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Monday, June 4, 2012

FIFA Ranking: June 2012 final preview

The 2012 June ranking will be published on 6 June. The official deadline for matches is 31 May. However, in the article connected to the May FIFA Ranking it says:

The June edition will undoubtedly bring more movement with it, as friendlies are played in Europe to warm up for UEFA EURO 2012 and another batch of 2014 FIFA World Cup Brazil™ qualifiers influence the calculations. 

The first qualifiers will take place on 1 June, after the official deadline, so for the June ranking I will use Sunday, 3 June 2012, as deadline for matches. Not sure if FIFA will do the same.

Uruguay up to 2nd, only 4 points ahead of  Germany. In the top 10, only Spain, Netherlands and Croatia didn't move.

France's friendlies against Iceland (27 May, 3 - 2 win) and Serbia (31 May, 2 - 0 win) were removed from FIFA.com - I don't know the reason. With those matches included, France would be 16th with 934 points (instead of 14th with 964), Serbia 35th with 703 (instead of 34th with 725) and Iceland 136th with 231 (instead of 131st with 255).


Best movers:

52 - Benin
43 - New Zealand
29 - Central African Republic

Worst movers:

-29 - Israel
-20 - Liechtenstein
-16 Samoa

 Best movers in the top 50:

10 - Tunisia
9 - Egypt
7 - Japan, Scotland and Iran

Worst movers in the top 50:

-10 - Belgium
-7 - Gabon and Romania
-6 - El Salvador

Three teams will improve their best ever rankings:

Uruguay (2nd - 3rd in September 2011)
Libya (42nd - 46th in April 2012)
Panama (46th - 47th in January 2012)

Chad will return to their best ever ranking - 112th - first achieved in March 2012.

Four teams will return to their worst ever rankings:

Brunei Darussalam (202nd - first happened in December 2011)
Timor-Leste (205th - first happened in December 2011)
Montserrat (206th - first happened in December 2011)
San Marino (206th - first happened in December 2011)

Seven teams will drop to new lows:

Israel (81st - 71st in September 1993)
Barbados (180th - 171st in April 2012)
Swaziland (181st - 180th in December 2011)
Kyrgyzstan (196th - 195th in April 2012)
British Virgin Islands (200th - 199th in December 2011)
Bhutan (203rd - 202nd in May 2001)
Turks and Caicos Islands (206th - 205th in February 2012)

Japan replace Australia at the top of AFC. Uzbekistan replace China PR in the top 5.

Libya climb to 4th in Africa, pushing AFCON 2012 winners, Zambia, out of the top 5.

Panama up to 3rd in CONCACAF, Honduras replace Jamaica in the top 5.

Tahiti climb to 3rd in OFC, Samoa drop out of the top 5.

England up to 4th in Europe, Croatia replace Portugal in the top 5.

June 2012 rank - Team - June 2012 points - +/- Ranking - +/- Points


1 Spain 1456 0 14
2 Uruguay 1292 1 -17
3 Germany 1288 -1 -57
4 Netherlands 1234 0 27
5 Brazil 1155 1 -10
6 England 1145 1 13
7 Argentina 1137 2 61
8 Croatia 1053 0 -61
9 Denmark 1019 1 -50
10 Portugal 996 -5 -194
11 Chile 994 2 26
12 Italy 977 0 -64
13 Russia 975 -2 -74
14 France 964 2 26
15 Greece 953 -1 -8
16 Côte d'Ivoire 943 -1 -8
17 Sweden 910 0 -21
18 Republic of Ireland 907 0 16
19 Mexico 889 1 22
20 Colombia 880 3 68
21 Switzerland 868 -3 -23
22 Paraguay 833 3 32
23 Japan 822 7 69
24 Australia 820 -3 -42
25 Ghana 818 -3 2
26 Norway 787 -2 -18
27 Czech Republic 771 -1 -27
28 USA 767 1 -12
29 Bosnia-Herzegovina 756 -2 -36
30 Slovenia 742 -2 -39
31 Hungary 735 4 43
32 Algeria 734 6 67
33 Turkey 732 0 12
34 Serbia 725 -2 0
35 Korea Republic 719 -4 -27
36 Ecuador 693 1 14
37 Peru 688 -1 -3
38 Wales 658 3 23
39 Slovakia 649 -5 -67
40 Venezuela 614 3 1
41 Scotland 611 7 15
42 Libya 608 4 6
43 Mali 601 -4 -55
43 Zambia 601 -3 -39
45 Iran 596 7 21
46 Panama 591 6 16
46 Tunisia 591 10 28
48 Egypt 588 9 29
49 Gabon 586 -7 -35
50 Montenegro 581 5 12
51 Armenia 579 -4 -19
52 Romania 572 -7 -31
52 Ukraine 572 -2 -17
54 Belgium 564 -10 -40
55 El Salvador 550 -6 -41
55 Honduras 550 7 10
57 Estonia 528 -3 -46
58 Austria 524 15 49
59 Sierra Leone 523 2 -19
60 Jamaica 520 -9 -56
60 Nigeria 520 3 -17
62 Poland 518 3 4
63 Senegal 517 14 69
64 Cameroon 515 0 -11
65 Costa Rica 507 -6 -42
66 Uzbekistan 503 4 10
67 Guinea 502 1 3
68 South Africa 499 -1 -1
69 Belarus 497 0 3
70 Morocco 491 -10 -57
71 Haiti 490 0 4
72 Benin 489 52 220
73 China PR 481 -7 -27
74 Iraq 477 -2 1
75 Finland 464 4 34
76 Latvia 459 -2 -6
77 Canada 457 -2 7
77 Cape Verde Islands 457 -1 8
79 Albania 451 5 67
80 Jordan 429 1 9
81 Israel 427 -23 -131
82 Trinidad and Tobago 425 0 6
83 Congo 422 8 56
84 Angola 416 -6 -24
85 Guatemala 412 -2 16
86 Burkina Faso 407 -6 -19
87 New Zealand 405 43 149
88 Kuwait 383 -2 7
89 Lithuania 380 0 7
90 Korea DPR 375 -4 -1
91 Bulgaria 373 5 19
92 Qatar 372 -8 -12
93 Saudi Arabia 369 -4 -4
94 Central African Republic 366 29 95
95 Uganda 363 -2 1
96 Bahrain 359 -2 -2
96 Georgia 359 -1 -1
98 Oman 349 -6 -14
99 Togo 343 -11 -31
99 Vietnam 343 -2 -4
101 FYR Macedonia 338 -3 -4
101 Sudan 338 12 46
103 Northern Ireland 336 -3 -2
104 Guyana 332 -5 -9
105 Antigua and Barbuda 330 -5 -8
106 Zimbabwe 329 -2 1
107 Malawi 324 -5 -8
108 Gambia 320 5 28
109 Bermuda 318 -2 0
110 Bolivia 312 -2 4
111 Kenya 303 6 18
112 Azerbaijan 300 -3 -5
112 Chad 300 3 11
114 Equatorial Guinea 298 -11 -32
114 St. Kitts and Nevis 298 -3 0
116 Botswana 295 -10 -26
117 Mozambique 290 -7 -10
118 Sao Tome e Principe 288 -2 0
119 Rwanda 284 -14 -43
119 United Arab Emirates 284 1 3
121 Luxembourg 283 -2 0
122 Faroe Islands 279 -4 -5
122 Niger 279 0 5
124 Liberia 277 -12 -19
125 Cyprus 266 8 14
126 Syria 263 0 -5
127 Congo DR 257 -3 -12
128 Suriname 255 5 3
129 Tajikistan 254 2 -1
130 Ethiopia 249 8 13
131 Burundi 248 -4 -19
131 Iceland 248 0 -7
133 Dominican Republic 247 2 0
134 Namibia 246 -14 -35
135 Belize 236 5 1
136 Thailand 234 5 2
137 Puerto Rico 224 1 -12
138 Turkmenistan 219 6 -1
139 Tanzania 214 6 -3
140 Moldova 212 2 -10
141 Kazakhstan 209 -4 -34
141 Nicaragua 209 5 -2
143 Lebanon 207 -14 -53
144 Grenada 206 -1 -15
145 Cuba 197 -9 -47
146 St. Vincent and the Grenadines 196 1 5
147 Malta 195 3 34
148 Liechtenstein 177 -20 -84
149 Nepal 164 0 0
149 Philippines 164 -1 -8
151 New Caledonia 163 4 13
152 Indonesia 159 -1 0
152 Tahiti 159 27 73
154 Bangladesh 157 -2 1
155 Palestine 153 -1 2
156 Malaysia 151 -3 -2
157 Singapore 143 1 -2
158 Hong Kong 142 3 10
159 Yemen 141 -2 -7
160 Curacao 137 -1 -1
161 Bahamas 132 0 0
162 Madagascar 128 4 7
163 Fiji 125 -3 -8
164 India 121 0 -1
165 Aruba 120 2 0
165 Maldives 120 -1 -2
167 Vanuatu 117 5 14
168 Chinese Taipei 115 0 -2
169 Afghanistan 114 1 -1
170 Guinea-Bissau 111 -1 -5
171 Lesotho 109 -8 -22
172 Samoa 106 -16 -43
173 Solomon Islands 97 10 22
174 Laos 96 -1 0
175 Dominica 95 -1 0
176 Myanmar 94 -1 0
177 Cambodia 93 -2 -1
178 Mongolia 88 -1 0
178 Tonga 88 -1 0
180 Barbados 87 -9 -19
181 Swaziland 86 -2 0
182 Pakistan 82 -1 2
183 US Virgin Islands 78 -1 0
184 Sri Lanka 74 0 0
185 Cayman Islands 72 0 0
186 American Samoa 61 0 0
187 Comoros 54 0 -6
188 St. Lucia 52 0 0
189 Seychelles 48 0 1
190 Eritrea 45 0 0
191 Somalia 43 0 0
192 Mauritius 37 0 0
193 Papua New Guinea 34 0 0
194 Guam 32 0 0
195 Cook Islands 28 1 0
196 Kyrgyzstan 24 -1 -5
197 Djibouti 23 0 0
198 Macau 17 0 1
199 Andorra 15 6 15
200 British Virgin Islands 13 -1 0
201 Anguilla 9 -1 0
202 Brunei Darussalam 5 -1 1
203 Bhutan 4 -2 0
203 Mauritania 4 -2 0
205 Timor-Leste 2 -1 0
206 Montserrat 0 -1 0
206 San Marino 0 -1 0
206 Turks and Caicos Islands 0 -1 0

20 comments:

  1. Edgar, how do you determine the cut-off dates for this ranking? June ranking is always a bit difficult, with the various tournaments. I remember you said to me earlier that the cut-off points are exactly one year = 365 days. But when I use this cut off points:
    year 1: June 7th, 2011 - June 5th, 2012 (leap year)
    year 2: June 7th, 2010 - June 6th, 2011
    year 3: June 7th, 2009 - June 6th, 2010
    year 4: June 7th, 2008 - June 6th, 2009

    I don't come up with the same numbers as you have. But when I take the games from June 6th, 2008 into account, Brazil for instance would be correct.

    So what's the catch behind the cut-off points?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. @Tobcoach
      Whoe Year Cycle should be as Example from June6th-2009 to June6th-2008, not to June 7th ,2008.

      Tarek

      Delete
    2. Hey Tobcoach,

      Just apply the publishing date of the ranking as the border. No use in counting 365 days. So:
      timeframe 1 includes all matches played on: june 3 2012 - june 7 2011
      timeframe 2 includes all matches played on: june 6 2011 - june 7 2010
      timeframe 3 includes all matches played on: june 6 2010 - june 7 2009
      timeframe 4 includes all matches played on: june 6 2009 - june 6 2008 (yes, june 6 2008, that's the only exception to this 'rule').

      Greetings, Ed

      Delete
    3. Hi Ed,

      I had a feeling the games of June 6th, 2008 still counted for this ranking.

      For the record: I discovered a small mistake in my database, which caused several countries to have wrong totals. Now fixed, and everything looks fine!

      Thanks.

      Delete
  2. Fifa.com added 3. June matches in Baltic Cup now

    ReplyDelete
  3. Amusing that Scotland gain 7 places after being dismantled by the US.

    Portugal juuuuust stay in the top 10. Nice to see Denmark above them going into the Euros. It's amusing that Denmark drop 50 points and gain a place to 9th.

    Uruguay get that 2nd place. Reaction to that will be interesting.

    My England up to 6th. I'm going to enjoy it while I can, because our team is i terible shape. I'll be happy simply if they win a match at Euro 2012. I don't think England can even be seen as a dark horse for this one.

    Andorra break out of the 200s! :)

    Will they attach South Sudan to the bottom of the rankings now, or wait until they play a match first?

    France are 20 games undefeated. I wonder if they'll explode up the rankings once their terrible results drop.

    Another big streak is Republic of Ireland at 14 games undefeated. I'll be keeping an eye on them in Euro 2012.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. They will wait for their first official "A" match. I'm not very sure, but I think they play Uganda last year, before becoming FIFA members.

      Delete
  4. joke FIFA ranking, so difficult for understand

    ReplyDelete
  5. Hi, Edgar!

    Did FIFA count Baltic Cup (including Latvia - Finland) in June edition?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes... and no. The totals were OK, but the matches were displayed with no points as if they weren't included. That was just a display error on FIFA.com.

      Delete
  6. Hello Edgar !!!

    I have a question

    2011:

    Vietnam 6-0 Macau (World Cup 2014 qualifiers)
    = 3 x 2,5 x 50 x 0,86 = 322,5 points

    Macau 1-7 Vietnam (World Cup 2014 qualifiers)
    = 3 x 2,5 x 50 x 0,86 = 322,5 points

    Qatar 3-0 Vietnam (World Cup 2014 qualifiers)
    = 0 points

    Vietnam 6-0 Macau (World Cup 2014 qualifiers)
    = 3 x 2,5 x 112 x 0,86 = 722,4 points

    Japan 1-0 Vietnam (Friendly)
    = 0 points

    ---> 322,5 + 322,5 + 722,4 = 1367,4 points
    If :5 -> 273,48 (50%) = 136,74 points
    If :3 -> 455,8 (50%) = 227,9 points

    Why on FIFA website, Vietnam just 49.62 (50%) = 24.81 points ?? Something wrong?? plz explain to me soon, thanks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. sr, I'm wrong. the 4th match: Vietnam 2-1 Qatar not Vietnam 6-0 Macau

      2011:

      Vietnam 6-0 Macau (World Cup 2014 qualifiers)
      = 3 x 2,5 x 50 x 0,86 = 322,5 points

      Macau 1-7 Vietnam (World Cup 2014 qualifiers)
      = 3 x 2,5 x 50 x 0,86 = 322,5 points

      Qatar 3-0 Vietnam (World Cup 2014 qualifiers)
      = 0 points

      Vietnam 2-1 Qatar (World Cup 2014 qualifiers)
      = 3 x 2,5 x 112 x 0,86 = 722,4 points

      Japan 1-0 Vietnam (Friendly)
      = 0 points

      ---> 322,5 + 322,5 + 722,4 = 1367,4 points
      If :5 -> 273,48 (50%) = 136,74 points
      If :3 -> 455,8 (50%) = 227,9 points

      Why on FIFA website, Vietnam just 49.62 (50%) = 24.81 points ?? Something wrong?? plz explain to me soon, thanks.

      Delete
  7. @Anonymous; Time frame for 2011 is not a calendar year.

    Seems no matches of the OFC Nations Cup were included in June ranking. France's two friendlies were not included due to unauthorised referees... They are still A matches for FFF but won't hurt their ranking!

    ReplyDelete
  8. Why is it that even though some nations win qualifying games they still lose points. Is that fair? Nations don't chose who they play, their geography does. Like if Mexico beats Guyana and El Salvador in June it looks like Mexico will go down to 832 even though Mexico recently beat Brasil 2-0.

    ReplyDelete
  9. Hello Edgar,

    I have a question,

    It seems Ukraine vs Turkey friendly game is missing. Does this game count for July rankings?

    Regards, thanks for your good work.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Turkey vs Ukraine wa played on June, 5th. Deadline for the rankings of June was June 3rd. So yeas, game counts for the rankings of July.

      Delete
  10. I did some math for the rankings of July, along the line of the same method as Edgar uses, but with 1 sleght difference: I use the FIFA ranking instead of the Elo ranking. The result is somewhat surprising:

    1. Spain 1799 pts.
    2. Germany 1486
    3. Netherlands 1424
    4. England 1327
    5. Uruguay 1297
    6. Greece 1093
    7. Argentina 1067
    8. Russia 1042
    9. Italy 1025
    10. Brazil 1024

    So England 4th, Greece 6th and Brazil an all-time lowest on 10th. They are really gonna feel that they only play friendlies until the WorldCup 2014.

    ReplyDelete
  11. The FIFA tool is really useless now when they removed OFC matches; you can't make calculations for July ranking.. don't get the point of moving all the matches to July when they count as World Cup qualifiers anyway.

    ReplyDelete
  12. Thanks Ed, Soccer-DB.info and Tobcoach!

    ReplyDelete