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Friday, June 8, 2012

FIFA Ranking: July 2012 probable ranking

Next update: 20 June 2012.

FIFA will publish the ranking on 4 July 2012.

Probable results computed using the Elo Ratings. See the list of results used for this ranking.

Based on these probable results:

Côte d'Ivoire will break into the top 10 for the first time ever.

Tahiti and New Caledonia will climb 20+ places, with Cameroon and Namibia climbing 15+ spots.

Faroe Islands, Vietnam and Libya will drop 20 or more places.


Probable July 2012 rank - Team - Probable July 2012 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Spain 1728 0 272
2 Netherlands 1469 2 235
3 Germany 1465 0 177
4 England 1460 2 315
5 Uruguay 1297 -3 5
6 Argentina 1053 1 -84
7 Brazil 1048 -2 -107
8 Greece 996 7 43
9 Italy 976 3 -1
10 Côte d'Ivoire 974 6 31
11 France 945 3 -19
12 Croatia 932 -4 -121
13 Denmark 918 -4 -101
14 Australia 916 10 96
15 Chile 914 -4 -80
16 Russia 908 -3 -67
17 Portugal 904 -7 -92
18 Colombia 851 2 -29
19 Republic of Ireland 849 -1 -58
20 Sweden 833 -3 -77
21 Mexico 832 -2 -57
22 Switzerland 828 -1 -40
23 Paraguay 812 -1 -21
24 Japan 800 -1 -22
25 Czech Republic 790 2 19
26 Norway 780 0 -7
27 Korea Republic 740 8 21
28 Algeria 736 4 2
29 Ghana 731 -4 -87
30 Bosnia-Herzegovina 729 -1 -27
31 USA 721 -3 -46
32 Hungary 716 -1 -19
33 Peru 712 4 24
34 Turkey 708 -1 -24
35 Slovenia 706 -5 -36
36 Egypt 683 12 95
37 Ecuador 677 -1 -16
38 Serbia 675 -4 -50
39 Wales 658 -1 0
40 Venezuela 639 0 25
41 Slovakia 626 -2 -23
42 Gabon 624 7 38
43 Scotland 611 -2 0
44 Iran 608 1 12
45 Cameroon 605 19 90
46 Zambia 601 -3 0
47 Mali 595 -4 -6
48 Tunisia 592 -2 1
49 Ukraine 582 3 10
50 Montenegro 581 0 0
51 Romania 580 1 8
52 Costa Rica 579 13 72
53 Poland 573 9 55
54 Belgium 564 0 0
55 Panama 563 -9 -28
56 Armenia 559 -5 -20
57 Estonia 554 0 26
57 Nigeria 554 3 34
59 Jamaica 529 1 9
60 Honduras 524 -5 -26
61 Austria 517 -3 -7
62 South Africa 511 6 12
63 Libya 507 -21 -101
63 Uzbekistan 507 3 4
65 Senegal 506 -2 -11
66 Haiti 503 5 13
67 Cape Verde Islands 496 10 39
68 Benin 489 4 0
69 Sierra Leone 488 -10 -35
70 Finland 480 5 16
71 Canada 474 6 17
71 China PR 474 2 -7
73 Latvia 466 3 7
74 El Salvador 464 -19 -86
75 Albania 448 4 -3
75 Guinea 448 -8 -54
77 Belarus 447 -8 -50
78 Trinidad and Tobago 432 4 7
79 Angola 427 5 11
79 Israel 427 2 0
81 Iraq 423 -7 -54
81 Morocco 423 -11 -68
83 Jordan 417 -3 -12
84 Uganda 409 10 46
85 Burkina Faso 405 1 -2
86 Korea DPR 386 3 11
87 Lithuania 376 1 -4
88 Congo 375 -5 -47
89 New Zealand 374 11 33
90 Bulgaria 373 0 0
91 Guatemala 372 -6 -40
92 Kuwait 360 -5 -23
93 Saudi Arabia 359 -1 -10
94 Georgia 357 1 -2
95 Togo 356 3 13
96 Malawi 347 11 23
96 Zimbabwe 347 10 18
98 Oman 340 -1 -9
99 Qatar 337 -8 -35
100 Northern Ireland 336 3 0
101 Bahrain 334 -6 -25
102 FYR Macedonia 331 -1 -7
103 Mozambique 328 14 38
104 Sudan 327 -3 -11
105 Central African Republic 317 -12 -49
106 Azerbaijan 308 6 8
106 Bolivia 308 4 -4
108 Antigua and Barbuda 304 -3 -26
108 Guyana 304 -4 -28
110 Luxembourg 303 11 20
111 Equatorial Guinea 302 3 4
112 St. Kitts and Nevis 301 2 3
113 Congo DR 291 14 34
113 Niger 291 9 12
115 United Arab Emirates 287 4 3
116 Bermuda 281 -7 -37
117 Botswana 277 -1 -18
117 Namibia 277 17 31
119 Gambia 268 -11 -52
120 Kenya 267 -9 -36
121 Cyprus 266 4 0
122 Chad 262 -10 -38
123 Tajikistan 258 6 4
124 Rwanda 256 -5 -28
125 Iceland 250 6 2
126 Dominican Republic 247 7 0
126 Vietnam 247 -28 -96
128 Belize 242 7 6
129 Sao Tome e Principe 240 -11 -48
129 Suriname 240 -1 -15
129 Syria 240 -3 -23
132 Thailand 235 4 1
133 Burundi 234 -2 -14
134 Liberia 233 -10 -44
135 New Caledonia 223 20 73
135 Turkmenistan 223 3 4
137 Tanzania 217 2 3
138 Moldova 213 2 1
139 Ethiopia 212 -9 -37
140 Puerto Rico 210 -3 -14
141 Nicaragua 209 0 0
142 Grenada 204 2 -2
143 Malta 196 4 1
143 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 196 3 0
145 Kazakhstan 195 -4 -14
146 Tahiti 194 33 108
147 Liechtenstein 177 1 0
148 Lebanon 174 -5 -33
149 Cuba 171 -4 -26
150 Bangladesh 160 2 3
151 Philippines 157 -2 -7
152 Indonesia 156 -1 -3
153 Faroe Islands 149 -31 -130
153 Nepal 149 -4 -15
155 Palestine 146 -2 -7
155 Singapore 146 2 3
157 Hong Kong 143 1 1
158 Curacao 138 2 1
159 Yemen 134 0 -7
160 Fiji 130 1 -3
161 Malaysia 126 -7 -25
162 Afghanistan 122 6 8
163 India 121 1 0
164 Aruba 120 1 0
164 Maldives 120 1 0
166 Madagascar 115 -3 -13
167 Vanuatu 104 4 1
168 Guinea-Bissau 103 1 -8
168 Lesotho 103 2 -6
170 Barbados 100 8 13
171 Bahamas 99 -9 -33
172 Dominica 95 1 0
173 Samoa 93 -17 -56
174 Solomon Islands 92 9 17
175 Tonga 87 1 -1
176 Chinese Taipei 86 -9 -29
177 US Virgin Islands 85 5 7
178 Cayman Islands 72 7 0
178 Pakistan 72 3 -10
180 Myanmar 67 -6 -27
181 Sri Lanka 64 3 -10
182 Swaziland 63 -3 -23
183 American Samoa 61 3 0
184 Mongolia 55 -8 -33
185 Comoros 54 2 0
186 St. Lucia 52 2 0
187 Papua New Guinea 46 6 12
187 Seychelles 46 2 -2
189 Eritrea 45 1 0
190 Laos 44 -18 -52
191 Somalia 43 0 0
192 Cambodia 40 -17 -53
193 Mauritius 38 -1 1
194 Guam 32 0 0
195 Cook Islands 25 0 -3
196 Djibouti 24 1 1
196 Kyrgyzstan 24 0 0
198 Andorra 15 1 0
199 British Virgin Islands 13 1 0
199 Macau 13 -1 -4
201 Brunei Darussalam 5 1 0
202 Anguilla 4 -1 -5
202 Mauritania 4 1 0
204 Timor-Leste 2 1 0
205 Bhutan 0 -2 -4
205 Montserrat 0 1 0
205 San Marino 0 1 0
205 Turks and Caicos Islands 0 1 0

18 comments:

  1. Hi Edgar,

    I'm keeping track of the 'virtual' rankings as Euro2012 progresses. With the second matches in the group stage to be played the next days, it's fun to give a points-prediction of the countries for winning, losing or drawing:

    Country Pts. after rnd. 1 Win Draw Loss
    Spain 1375 1462 1378 1336
    Germany 1331 1424 1326 1277
    England 1134 1245 1135 1080
    Denmark 1133 1225 1121 1070
    Netherlands 1127 1249 1151 1101
    Croatia 1101 1191 1097 1050
    Russia 1041 1095 1026 991
    Italy 1016 1128 1023 971
    France 999 1072 991 951
    Greece 991 1078 992 949
    Portugal 921 1042 937 885
    Sweden 848 951 861 816
    Republic of Ireland 830 943 843 793
    Czech Republic 740 842 750 703
    Ukraine 668 771 686 643
    Poland 568 671 585 542

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Just what I needed.
      You win the internet, Tobcoach. :D

      Delete
  2. hello edgar

    libya and some other arab teams will not play " A " teams in the arab cup

    libya , egypt , morroco and mabey others

    hussein budejaja - libya

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Hi Hussein,

      Thanks for the info. I was aware Egypt will play with their Olympic team, while Morocco will use only local players.

      Delete
  3. libya team is not right in this place because won't be play by frist team or A team

    ReplyDelete
  4. just to let you know that Libya will not play with "A" team in Arab Cup. Therefore results will not be counted in Libya ranking. This was officially reported by Libya Footbal Federation and FIFA will remove those libya matches from their website by next monday. Another suggestion, I would recommend you to use countries' flags side by side with thier names, that would be a great addition to your website,easier browsing and more viewers.... keep up the good work and God Bless you.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. The matches have been removed from FIFA.com.

      See the preview and probable ranking. Libya will be at least 40th - a new best ever ranking. 39th if Egypt don't defeat CAR.

      Thanks for the suggestion, but I won't be implementing it. I have enough viewers.

      Delete
  5. hi edgar, first off i love your website, it is very clear and accurate you have done a wonderful job.


    here s my question, in your previous post you predicted algeria to win against mali, but it turns out as the opposite

    how does that affect algeria's ranking ?
    thank you

    greetings from Algeria & Dzfoot

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. See Edgar's latest update. Algeria will be 35th with 693 points.

      Delete
  6. Pretty spectacular that the Europeans just played the tournament that gives them a huge amount of points and Uruguay has remained 3rd.

    Only Spain and Germany are on top of them. What ever happens in the final.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Italy will jump Uruguay if they win without needing a shootout.

      Delete
    2. No mate.

      The FIFA ranking prediction tool is quite clear. Even if Italy had one in normal time they couldn't pass Uruguay.

      Gotta say it's a great tool that FIFA have finally made available to fans.

      Delete
    3. The tool is wrong. It doesn't have a way to factor in Italy's extra points for winning the shootout against England.

      Easiest way for me to prove this is for you to check Italy's final total with the tool now, and then see when the ranking comes out that Italy have more points.

      Delete
    4. Penalty wins count as draws mate.

      If you go read the FIFA ranking procedures you'll see.

      But, doesn't matter now anyway.

      Delete
    5. Penalty wins DO NOT count as a draw... mate.

      If a team wins on penaltys they get awarded 2 points for the formula (3= win, 1=draw or losing on penaltys, 0=loss).

      So Lorris is right about the FIFA tool mate.

      Delete
    6. What he said.

      Well, everything except Lorris. My name is Lorric! :)

      Delete