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Friday, July 1, 2011

FIFA Ranking: July 2011 preview

Next update: 15 July 2011.

Papua New Guinea will no longer be listed in the July ranking.

Most points dropped (best case scenario):

-283 - Spain
-121 - Haiti
-119 - Netherlands
-112 - Germany
-87 - Panama
-73 - Canada
-43 - Iraq
-41 - Togo
-39 - Ghana
-33 - El Salvador

Most points gained (worst case scenario):

64 - Mongolia and Bangladesh
30 - Portugal
26 - Tunisia
24 - Cambodia
22 - Antigua and Barbuda
21 - Palestine and Nepal
16 - Malaysia
10 - Sri Lanka

June 2011 rank - Country - June 2011 points - Minimum points - Maximum points


1 Spain 1871 1588 1588
2 Netherlands 1661 1542 1542
3 Germany 1417 1305 1305
4 England 1146 1146 1146
5 Brazil 1130 1006 1587
6 Italy 1059 1059 1059
7 Portugal 1046 1076 1076
8 Croatia 1033 1033 1033
9 Mexico 1007 869 1233
10 Argentina 979 879 1286
11 Norway 972 972 972
12 Greece 959 959 959
13 Japan 925 918 918
14 Côte d'Ivoire 922 922 922
15 France 920 920 920
16 Montenegro 915 915 915
17 Russia 914 914 914
18 Uruguay 909 751 1358
19 Sweden 884 884 884
20 Denmark 857 857 857
21 Slovenia 833 833 833
22 Australia 829 831 831
23 Turkey 820 820 820
24 USA 799 778 778
25 Serbia 797 797 797
26 Korea Republic 787 781 781
27 Chile 782 719 1324
28 Slovakia 779 779 779
29 Switzerland 778 778 778
30 Israel 771 771 771
31 Republic of Ireland 752 752 752
32 Paraguay 743 655 1115
33 Ghana 735 696 696
34 Egypt 727 736 736
35 Belgium 691 691 691
36 Czech Republic 670 670 670
37 Burkina Faso 661 661 661
38 Jamaica 656 632 632
39 Bosnia-Herzegovina 642 642 642
40 Belarus 636 636 636
41 Nigeria 635 635 635
42 Ukraine 620 620 620
43 Senegal 619 619 619
44 Honduras 613 592 592
45 Hungary 603 603 603
46 Bulgaria 599 599 599
47 South Africa 597 597 597
48 Cameroon 595 595 595
49 Peru 583 529 1155
50 Iran 578 550 560
51 Algeria 575 575 575
52 Panama 574 487 487
53 Romania 571 571 571
54 Colombia 564 506 1077
55 Costa Rica 561 486 832
56 Georgia 530 530 530
57 Tunisia 527 553 553
58 Lithuania 526 526 526
59 Albania 524 524 524
60 Gabon 517 517 517
61 Scotland 513 513 513
62 Northern Ireland 498 498 498
63 Libya 494 494 494
63 Morocco 494 494 494
65 Austria 479 479 479
66 Guinea 475 475 475
67 Poland 474 474 474
68 Ecuador 473 444 951
69 Venezuela 471 429 938
70 Armenia 462 462 462
71 Malawi 454 439 450
72 El Salvador 434 401 401
72 Zambia 434 436 436
74 Botswana 431 440 440
75 China PR 426 431 431
76 Finland 419 419 419
77 Uganda 417 417 417
78 Mali 416 416 416
79 Estonia 399 399 399
80 Cyprus 398 398 398
81 Cape Verde Islands 397 397 397
82 Latvia 388 388 388
83 Canada 387 314 314
84 Jordan 385 368 387
85 Moldova 383 383 383
86 Uzbekistan 381 381 381
87 Benin 380 380 380
87 Zimbabwe 380 380 380
89 Haiti 377 256 256
90 Trinidad and Tobago 374 379 379
91 Central African Republic 370 370 370
92 Saudi Arabia 366 338 354
93 Bolivia 356 335 1103
94 Qatar 355 348 355
95 Sierra Leone 348 348 348
96 Iraq 346 303 303
97 New Zealand 345 345 345
98 FYR Macedonia 338 338 338
99 Sudan 333 333 333
100 Niger 331 331 331
101 Cuba 330 330 330
102 Angola 329 329 329
102 Bahrain 329 329 329
102 Gambia 329 329 329
102 Kuwait 329 318 331
106 Mozambique 327 327 327
107 Oman 298 276 314
108 Suriname 296 296 296
109 Syria 290 292 308
110 United Arab Emirates 288 276 285
111 Antigua and Barbuda 286 308 308
112 Azerbaijan 282 282 282
113 Togo 279 238 238
114 Faroe Islands 273 273 273
114 Wales 273 273 273
116 Guyana 267 269 269
117 Grenada 265 246 246
118 Guatemala 262 260 260
119 Korea DPR 255 260 260
120 Liechtenstein 253 253 253
121 St. Kitts and Nevis 248 243 243
122 Iceland 244 244 244
123 Thailand 239 230 230
124 Congo DR 238 238 238
125 Liberia 232 232 232
126 Kazakhstan 231 231 231
127 Tanzania 230 230 230
128 Luxembourg 213 213 213
129 Congo 206 206 206
130 Kenya 204 204 204
131 Yemen 199 199 199
132 Indonesia 195 182 182
133 Dominica 193 193 193
134 Rwanda 189 190 190
135 Tajikistan 180 180 180
136 Ethiopia 170 170 170
137 Puerto Rico 167 167 167
138 Madagascar 166 144 208
139 Burundi 164 164 164
140 Vietnam 159 143 170
141 Barbados 156 156 156
142 Singapore 155 150 166
143 Turkmenistan 147 147 147
144 Malaysia 146 162 186
145 Guinea-Bissau 142 142 142
146 Hong Kong 141 141 141
147 India 137 132 156
148 Nepal 136 157 203
149 Equatorial Guinea 131 131 131
150 Curacao 128 128 128
151 Maldives 126 116 138
152 Chad 123 127 127
153 Namibia 117 120 168
154 Belize 112 112 112
154 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 112 112 112
156 Fiji 103 103 103
157 Swaziland 101 93 93
158 New Caledonia 97 104 104
159 Philippines 96 95 112
160 Cayman Islands 90 90 90
161 Malta 83 83 83
161 Nicaragua 83 75 75
163 Bangladesh 81 145 209
164 Comoros 80 80 80
165 Chinese Taipei 77 69 102
166 Afghanistan 75 59 99
167 Myanmar 72 70 105
167 Palestine 72 93 128
169 Kyrgyzstan 70 72 72
169 Pakistan 70 70 134
171 Sri Lanka 69 79 124
172 Dominican Republic 66 66 198
173 Vanuatu 64 59 110
174 Cambodia 57 81 113
174 Laos 57 46 89
174 Tahiti 57 57 57
177 Lebanon 55 55 199
178 Lesotho 47 44 44
179 Mongolia 41 105 168
180 Bermuda 40 40 40
180 Solomon Islands 40 36 87
182 British Virgin Islands 38 38 170
183 Macau 32 25 79
183 Mauritania 32 32 32
185 St. Lucia 31 26 109
186 Eritrea 29 29 29
187 Samoa 26 26 26
188 Somalia 23 23 23
189 Mauritius 17 10 10
190 Seychelles 15 7 7
190 Tonga 15 15 15
192 Turks and Caicos Islands 13 13 145
193 Djibouti 12 12 12
193 US Virgin Islands 12 12 144
195 Cook Islands 10 10 10
195 Guam 10 10 10
197 Anguilla 9 7 117
197 Bahamas 9 9 141
197 Brunei Darussalam 9 9 9
200 Aruba 7 7 139
201 Bhutan 6 6 6
202 Timor-Leste 3 3 58
203 American Samoa 0 0 0
203 Andorra 0 0 0
203 Montserrat 0 0 0
203 San Marino 0 0 0

13 comments:

  1. Ha ha ha. It would be amusing if Brazil were to attain that maximum points total. Just 1pt behind Spain! Cue the conspiracy theories...

    ReplyDelete
  2. It's rather impressive that Spain will be #1 even without a major tournament in their 1.0-span.

    ReplyDelete
  3. (slightly schizophrenic comment)

    though I note that it wouldn't have happened without the change in continental coefficient calculation after the 2010 World Cup.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Could someone explain to me what this is, because I do not want El Salvador to go down.

    ReplyDelete
  5. @La Selecta:
    The column which reads "434" for El Salvador is the total points from the June 2011 ranking, as officially published by FIFA.

    The next column is "Minimum points." This is the lowest possible total a team could have in the July 2011 ranking if they would lose all their matches.

    The last column is "Maximum points." This is the highest possible total a team could have in July if they would win all their matches.

    For El Salvador, the minimum and maximum are the same. That is because they don't have any matches scheduled this month, so we can already calculate that they will have exactly 401 points in the July ranking.

    The reason they will lose 33 points is because of revaluation of older results.
    It looks like the biggest factor is probably your 2009 Gold Cup win over Costa Rica (worth 1300.5 raw points) losing value.

    ReplyDelete
  6. @Alex:
    Can this be prevented, though?

    ReplyDelete
  7. @Haakon

    I think it's paranoia, not schizophrenia. I also suffer of it :)

    @Alex

    Thanks!

    @La Selecta

    It's pretty difficult - you'd need 2 wins against Sweden between now and July 21st.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Can someone please explain to me why Germany, Spain and Netherlands all lose more then 100pts when they didn't lose any games and Brazil has yet to win in Copa America, Argentina only won their first game a day ago...

    Better yet, could someone explain how Italy moves up 3 places and 40pts as they lost to Ireland in June. Sure they beat Estonia in a qualifier but they only gained a couple points from that. Why the hell would they gain points from losing to a team 30 places worse then they are. Someone needs to stop screwing up their numbers or FIFA should simply adopt the ELO ranking formula.

    ReplyDelete
  9. @Anonymous

    Ever heard of devaluation of points..?

    ReplyDelete
  10. not when they disappear for shits and giggles. logic stated that when a team wins they're rewarded with points and when they lose to a team lower then they are they will lose points...so I repeat why would Italy gain placings and points from losing to Ireland? There's no way Spain deserves to lose 283 points...Netherlands 119 points, or Germany 112 points when their record hasn't changed.

    ReplyDelete
  11. so I repeat why would Italy gain placings and points from losing to Ireland? <--- because it replaces an equally bad L to Slovakia 12 months ago, pretty much.

    (Plus the FIFA rankings actually don't care who you lose to. Strength of opponent is only counted when you draw or win.)

    It's not particularly fair or sane, but it is transparent.

    ReplyDelete
  12. Once again, devaluation of points. You need to look at each timeframe. When points devaluate, the average drops. Last year we had the World Cup in July and the points are devaluated for the most recent timeframe. This works the other way too; when "bad" points are devaluated, the average can go up.

    ReplyDelete
  13. Haakon, Soccer-DB.info - thanks for the help.

    ReplyDelete