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Wednesday, October 21, 2009

2010 World Cup seeding: Ranking points

Hopefully this post will make the ranking points in the seeding formula easier to understand.

I compute the November 2009 ranking as if no more matches would be played between now and November 20th.

Honduras is displayed above Slovakia in the December 2007 FIFA ranking.

France is displayed above Portugal in the December 2008 FIFA ranking. However, looking at the actual values (confirmed by FIFA), the order should be Portugal (1007.07), then France (1006.87). That's the order I use for seeding.

Column order:

Team
Dec 2007 rank
Dec 2007 points
Dec 2008 rank
Dec 2008 points
Nov 2009 rank
Nov 2009 points

Spain            4   29   1   32  2   31 30.667
Brazil 2 31 5 28 1 32 30.333
Italy 3 30 4 29 4 29 29.333
Germany 5 28 2 31 5 28 29
Argentina 1 32 6 27 6 27 28.667
Netherlands 9 25 3 30 3 30 28.333
England 12 23 8 26 7 26 25
Portugal 8 26 11 24 9 25 25
France 7 27 11.1 23 9.1 24 24.667
Russia 23 19 9 25 13 21 21.667
USA 19 21 22 19 11 23 21
Greece 11 24 20 20 15 19 21
Cameroon 24 18 14 22 12 22 20.667
Paraguay 21 20 17 21 22 14 18.333
Mexico 15 22 26 15 18 16 17.667
Switzerland 44 10 24 17 14 20 15.667
Uruguay 28 16 23 18 24 12 15.333
Côte d'Ivoire 37 13 29 13 16 18 14.667
Serbia 27 17 30 12 19 15 14.667
Chile 45 9 31 11 17 17 12.333
Denmark 31 15 37 9 23 13 12.333
Ghana 43 11 25 16 35 8 11.667
Australia 48 7 28 14 27 11 10.667
Japan 34 14 35 10 45 6 10
Korea Republic 42 12 42 7 50 5 8
Honduras 53 6 40 8 36 7 7
Slovakia 53.1 5 44 6 31 9 6.667
Algeria 79 3 64 4 28 10 5.667
Tunisia 47 8 46 5 52 4 5.667
South Africa 77 4 76 3 85 1 2.667
Bahrain 102 2 80 2 60 3 2.333
Korea DPR 115 1 113 1 81 2 1.333

4 comments:

  1. How fair it would be if FIFA used this ranking for their seeding!

    ReplyDelete
  2. I don't understand why you've put France with 24 points and Portugal with 23 points in the 2008 ranking, if it was confirmed by FIFA that Portugal had more points.
    If Portugal had 24pts in the 2008 ranking, adding the average to the National Team Coefficients released by UEFA, Portugal would have 57,10 total points against France's 56,90 and would be seeded in the WC.
    I'm not sure I'm right, though.

    ReplyDelete
  3. I understand now the National Team Coefficients are not valid for the WC. Is the final version of the performance points for the WC already calculated?

    ReplyDelete
  4. @raoul.dasilva

    I don't know if it would be fair. Look at this post by scaryice and you'll see older results will have more value than recent ones.

    @RT

    You're right. I did some tests before posting the table and that's why I made this mistake. However, if you look at the seeding table linked at the beginning of the post, you'll see Portugal with 25 points and France with 24.7.

    Regarding the performance points, here you go:

    2010 WC Seeding: Performance part.

    ReplyDelete