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Friday, June 21, 2013

2016 UEFA EURO 2016 qualifying draw pots simulations (21 June 2013)

More about the simulations in the second and third paragraphs of the first 'Road to Brazil' post.

I know the EURO 2016 qualifying format will most likely change, but since I already had the code in place, here are the updated simulations.

Pot 6:

100% - Andorra
100% - San Marino
100% - Gibraltar
99.92% - Malta
99.55% - Liechtenstein
98.14% - Faroe Islands
97.69% - Luxembourg
81.87% - Kazakhstan
17.08% - Cyprus
5.7% - Azerbaijan
0.02% - Georgia
0.01% - Moldova
0.01% - Iceland
0.01% - FYR Macedonia


Pot 5:

99.97% - Moldova
99.77% - Georgia
96.99% - Iceland
95.11% - FYR Macedonia
94.3% - Azerbaijan
83.08% - Lithuania
82.92% - Cyprus
74.61% - Northern Ireland
44.02% - Belarus
32.44% - Albania
20.21% - Estonia
18.13% - Kazakhstan
17.54% - Latvia
14.87% - Wales
7.04% - Armenia
6.97% - Bulgaria
6.79% - Scotland
2.31% - Luxembourg
1.86% - Faroe Islands
0.53% - Finland
0.45% - Liechtenstein
0.08% - Malta
0.01% - Poland

Pot 4:

91.67% - Finland
91.3% - Scotland
90.51% - Armenia
87.56% - Bulgaria
83.1% - Wales
80.84% - Latvia
78.89% - Estonia
66.44% - Albania
61.15% - Poland
55.95% - Belarus
25.33% - Northern Ireland
22.22% - Austria
17.2% - Slovenia
16.92% - Lithuania
12.5% - Montenegro
4.88% - FYR Macedonia
3.6% - Turkey
3.24% - Serbia
3% - Iceland
1.82% - Romania
1.64% - Slovakia
0.21% - Georgia
0.02% - Moldova
0.01% - Norway

Pot 3:

95.76% - Serbia
95.61% - Turkey
95.55% - Slovakia
91.54% - Romania
87.46% - Montenegro
82.04% - Slovenia
77.48% - Austria
73.44% - Israel
62.76% - Norway
38.84% - Poland
21.48% - Belgium
19.12% - Republic of Ireland
12.64% - Hungary
9.11% - Czech Republic
7.8% - Finland
7.39% - Switzerland
6.2% - Denmark
5.47% - Bulgaria
2.45% - Armenia
2.03% - Wales
1.91% - Scotland
1.62% - Latvia
1.12% - Albania
0.9% - Estonia
0.13% - Sweden
0.06% - Northern Ireland
0.05% - Ukraine
0.03% - Belarus
0.01% - Bosnia-Herzegovina

Pot 2:

95.7% - Ukraine
93.51% - Denmark
92.57% - Switzerland
90.7% - Czech Republic
87.3% - Hungary
84.88% - Sweden
80.81% - Republic of Ireland
78.52% - Belgium
59.24% - Bosnia-Herzegovina
41.15% - Croatia
37.23% - Norway
26.56% - Israel
14.7% - Greece
6.64% - Romania
2.81% - Slovakia
2.72% - Russia
1.63% - Portugal
1% - Serbia
0.79% - Turkey
0.76% - Slovenia
0.43% - England
0.3% - Austria
0.04% - Montenegro
0.01% - Italy

Pot 1:

100% - Netherlands
100% - Germany
100% - Spain
99.99% - Italy
99.57% - England
98.37% - Portugal
97.28% - Russia
85.3% - Greece
58.85% - Croatia
40.75% - Bosnia-Herzegovina
14.99% - Sweden
4.25% - Ukraine
0.29% - Denmark
0.19% - Czech Republic
0.07% - Republic of Ireland
0.06% - Hungary
0.04% - Switzerland

2 comments:

  1. Hmmmm, so it is Croatia that is the likeliest candidate to drop out of the pot 1... But as you said, probably won't matter... Thank Edgar!

    ReplyDelete