seeding.

Beside Portugal and France, five teams (Argentina, England, Germany, Greece and Russia) could affect the ranking part of seeding formula by being ranked between those two teams in November.

These are the November matches for the teams involved:

Argentina: Spain (in Madrid) on the 14th and Nigeria (in London) on the 18th.
England: Brazil (in Doha) on the 14th.
France: playoff against the Republic of Ireland
Germany: Chile (in Cologne) on the 14th and Côte d'Ivoire (in Gelsenkirchen) on the 18th.
Greece: playoff against Ukraine.
Portugal: playoff against Bosnia-Herzegovina.
Russia: playoff against Slovenia.

Since it's a pretty wide table, I split it in 3 parts.

L - loss, D - draw, W - win, PL - PSO loss, PW - PSO win.

Team LL LD LW LWPL LWPW
Argentina 1051 1062 1084 1084 1084
England 1063 1063 1063 1063 1063
France 984 1019 1088 1019 1053
Germany 1119 1132 1160 1160 1160
Greece 850 895 984 895 939
Portugal 983 1016 1082 1016 1049
Russia 906 943 1019 943 981


Team DL DD DDPL DDPW DW
Argentina 1065 1076 1076 1076 1098
England 1081 1081 1081 1081 1081
France 1019 1053 1053 1088 1122
Germany 1134 1148 1148 1148 1175
Greece 895 939 939 984 1028
Portugal 1016 1049 1049 1082 1115
Russia 943 981 981 1019 1057


Team WL WLPL WLPW WD WW
Argentina 1093 1093 1093 1104 1126
England 1117 1117 1117 1117 1117
France 1088 1122 1157 1122 1192
Germany 1164 1164 1164 1178 1206
Greece 984 1028 1073 1028 1117
Portugal 1082 1115 1148 1115 1181
Russia 1019 1057 1094 1057 1132

Now it's up to Voros to compute Portugal's chances for a seed.

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